Hurricane Katrina

[JTD]

Making a run for 200 mph?

[sweetpea]

I am so scared for those people. I am sitting here with my stomach shaking.

[senorpepr]

Flight Level Data
Storm Name: KATRINA (12L)
Mission Number: 17
Flight ID: AF302
Flt Data Number: 44
Latest Recon Position: 234 mi SSE of Grand Isle, Louisana

Ob #01: 14:47:00Z; 26.7°N 88.1°W; PA: 10000 ft; D-Value: -568 ft; Wind: E (101°) @ 105 mph; Temp: 51°F; Dewpt: 51°F; Max Wind: 106 mph; Radar Altitude: 9593 ft
Ob #02: 14:47:30Z; 26.7°N 88.1°W; PA: 10010 ft; D-Value: -597 ft; Wind: ESE (102°) @ 108 mph; Temp: 54°F; Dewpt: 54°F; Max Wind: 108 mph; Radar Altitude: 9573 ft
Ob #03: 14:48:00Z; 26.7°N 88.1°W; PA: 9990 ft; D-Value: -636 ft; Wind: E (101°) @ 111 mph; Temp: 54°F; Dewpt: 54°F; Max Wind: 111 mph; Radar Altitude: 9511 ft
Ob #04: 14:48:30Z; 26.6°N 88.1°W; PA: 10003 ft; D-Value: -679 ft; Wind: ESE (102°) @ 114 mph; Temp: 55°F; Dewpt: 54°F; Max Wind: 115 mph; Radar Altitude: 9485 ft
Ob #05: 14:49:00Z; 26.6°N 88.1°W; PA: 9997 ft; D-Value: -728 ft; Wind: E (101°) @ 118 mph; Temp: 54°F; Dewpt: 54°F; Max Wind: 119 mph; Radar Altitude: 9429 ft
Ob #06: 14:49:30Z; 26.6°N 88.1°W; PA: 10000 ft; D-Value: -774 ft; Wind: E (101°) @ 122 mph; Temp: 54°F; Dewpt: 53°F; Max Wind: 123 mph; Radar Altitude: 9386 ft
Ob #07: 14:50:00Z; 26.6°N 88.1°W; PA: 9997 ft; D-Value: -823 ft; Wind: ESE (102°) @ 128 mph; Temp: 53°F; Dewpt: 53°F; Max Wind: 129 mph; Radar Altitude: 9334 ft
Ob #08: 14:50:30Z; 26.6°N 88.1°W; PA: 10003 ft; D-Value: -883 ft; Wind: E (101°) @ 134 mph; Temp: 53°F; Dewpt: 52°F; Max Wind: 136 mph; Radar Altitude: 9281 ft
Ob #09: 14:51:00Z; 26.5°N 88.1°W; PA: 9997 ft; D-Value: -942 ft; Wind: E (101°) @ 139 mph; Temp: 53°F; Dewpt: 53°F; Max Wind: 141 mph; Radar Altitude: 9216 ft
Ob #10: 14:51:30Z; 26.5°N 88.1°W; PA: 10003 ft; D-Value: -1007 ft; Wind: E (100°) @ 143 mph; Temp: 52°F; Dewpt: 52°F; Max Wind: 145 mph; Radar Altitude: 9157 ft
Ob #11: 14:52:00Z; 26.5°N 88.1°W; PA: 10003 ft; D-Value: -1079 ft; Wind: E (98°) @ 149 mph; Temp: 51°F; Dewpt: 51°F; Max Wind: 150 mph; Radar Altitude: 9081 ft
Ob #12: 14:52:30Z; 26.5°N 88.1°W; PA: 10000 ft; D-Value: -1158 ft; Wind: E (96°) @ 150 mph; Temp: 52°F; Dewpt: 52°F; Max Wind: 151 mph; Radar Altitude: 9003 ft
Ob #13: 14:53:00Z; 26.5°N 88.1°W; PA: 9997 ft; D-Value: -1250 ft; Wind: E (96°) @ 158 mph; Temp: 51°F; Dewpt: 51°F; Max Wind: 160 mph; Radar Altitude: 8904 ft
Ob #14: 14:53:30Z; 26.4°N 88.1°W; PA: 9993 ft; D-Value: -1358 ft; Wind: E (94°) @ 166 mph; Temp: 48°F; Dewpt: 48°F; Max Wind: 167 mph; Radar Altitude: 8796 ft
Ob #15: 14:54:00Z; 26.4°N 88.1°W; PA: 9993 ft; D-Value: -1476 ft; Wind: E (92°) @ 167 mph; Temp: 47°F; Dewpt: 47°F; Max Wind: 168 mph; Radar Altitude: 8678 ft
Ob #16: 14:54:30Z; 26.4°N 88.1°W; PA: 9980 ft; D-Value: -1608 ft; Wind: E (89°) @ 174 mph; Temp: 47°F; Dewpt: ****; Max Wind: 177 mph; Radar Altitude: 8533 ft
Ob #17: 14:55:00Z; 26.4°N 88.1°W; PA: 10138 ft; D-Value: -1749 ft; Wind: E (100°) @ 162 mph; Temp: 51°F; Dewpt: ****; Max Wind: 172 mph; Radar Altitude: 8550 ft
Ob #18: 14:55:30Z; 26.4°N 88.1°W; PA: 9928 ft; D-Value: -1883 ft; Wind: ESE (102°) @ 135 mph; Temp: 54°F; Dewpt: ****; Max Wind: 137 mph; Radar Altitude: 8205 ft
Ob #19: 14:56:00Z; 26.3°N 88.1°W; PA: 9816 ft; D-Value: -1982 ft; Wind: ESE (103°) @ 131 mph; Temp: 57°F; Dewpt: ****; Max Wind: 138 mph; Radar Altitude: 7995 ft
Ob #20: 14:56:30Z; 26.3°N 88.1°W; PA: 9859 ft; D-Value: -2070 ft; Wind: ESE (102°) @ 121 mph; Temp: 59°F; Dewpt: ****; Max Wind: 124 mph; Radar Altitude: 7946 ft
Note: **** means data accuracy was suspect

[WindRunner]

154kts FL winds going back through

[Brent]

HURRICANE KATRINA DISCUSSION NUMBER 23
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 AM EDT SUN AUG 28 2005

THE AIR FORCE HURRICANE HUNTERS JUST MEASURED A 166 KT FLIGHT LEVEL
WIND IN THE NORTHEAST EYEWALL...WHICH REQUIRES AN ADDITIONAL UPWARD
ADJUSTMENT OF THE CURRENT INTENSITY TO 150 KT. A DROP IN THE EYE
GAVE A CENTRAL PRESSURE OF 907 MB. KATRINA IS COMPARABLE IN
INTENSITY TO HURRICANE CAMILLE OF 1969...ONLY LARGER. GPS
DROPSONDE DATA FROM THE NOAA G-IV MISSION EARLIER TODAY SHOWED
KATRINA'S INTENSE CYCLONIC CIRCULATION EXTENDING THROUGH THE 200 MB
LEVEL...WITH THE FLOW SPIRALING ANTICYLONICALLY OUTWARD IN A
WELL-DEVELOPED UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW PATTERN BEYOND A COUPLE HUNDRED
N MI FROM THE CENTER. FLUCTUATIONS IN STRENGTH...DUE TO INTERNAL
STRUCTURAL CHANGES...ARE LIKELY PRIOR TO LANDFALL. HURRICANES
RARELY SUSTAIN SUCH EXTREME WINDS FOR MUCH TIME. HOWEVER WE SEE
NO OBVIOUS LARGE-SCALE EFFECTS TO CAUSE A SUBSTANTIAL WEAKENING THE
SYSTEM...AND IT IS EXPECTED THAT THE HURRICANE WILL BE OF CATEGORY
4 OR 5 INTENSITY WHEN IT REACHES THE COAST.

THERE IS NO CHANGE TO THE TRACK FORECAST. KATRINA SHOULD GRADUALLY
TURN TOWARD THE NORTH...INTO A WEAKNESS IN THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE
ASSOCIATED WITH A LARGE MID-LATITUDE CYCLONE OVER THE NORTHERN
UNITED STATES AND SOUTHERN CANADA. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST TRACK IS
ABOUT IN THE MIDDLE OF THE DYNAMICAL GUIDANCE MODELS...WHICH ARE
RATHER TIGHTLY CLUSTERED. RECALLING THAT THE AVERAGE NHC 24-HOUR
TRACK FORECAST ERROR IS ABOUT 80 N MI...THE ACTUAL LANDFALL POINT
COULD STILL BE ANYWHERE FROM SOUTHEASTERN LOUISIANA TO THE
MISSISSIPPI COAST. ALSO...WE MUST CONTINUE TO STRESS THAT THE
HURRICANE IS NOT JUST A POINT ON THE MAP...BECAUSE DESTRUCTIVE
WINDS...TORRENTIAL RAINS...STORM SURGE...AND DANGEROUS WAVES EXTEND
WELL AWAY FROM THE EYE. IT IS IMPOSSIBLE TO SPECIFY WHICH COUNTY
OR PARISH WILL EXPERIENCE THE WORST WEATHER.

THIS ADVISORY SHOWS AN ADDITIONAL EXPANSION OF THE WIND FIELD OVER
THE EASTERN SEMICIRCLE BASED ON AIRCRAFT AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS ARE FORECAST TO SPREAD AT LEAST 150 N MI
INLAND ALONG THE PATH OF KATRINA. CONSULT INLAND WARNINGS ISSUED
BY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICES.

FORECASTER PASCH


FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INITIAL 28/1500Z 26.0N 88.1W 150 KT
12HR VT 29/0000Z 27.2N 88.9W 145 KT
24HR VT 29/1200Z 29.1N 89.6W 140 KT
36HR VT 30/0000Z 31.4N 89.5W 85 KT...INLAND
48HR VT 30/1200Z 34.5N 88.5W 45 KT...INLAND
72HR VT 31/1200Z 40.0N 84.0W 30 KT...INLAND
96HR VT 01/1200Z 45.0N 77.0W 25 KT...EXTRATROPICAL
120HR VT 02/1200Z 52.0N 69.0W 25 KT...EXTRATROPICAL

[Brent]

Ugh... double.

[canegrl04]

I'm really getting frightened for Louisiana Katrina may not even be finished strengthening .She will destroy NO

[jpigott]

FYI, I'm looking at a dropsonde report that has 167 kts at just below 700mb, but 233 kts at 866mb!! Holy cow!

god forbid those type of winds make it down to the surface, this hurricane would be like a gigantic F4-5 tornado, there would be nothing left but foundations of structures

[senorpepr]

RECCO Observation
Storm Name: KATRINA (12L)
Mission Number: 17
Flight ID: AF302
Observation Number: 25
Time: 1443Z
Latitude: 26.8°N
Longitude: 88.1°W
Location: 205 mi SE of Grand Isle, Louisana
Turbulence: Light occasional moderate
Flight condition: In cloud
Pressure Altitude: 10000 feet
Flight level wind: ESE (110°) @ 96 mph
Temperature: 48°F
Dewpoint: 48°F
Weather: Unknown
700mb height: 9500 feet
Surface Wind: N/A
Remarks: 50 NM NORTH OF CENTER. INBOUND

[P.K.]

FYI, I'm looking at a dropsonde report that has 167 kts at just below 700mb, but 233 kts at 866mb!! Holy cow!

This one?

UJXX21 KAWN 281500 RRD
XXBB 78148 99261 70879 08167 00919 26800 11909 24600 22850 22001
33789 19803 44783 21401 55777 20602 66705 17000 77697 13600
21212 00919 ///// 11913 06657 22908 06161 33905 06657 44900 07158
55895 07665 66887 07661 77884 08179 88882 08181 99880 08680 11877
09168 22871 08673 33868 08685 44866 10734 55853 10174 66842 11167
77822 11684 88803 12155 99793 12167 11777 13117 22769 13114 33697
13620
31313 09608 81421
61616 AF302 1712A KATRINA OB 23
62626 EYEWALL 045 SPL 2621N08809W 1425 LST WND 063 MBL WND 07666
AEV 20507 DLM WND 11135 913707 WL150 06658 138

[timeflow]

For many of us, we could sense this developing over the last two days, especially yesterday all the debate here about the worst-case scenario. But the sense of the potential magnitude of this - even when it was a 115 mph storm - was always evident. I think we can sense these things just like animals do. Days before Charley made landfall you could feel this psychological distortion even here in Orlando... there was a look about the faces in the stores that something was defintely about to happen. Well whether those who have stayed feel it or not out there, this is a big wake up call to get up, stand up, get out for your life...

The people in the path of this beast need to act immediately, they can't wait any longer. It's a good time to panic in a responsible life-saving manner... and help your neighbors.

[mtm4319]

INITIAL 28/1500Z 26.0N 88.1W 150 KT
12HR VT 29/0000Z 27.2N 88.9W 145 KT
24HR VT 29/1200Z 29.1N 89.6W 140 KT
36HR VT 30/0000Z 31.4N 89.5W 85 KT...INLAND
48HR VT 30/1200Z 34.5N 88.5W 45 KT...INLAND
72HR VT 31/1200Z 40.0N 84.0W 30 KT...INLAND
96HR VT 01/1200Z 45.0N 77.0W 25 KT...EXTRATROPICAL
120HR VT 02/1200Z 52.0N 69.0W 25 KT...EXTRATROPICAL

89.6 is the farthest west forecast now... slowly edging away from NO. If this continues, then they just might escape the doomsday scenario.

[senorpepr]

Flight Level Data
Storm Name: KATRINA (12L)
Mission Number: 17
Flight ID: AF302
Flt Data Number: 45
Latest Recon Position: 237 mi SSE of Grand Isle, Louisana

Ob #01: 14:57:00Z; 26.3°N 88.1°W; PA: 10240 ft; D-Value: -2159 ft; Wind: E (99°) @ 94 mph; Temp: 62°F; Dewpt: ****; Max Wind: 105 mph; Radar Altitude: 8238 ft
Ob #02: 14:57:30Z; 26.3°N 88.1°W; PA: 10026 ft; D-Value: -2238 ft; Wind: E (99°) @ 71 mph; Temp: 69°F; Dewpt: 63°F; Max Wind: 77 mph; Radar Altitude: 7946 ft
Ob #03: 14:58:00Z; 26.2°N 88.1°W; PA: 9997 ft; D-Value: -2293 ft; Wind: E (98°) @ 54 mph; Temp: 72°F; Dewpt: 62°F; Max Wind: 59 mph; Radar Altitude: 7861 ft
Ob #04: 14:58:30Z; 26.2°N 88.1°W; PA: 9997 ft; D-Value: -2329 ft; Wind: E (95°) @ 43 mph; Temp: 75°F; Dewpt: 58°F; Max Wind: 47 mph; Radar Altitude: 7825 ft
Ob #05: 14:59:00Z; 26.2°N 88.1°W; PA: 9987 ft; D-Value: -2349 ft; Wind: E (92°) @ 32 mph; Temp: 77°F; Dewpt: 53°F; Max Wind: 36 mph; Radar Altitude: 7799 ft
Ob #06: 14:59:30Z; 26.2°N 88.1°W; PA: 9905 ft; D-Value: -2365 ft; Wind: E (92°) @ 20 mph; Temp: 78°F; Dewpt: 46°F; Max Wind: 22 mph; Radar Altitude: 7697 ft
Ob #07: 15:00:00Z; 26.1°N 88.1°W; PA: 9833 ft; D-Value: -2375 ft; Wind: E (94°) @ 13 mph; Temp: 78°F; Dewpt: 45°F; Max Wind: 14 mph; Radar Altitude: 7615 ft
Ob #08: 15:00:30Z; 26.1°N 88.1°W; PA: 9862 ft; D-Value: -2369 ft; Wind: E (80°) @ 5 mph; Temp: 77°F; Dewpt: 46°F; Max Wind: 10 mph; Radar Altitude: 7654 ft
Ob #09: 15:01:00Z; 26.1°N 88.1°W; PA: 10010 ft; D-Value: -2349 ft; Wind: WNW (295°) @ 7 mph; Temp: 76°F; Dewpt: 45°F; Max Wind: 9 mph; Radar Altitude: 7818 ft
Ob #10: 15:01:30Z; 26°N 88.1°W; PA: 10013 ft; D-Value: -2343 ft; Wind: WNW (288°) @ 15 mph; Temp: 76°F; Dewpt: 47°F; Max Wind: 20 mph; Radar Altitude: 7828 ft
Ob #11: 15:02:00Z; 26°N 88.1°W; PA: 9984 ft; D-Value: -2297 ft; Wind: WNW (282°) @ 33 mph; Temp: 70°F; Dewpt: 54°F; Max Wind: 39 mph; Radar Altitude: 7848 ft
Ob #12: 15:02:30Z; 26°N 88.2°W; PA: 10003 ft; D-Value: -2251 ft; Wind: WNW (289°) @ 39 mph; Temp: 69°F; Dewpt: 53°F; Max Wind: 39 mph; Radar Altitude: 7910 ft
Ob #13: 15:03:00Z; 26°N 88.2°W; PA: 10010 ft; D-Value: -2267 ft; Wind: WNW (293°) @ 32 mph; Temp: 70°F; Dewpt: 54°F; Max Wind: 37 mph; Radar Altitude: 7904 ft
Ob #14: 15:03:30Z; 26.1°N 88.2°W; PA: 10003 ft; D-Value: -2297 ft; Wind: WNW (303°) @ 18 mph; Temp: 74°F; Dewpt: 46°F; Max Wind: 22 mph; Radar Altitude: 7864 ft
Ob #15: 15:04:00Z; 26.1°N 88.2°W; PA: 10000 ft; D-Value: -2316 ft; Wind: NW (326°) @ 12 mph; Temp: 76°F; Dewpt: 44°F; Max Wind: 14 mph; Radar Altitude: 7841 ft
Ob #16: 15:04:30Z; 26.1°N 88.2°W; PA: 9987 ft; D-Value: -2333 ft; Wind: NE (52°) @ 8 mph; Temp: 77°F; Dewpt: 43°F; Max Wind: 13 mph; Radar Altitude: 7815 ft
Ob #17: 15:05:00Z; 26.1°N 88.2°W; PA: 10016 ft; D-Value: -2339 ft; Wind: E (81°) @ 15 mph; Temp: 78°F; Dewpt: 42°F; Max Wind: 17 mph; Radar Altitude: 7835 ft
Ob #18: 15:05:30Z; 26.2°N 88.2°W; PA: 9997 ft; D-Value: -2352 ft; Wind: E (91°) @ 21 mph; Temp: 78°F; Dewpt: 44°F; Max Wind: 21 mph; Radar Altitude: 7802 ft
Ob #19: 15:06:00Z; 26.2°N 88.2°W; PA: 9993 ft; D-Value: -2356 ft; Wind: E (84°) @ 29 mph; Temp: 77°F; Dewpt: 48°F; Max Wind: 35 mph; Radar Altitude: 7795 ft
Ob #20: 15:06:30Z; 26.2°N 88.2°W; PA: 10003 ft; D-Value: -2346 ft; Wind: E (83°) @ 40 mph; Temp: 76°F; Dewpt: 49°F; Max Wind: 44 mph; Radar Altitude: 7815 ft
Note: **** means data accuracy was suspect

[canegrl04]

Katrina is the hurricane of the century I can't believe this.Its like living in a nightmare

[wxman57]

HEre's the dropsonde taken at 14Z:

<img src="http://myweb.cableone.net/nolasue/katrina67.gif">

[senorpepr]

Flight Level Data
Storm Name: KATRINA (12L)
Mission Number: 17
Flight ID: AF302
Flt Data Number: 46
Latest Recon Position: 197 mi SSE of Grand Isle, Louisana

Ob #01: 15:07:00Z; 26.3°N 88.2°W; PA: 10000 ft; D-Value: -2326 ft; Wind: ENE (75°) @ 51 mph; Temp: 74°F; Dewpt: 51°F; Max Wind: 54 mph; Radar Altitude: 7831 ft
Ob #02: 15:07:30Z; 26.3°N 88.2°W; PA: 9997 ft; D-Value: -2290 ft; Wind: ENE (74°) @ 75 mph; Temp: 71°F; Dewpt: 54°F; Max Wind: 84 mph; Radar Altitude: 7867 ft
Ob #03: 15:08:00Z; 26.3°N 88.2°W; PA: 9997 ft; D-Value: -2205 ft; Wind: ENE (68°) @ 111 mph; Temp: 65°F; Dewpt: 57°F; Max Wind: 122 mph; Radar Altitude: 7949 ft
Ob #04: 15:08:30Z; 26.3°N 88.3°W; PA: 9990 ft; D-Value: -2090 ft; Wind: ENE (68°) @ 132 mph; Temp: 59°F; Dewpt: ****; Max Wind: 141 mph; Radar Altitude: 8058 ft
Ob #05: 15:09:00Z; 26.4°N 88.3°W; PA: 9987 ft; D-Value: -1946 ft; Wind: ENE (68°) @ 157 mph; Temp: 53°F; Dewpt: ****; Max Wind: 164 mph; Radar Altitude: 8202 ft
Ob #06: 15:09:30Z; 26.4°N 88.3°W; PA: 10030 ft; D-Value: -1775 ft; Wind: ENE (73°) @ 170 mph; Temp: 53°F; Dewpt: ****; Max Wind: 172 mph; Radar Altitude: 8412 ft
Ob #07: 15:10:00Z; 26.4°N 88.3°W; PA: 9974 ft; D-Value: -1611 ft; Wind: ENE (72°) @ 177 mph; Temp: 49°F; Dewpt: ****; Max Wind: 180 mph; Radar Altitude: 8520 ft
Ob #08: 15:10:30Z; 26.4°N 88.3°W; PA: 10007 ft; D-Value: -1467 ft; Wind: ENE (71°) @ 173 mph; Temp: 49°F; Dewpt: ****; Max Wind: 175 mph; Radar Altitude: 8698 ft
Ob #09: 15:11:00Z; 26.4°N 88.3°W; PA: 10013 ft; D-Value: -1339 ft; Wind: ENE (68°) @ 168 mph; Temp: 47°F; Dewpt: ****; Max Wind: 172 mph; Radar Altitude: 8839 ft
Ob #10: 15:11:30Z; 26.5°N 88.3°W; PA: 10010 ft; D-Value: -1227 ft; Wind: ENE (67°) @ 161 mph; Temp: 49°F; Dewpt: 49°F; Max Wind: 164 mph; Radar Altitude: 8940 ft
Ob #11: 15:12:00Z; 26.5°N 88.4°W; PA: 9993 ft; D-Value: -1138 ft; Wind: ENE (67°) @ 152 mph; Temp: 53°F; Dewpt: 53°F; Max Wind: 156 mph; Radar Altitude: 9016 ft
Ob #12: 15:12:30Z; 26.5°N 88.4°W; PA: 10000 ft; D-Value: -1053 ft; Wind: ENE (70°) @ 146 mph; Temp: 54°F; Dewpt: 51°F; Max Wind: 150 mph; Radar Altitude: 9108 ft
Ob #13: 15:13:00Z; 26.5°N 88.4°W; PA: 10003 ft; D-Value: -965 ft; Wind: ENE (71°) @ 139 mph; Temp: 54°F; Dewpt: 52°F; Max Wind: 141 mph; Radar Altitude: 9199 ft
Ob #14: 15:13:30Z; 26.5°N 88.4°W; PA: 9997 ft; D-Value: -889 ft; Wind: ENE (72°) @ 137 mph; Temp: 53°F; Dewpt: 53°F; Max Wind: 138 mph; Radar Altitude: 9265 ft
Ob #15: 15:14:00Z; 26.6°N 88.4°W; PA: 10000 ft; D-Value: -827 ft; Wind: ENE (73°) @ 134 mph; Temp: 54°F; Dewpt: 54°F; Max Wind: 135 mph; Radar Altitude: 9334 ft
Ob #16: 15:14:30Z; 26.6°N 88.4°W; PA: 10013 ft; D-Value: -768 ft; Wind: ENE (73°) @ 129 mph; Temp: 55°F; Dewpt: 53°F; Max Wind: 130 mph; Radar Altitude: 9406 ft
Ob #17: 15:15:00Z; 26.6°N 88.4°W; PA: 9990 ft; D-Value: -719 ft; Wind: ENE (74°) @ 123 mph; Temp: 55°F; Dewpt: 53°F; Max Wind: 126 mph; Radar Altitude: 9432 ft
Ob #18: 15:15:30Z; 26.6°N 88.5°W; PA: 10000 ft; D-Value: -686 ft; Wind: ENE (74°) @ 121 mph; Temp: 55°F; Dewpt: 54°F; Max Wind: 122 mph; Radar Altitude: 9475 ft
Ob #19: 15:16:00Z; 26.7°N 88.5°W; PA: 10003 ft; D-Value: -630 ft; Wind: ENE (74°) @ 116 mph; Temp: 55°F; Dewpt: 55°F; Max Wind: 118 mph; Radar Altitude: 9534 ft
Ob #20: 15:16:30Z; 26.7°N 88.5°W; PA: 9997 ft; D-Value: -597 ft; Wind: ENE (76°) @ 114 mph; Temp: 55°F; Dewpt: 55°F; Max Wind: 115 mph; Radar Altitude: 9564 ft
Note: **** means data accuracy was suspect

[tim_in_ga]

The last couple of frames seem to show a northern turn, in my opinion:

http://www.atmos.washington.edu/~ovens/ ... nhanced+12

[cjrciadt]

Everyone stop looking at the finite point in the path, Cat1 or greater winds extend 175 miles side to side.

[mtm4319]

[Ivanhater]