Take a good look at this picture...

This is the general tropical discussion area. Anyone can take their shot at predicting a storms path.

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Forum rules

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.

Help Support Storm2K
Message
Author
User avatar
wxmann_91
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 8013
Age: 34
Joined: Fri Jul 15, 2005 2:49 pm
Location: Southern California
Contact:

Take a good look at this picture...

#1 Postby wxmann_91 » Sat Aug 27, 2005 7:36 pm

(I will cram lots of thoughts into this thread since there is already too many.)

As always, thoughts and prayers to all who are affected by Katrina.

If Katrina hits NOLA as a major hurricane then this will be no more:

Image

Take a good look, cause it could be gone by next Tuesday.

Posted by Sean in New Orleans in this thread:

http://www.storm2k.org/phpbb2/viewtopic.php?t=70874&start=0

Also, do you want me to make an 11:00 PM advisory tonight? I've heard many say that they are annoyed of all the amateur forecasts so if you wish I will stop.
0 likes   

Jim Cantore

#2 Postby Jim Cantore » Sat Aug 27, 2005 7:42 pm

If Katrina hits New Orleans head on at the strength I'm thinking (150-160)....

Costliest hurricanes

Katrina 2005 $30-40 Billion
Andrew 1992 $26.5 Billion


New Orleans will be part of the swamps again
0 likes   

User avatar
AL Chili Pepper
Category 3
Category 3
Posts: 873
Joined: Thu Aug 12, 2004 1:15 pm
Location: Mobile, AL

#3 Postby AL Chili Pepper » Sat Aug 27, 2005 7:46 pm

Ah com'on. New Orleans isn't going anywhere. Homestead is still there. Biloxi is still there. It may take a while longer to clean up, but New Orleans will still be there. Just get the people out.
0 likes   

Josephine96

#4 Postby Josephine96 » Sat Aug 27, 2005 7:47 pm

Chili is thinking as an optimist I see :lol: :wink:
0 likes   

User avatar
wxmann_91
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 8013
Age: 34
Joined: Fri Jul 15, 2005 2:49 pm
Location: Southern California
Contact:

#5 Postby wxmann_91 » Sat Aug 27, 2005 7:49 pm

Hurricane Floyd wrote:If Katrina hits New Orleans head on at the strength I'm thinking (150-160)....

Costliest hurricanes

Katrina 2005 $30-40 Billion
Andrew 1992 $26.5 Billion


New Orleans will be part of the swamps again


30-40 billion will be an underestimate. :eek: NOLA is the worst place for a major hurricane to hit besides Tampa and New York City.
0 likes   

User avatar
nystate
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1207
Joined: Tue Mar 11, 2003 2:58 pm
Location: Fayetteville, NC

#6 Postby nystate » Sat Aug 27, 2005 7:51 pm

Come on people, this is like believing an Al-Zarqawi audiotape. New Orleans will still be here in a few days.

If it isn't, I'll eat crow, but I have heard this all before.
0 likes   

User avatar
milankovitch
Tropical Storm
Tropical Storm
Posts: 243
Age: 40
Joined: Fri Sep 17, 2004 11:30 pm
Location: Menands, NY; SUNY Albany
Contact:

#7 Postby milankovitch » Sat Aug 27, 2005 7:52 pm

AL Chili Pepper wrote:Ah com'on. New Orleans isn't going anywhere. Homestead is still there. Biloxi is still there. It may take a while longer to clean up, but New Orleans will still be there. Just get the people out.


In the case of Andrew your talking about an area where about oh.. rough guess 9-14 times less people lived (general area, Homestead wasn't the only town effected), it's not even in the same ballpark. Yes New Orleans will still be standing (unless say it's a Camille) but I don't know if you appreciate the population diffrence between the current and past storms.
Last edited by milankovitch on Sat Aug 27, 2005 7:55 pm, edited 1 time in total.
0 likes   

superfly

#8 Postby superfly » Sat Aug 27, 2005 7:54 pm

People need to stop overhyping. New Orleans is 50 miles inland and will not experience the strongest winds even if there is a direct hit.
0 likes   

User avatar
artist
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 9792
Joined: Mon Jun 06, 2005 3:26 pm
Location: West Palm

#9 Postby artist » Sat Aug 27, 2005 8:05 pm

Do you realize that at this moment hurricane force winds extend 45 miles out form the center??? That is not that far inland for a large storm to have full impact 50 miles in. Look at Homestead - totally destroyed!
0 likes   

djtil
Category 2
Category 2
Posts: 699
Joined: Fri Jul 08, 2005 10:09 am

#10 Postby djtil » Sat Aug 27, 2005 8:09 pm

this is a ridiculous thread....are we writing a scifi hollywood film or discussing hurricanes? those high rises are going nowhere.
0 likes   

superfly

#11 Postby superfly » Sat Aug 27, 2005 8:14 pm

artist wrote:Do you realize that at this moment hurricane force winds extend 45 miles out form the center??? That is not that far inland for a large storm to have full impact 50 miles in. Look at Homestead - totally destroyed!


Sure, cat 1 winds extend 45 miles from the center, but cat 1 winds won't do much damage. Homestead is 5 miles from the coast and is still there today. New Orleans is 50-70 miles from the coast depending on where the storm comes up from the south and will be there come Tuesday. A major cane coming in from the SE or ESE would be a different story, but this is not the case.
0 likes   

User avatar
Eyes2theSkies
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 264
Joined: Thu Aug 12, 2004 4:20 am
Location: Was Florida now Charlotte, NC
Contact:

#12 Postby Eyes2theSkies » Sat Aug 27, 2005 8:15 pm

yes homestead totally destroyed. but miami 25 miles up the road minimal damage.
0 likes   

djtil
Category 2
Category 2
Posts: 699
Joined: Fri Jul 08, 2005 10:09 am

#13 Postby djtil » Sat Aug 27, 2005 8:46 pm

Do you realize that at this moment hurricane force winds extend 45 miles out form the center???


are you now saying that itll only take hurricane force winds to destory new orleans?

you are either trolling or ignorant....neither is an excuse.
0 likes   

User avatar
CFL
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 352
Joined: Tue Aug 31, 2004 5:12 pm
Location: Alabama

#14 Postby CFL » Sat Aug 27, 2005 9:06 pm

I am concerned about the Aquarium of the Americas. I love that place and have visited it 3 times. Absolutely beautiful place. The New Orleans Zoo is great, too. That's actually one of those cities that really has something for everyone.
0 likes   

User avatar
Sean in New Orleans
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1794
Joined: Thu Aug 28, 2003 7:26 pm
Location: New Orleans, LA 30.0N 90.0W
Contact:

#15 Postby Sean in New Orleans » Sat Aug 27, 2005 9:18 pm

We're going NOWHERE. Remember I said this. Even if the eye goes over Downtown New Orleans, we'll be back in full force in a matter of weeks. I promise you that...we love our city and we love our life in this city wayyyy too much to ever let it go. And besides, where on Earth would you find good food??? :D
0 likes   

TazzyD
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 390
Joined: Sat Aug 28, 2004 9:47 pm
Location: Indiana

#16 Postby TazzyD » Sat Aug 27, 2005 9:22 pm

I don't know what will happen, but I do want to say that NO looks very beautiful in that pic with the lights reflecting off the water.
0 likes   

User avatar
artist
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 9792
Joined: Mon Jun 06, 2005 3:26 pm
Location: West Palm

#17 Postby artist » Sat Aug 27, 2005 9:22 pm

I am not a troll nor ignorant - I have been thru 2 storms - someone saying New Orleans is safe because they are 50 miles inland with a storm of this size is wrong. Not only will there be winds to deal with but the flooding as well. Do you live there? IF so and this hits there come back and tell me it was a piece of cake.
0 likes   

User avatar
ajurcat
Tropical Depression
Tropical Depression
Posts: 54
Joined: Fri Jul 08, 2005 4:46 pm
Location: Jersey Village, TX

#18 Postby ajurcat » Sat Aug 27, 2005 9:25 pm

Sean in New Orleans wrote:We're going NOWHERE. Remember I said this. Even if the eye goes over Downtown New Orleans, we'll be back in full force in a matter of weeks. I promise you that...we love our city and we love our life in this city wayyyy too much to ever let it go. And besides, where on Earth would you find good food??? :D

That's what I love about NOLA! Whatever happens, you will be back and that includes all the area communities, cities, etc. 8-)
0 likes   

User avatar
artist
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 9792
Joined: Mon Jun 06, 2005 3:26 pm
Location: West Palm

#19 Postby artist » Sat Aug 27, 2005 9:30 pm

It will be back if it is hit - amaing how communities come together at a time like this, but it will take a long time to recover.
0 likes   

EverythingIsEverything
Tropical Storm
Tropical Storm
Posts: 107
Joined: Tue Aug 31, 2004 4:18 pm
Location: Virginia Beach, Virginia
Contact:

#20 Postby EverythingIsEverything » Sat Aug 27, 2005 9:33 pm

Are folks really this dramatic!?!?!? it like a big crowd hyping each other up. And I am not saying there wont be severe damage, but some of these dramatics are like bad acting on a soap opera.
0 likes   


Return to “Talkin' Tropics”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 288 guests