Mobile/Pensacola

[Ivanhater]

well , it is extremely important to be glued to this storm...big hurricanes tend to jog close to the coast....this is a cat 5, and this we are in the cone and need to pay attention...if it does hit new orleans..God speed and my prayers are with you...i pray to God it doesnt jog this way

[flightpath]

but you only got 54k prayin for your side
we got 1.3 mil and our prayers will be answered

[mtm4319]

but you only got 54k prayin for your side
we got 1.3 mil and our prayers will be answered

That population estimate from the Weather Channel is inaccurate. Pensacola is much closer in population to Mobile than they are representing on TWC.

[baw_es]

You think there still is a chance of Pensacola?? I really don't think so. While it could never be as bad, not even close, as a direct hit to N.O. I think if this storm heads back east it will really catch a lot of people off guard. Again, my opinion is that it will not come any further east than the LA/MS state line. If it does and you need some help with plywood Ivanhater, let me know.

[BroncoChuck]

In in Gulf Breeze and keeping an eye on things here. I hightly doubt there will be that signifiant of a "JOG" east but they are calling for 100+mph gust from the outter bands....

Just waiting and seeing at this point. Waiting to see if my job sends us home today or cancels work for tomorrow since we are all of 2500 feet from the sound and had flooding during Ivan...

Good luck everyone..

[oneness]

This storm is more than ~250 MILES accross, 908 millibars and falling, already 160 mph sustained and will increase further as wind speed catches up to the recent major pressure drop.

The whole lot of the places mentioned are going to get slammed by this storm, the placement of the crossing of the eye is becoming a bit more of an academic exercise as this point.

The storm surge on the east of the eye wall will extend out around 150 miles of eastern coastline, more or less.

Only the hight of that surge and the waves on top will vary.

[Brent]

Understand... if this hits New Orleans, there's going to be terrible squalls, tornadoes, high winds, and massive surge in Pensacola... this needs to be taken extremely seriously.

[EmeraldCoast1]

Pensacola MSA = appx. 1/4 million.

[CFL]

After panicking last night when I saw just how strong Katrina is, I am now feeling better for our area. Katrina has increased forward speed in the same WNW direction. I trust our local emergency management officials. If we need to evacuate or take some kind of action they will let us know.

[Opal storm]

I just heard Steve Lyons say a possible slight NE turn just before landfall might occur as the trough is coming to pick it up.

Pensacola/Mobile....WATCH OUT

[BroncoChuck]

yea just saw the same thing. WOOHOOO figures my car is out of commision lmao...

Still to early to tell but watching the wv loop does show the front is moving into place .....

Im sorry but did the mobile/pensacola area doing someting to piss off mother nature this year or what?

[BroncoChuck]

I trust our local emergency management officials. If we need to evacuate or take some kind of action they will let us know.

I think I just pee'd my pants from laughing so hard

I know Escambia County is normally on the ball but Santa Rosa County where I live will wait till monday afternoon to decide anything....

Its sill to early to decide NOT to watch this thing anymore or think all is good in the world..... Cantoment is pretty far inland but you guys have lots of trees to fall on stuff......

[CFL]

Slight NE turn prior to landfall doesn't necessarily mean that Pensacola would take a hit. It might be more like the MS/AL border rather than right on New Orleans. I've got a friend on NAS right now. The base is not even being evacuated at this point. They must feel some confidence in the track or they would be getting out.

[Ivanhater]

Slight NE turn prior to landfall doesn't necessarily mean that Pensacola would take a hit. It might be more like the MS/AL border rather than right on New Orleans. I've got a friend on NAS right now. The base is not even being evacuated at this point. They must feel some confidence in the track or they would be getting out.

yes, but the eye is huge...if it does move northeast before landfall it will be very bad here

[gulfcoastdave]

I saw the post on Pop for Pensacola , they used the city pop not the county which is 250-300 k

Now on storm..... I have heard some local Mets talking of a NE jog and a shift maybe in the path to a degree but every degree counts.

I just hate to go to bed thinking LA/MS border and wake up and see fl/al border

I just can not see this tsorm following the forecast path . This is by no means a wishcast.......... just with past storms they always turn before hitting coast. Maybe I need to leave the TV and computer alone for a few hours

[EmeraldCoast1]

Come on guys...let's not even kid around about this. So far, the track from NHC has been pretty good as it was with Ivan and Dennis as it got closer to landfall.

[CFL]

I totally understand the fear here. I was up crying last night, begging my my husband to get the kids up and evacuate before dawn. We don't even have plywood for the windows. We started checking on hotels further to our east only to find that most of them are full of MS and NOLA evacuees. We've almost reached the point where I'm not sure it's possible to evacuate all of Escambia and Santa Rosa counties. Where in the world are all these people going to go? Our traffic moves at a snail's pace on a regular day, much less if everyone tried to leave town at once.

[gulfcoastdave]

Come on guys...let's not even kid around about this. So far, the track from NHC has been pretty good as it was with Ivan and Dennis as it got closer to landfall.

not trying to create anything their bud. I am just stating what I have heard and wonder about us in our area. The stroms stated by me and then you all turned. I am not saying NHC is wrong , just hard to believe the storm will do what they say by judging from past storms is all

[Mello1]

Come on guys...let's not even kid around about this. So far, the track from NHC has been pretty good as it was with Ivan and Dennis as it got closer to landfall.

not trying to create anything their bud. I am just stating what I have heard and wonder about us in our area. The stroms stated by me and then you all turned. I am not saying NHC is wrong , just hard to believe the storm will do what they say by judging from past storms is all

Seriously speaking, anyone in the 'cone' should just plain get the heck out. REALLY. I remember Camille and she wiped towns off the map in MS....

200 people died. From FLOODING and half of them were in WEST VIRGINIA.

The BOTTOM LINE, this is going to be a catastrophic event for anyone in the path of this thing. It's annular shape and she will not be moved.

So get out if you are in the cone in the coastal areas and seek high ground.

[krysof]

Anything to save New Orleans. I think New Orleans may dodge the worst conditions, but regardless, this is a very large hurricane and it will cause widespread destructive damage.