Joe Bastardi: Katrina will be 910mb N of 25N

This is the general tropical discussion area. Anyone can take their shot at predicting a storms path.

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Forum rules

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.

Help Support Storm2K
Message
Author
User avatar
sponger
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 1626
Joined: Thu Jul 22, 2004 11:26 am
Location: St Augustine

#41 Postby sponger » Sun Aug 28, 2005 9:27 am

I am glad this thread was bumped up because I thought the same thing when I woke up this am. Joe B deserves the credit.

For all you pseudo amateur mets who flamed him, have a healthy serving!
I know he is controversial but he is passionate about his work and gives great detailed explainations of the synoptic situation. Love him or hate him, he is a good met. Maybe you dont wont him over for dinner, but thats another story.
0 likes   

User avatar
curtinnc
Tropical Depression
Tropical Depression
Posts: 79
Joined: Fri Jul 15, 2005 4:32 pm
Location: Cornelius, NC
Contact:

Bastardi has convinced me

#42 Postby curtinnc » Sun Aug 28, 2005 9:38 am

Joe has really hit this one.... FROM A LONG WAY OUT... I'm no fan if his tactics, but he saw this, and put it out there long before most other mets would even entertain the thoughts publicly...
0 likes   

Mello1
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 363
Joined: Mon Sep 15, 2003 2:08 pm
Location: Chicago

#43 Postby Mello1 » Sun Aug 28, 2005 9:53 am

sponger wrote:I am glad this thread was bumped up because I thought the same thing when I woke up this am. Joe B deserves the credit.

For all you pseudo amateur mets who flamed him, have a healthy serving!
I know he is controversial but he is passionate about his work and gives great detailed explainations of the synoptic situation. Love him or hate him, he is a good met. Maybe you dont wont him over for dinner, but thats another story.

Hmm, it sounds more like he just got one right this time. So did Chicken Little...
0 likes   

User avatar
Tri-State_1925
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 341
Joined: Fri Aug 13, 2004 11:16 am
Location: Worcester Hills, MA

#44 Postby Tri-State_1925 » Sun Aug 28, 2005 9:53 am

I don't pay very close attention, but doesn't this guy predict the extreme on just about every hurricane and noreaster?
0 likes   

wolfmmiii
Tropical Depression
Tropical Depression
Posts: 78
Joined: Tue Aug 31, 2004 7:56 pm

#45 Postby wolfmmiii » Sun Aug 28, 2005 9:59 am

Mello1 wrote:
sponger wrote:I am glad this thread was bumped up because I thought the same thing when I woke up this am. Joe B deserves the credit.

For all you pseudo amateur mets who flamed him, have a healthy serving!
I know he is controversial but he is passionate about his work and gives great detailed explainations of the synoptic situation. Love him or hate him, he is a good met. Maybe you dont wont him over for dinner, but thats another story.

Hmm, it sounds more like he just got one right this time. So did Chicken Little...



For all his faults, I'm willing to bet my house that he is STILL better than ANYONE on this board (pro or amateur). I liken the bashing to the Monday morning QB. A Monday morning QB may be real good and know what he's talking about but he could NEVER perform in the real thing.

Remember that.
0 likes   

User avatar
sponger
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 1626
Joined: Thu Jul 22, 2004 11:26 am
Location: St Augustine

#46 Postby sponger » Sun Aug 28, 2005 10:00 am

Chicken little does not have a met degree. A professional should be given credit regardless of style or hype.
0 likes   

Mello1
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 363
Joined: Mon Sep 15, 2003 2:08 pm
Location: Chicago

#47 Postby Mello1 » Sun Aug 28, 2005 10:05 am

sponger wrote:Chicken little does not have a met degree. A professional should be given credit regardless of style or hype.

Not to argue at this time, but the point here is that this guy tends to be on the fringes of the Bell curve in his forecasting. Statistically, he was bound to get it right. That's all I'm saying on this topic.
0 likes   

User avatar
x-y-no
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 8359
Age: 65
Joined: Wed Aug 11, 2004 12:14 pm
Location: Fort Lauderdale, FL

#48 Postby x-y-no » Sun Aug 28, 2005 10:13 am

wolfmmiii wrote:
Mello1 wrote:
sponger wrote:I am glad this thread was bumped up because I thought the same thing when I woke up this am. Joe B deserves the credit.

For all you pseudo amateur mets who flamed him, have a healthy serving!
I know he is controversial but he is passionate about his work and gives great detailed explainations of the synoptic situation. Love him or hate him, he is a good met. Maybe you dont wont him over for dinner, but thats another story.

Hmm, it sounds more like he just got one right this time. So did Chicken Little...



For all his faults, I'm willing to bet my house that he is STILL better than ANYONE on this board (pro or amateur). I liken the bashing to the Monday morning QB. A Monday morning QB may be real good and know what he's talking about but he could NEVER perform in the real thing.

Remember that.


I'd put Derek or Jeff or AFM (to name just three that come to mind immediately - there are more) up against him any time.

That said, I agree he performed well on this storm once it actually formed, and called the level of intensification in the Gulf quite well.

I might remind you, though, that he was saying TD10 would take off intensifying when it was NE of Puerto Rico, and that was a total bust. So if one considers the disturbance that became Katrina at least partially related to TD10, that makes his performance on the entire history of this system decidedly more of a mixed bag.
0 likes   

wolfmmiii
Tropical Depression
Tropical Depression
Posts: 78
Joined: Tue Aug 31, 2004 7:56 pm

#49 Postby wolfmmiii » Sun Aug 28, 2005 10:18 am

I'm not saying he's perfect and I'm not saying there aren't people on this board that aren't any good or even nearly as good. All I'm saying is that it's a lot less pressure posting on an internet message board vs going out on television. Over the long haul, I'd bet on JB.
0 likes   

User avatar
The Big Dog
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1039
Joined: Sat Aug 14, 2004 8:30 am
Location: West Palm Beach, FL

#50 Postby The Big Dog » Sun Aug 28, 2005 10:24 am

Mello1 wrote:
sponger wrote:I am glad this thread was bumped up because I thought the same thing when I woke up this am. Joe B deserves the credit.

For all you pseudo amateur mets who flamed him, have a healthy serving!
I know he is controversial but he is passionate about his work and gives great detailed explainations of the synoptic situation. Love him or hate him, he is a good met. Maybe you dont wont him over for dinner, but thats another story.

Hmm, it sounds more like he just got one right this time. So did Chicken Little...

I agree 1,000%. If you predict gloom and doom enough times, eventually it's going to happen. If you throw 100 darts at a dartboard, you'll probably hit the bull at least once. Does that make you a great dart thrower?
0 likes   


Return to “Talkin' Tropics”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: gib and 82 guests