Katrina Northern movement??

[rockyman]

It's moving WNW:

Hurricane Katrina Intermediate Advisory Number 18a


Statement as of 7:00 PM CDT on August 27, 2005


...Dangerous Hurricane Katrina begins to move toward the
west-northwest...
A Hurricane Watch is in effect along the northern Gulf Coast from
Intracoastal City to the Alabama-Florida border.

A Hurricane Warning will likely be required for portions of the
northern Gulf Coast later tonight. Interests in this area should
monitor the progress of Katrina.

For storm information specific to your area...including possible
inland watches and warnings...please monitor products issued
by your local weather office.

At 7 PM CDT...0000z...the center of Hurricane Katrina was located
near latitude 24.8 north...longitude 85.9 west or about 360 miles
southeast of the mouth of the Mississippi River.

Katrina has begun to move toward the west-northwest near 7 mph.
This general motion should continue tonight and Sunday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 115 mph...with higher gusts.
Katrina is a category three hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson
scale. Strengthening is forecast during the next 24 hours...and
Katrina could become a category four hurricane later tonight or
Sunday.

Hurricane force winds extend outward up to 45 miles from the
center...and tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 160
miles. NOAA buoy 42003 located northwest of the center recently
reported sustained winds of 54 mph with a gust to 64 mph and
25-foot waves.

The latest minimum central pressure reported by an Air Force
reconnaissance plane was 944 mb...27.88 inches.

Data from buoys indicate that 12-foot waves are already approaching
portions of the northern Gulf Coast. Storm surge flooding along the
southwestern coast of Florida should subside tonight.

Katrina is expected to produce additional rainfall amounts of 3 to
5 inches over extreme western Cuba...and 1 to 3 inches of rainfall
is expected over the Yucatan Peninsula. Heavy rains from Katrina
should begin to affect the central Gulf Coast Sunday evening.
Rainfall totals of 5 to 10 inches...with isolated maximum amounts
of 15 inches...are possible across the central Gulf Coast.

Repeating the 7 PM CDT position...24.8 N... 85.9 W. Movement
toward...west-northwest near 7 mph. Maximum sustained winds...115
mph. Minimum central pressure... 944 mb.

The next advisory will be issued by the National Hurricane Center at
10 PM CDT.

Forecaster Avila

[PTrackerLA]

Looks like Kat is riding along 25N right now. Definately no north turn occuring right now...

[MyrtleBeachGal]

This sat view makes Katrina look like a spinning top

http://www.meteo.psu.edu/~gadomski/SAT_ATL/anim16ir.html

[tampastorm]

This is ABSOLUTELY amazing! Seriously I live in Tampa and I honestly just dont feel like we out of the woods. I dont by any means am saying a direct hit, just more effects then anyone thinks. Wait and see.

[tampastorm]

PPl can say what they want , I swear I see Northwest. I am so confused!!!

[Tampa Bay Hurricane]

tampastorm this is a large storm so winds really
extend out a whole lot
today we had 50 mph gusts in
downtown st.pete with a band, although the winds were
gusting to 60 here where I am right on the bay with that
monster band earlier.

Again I am not expecting a direct hit or hard right but
given the increase in the system's size the rainbands
may be severe as they roll through tonight and tomorrow.

[The Sum of all fears]

i bet 50$ that its going to move to the East of NHC track...


BTW this is my Computer Output:



To suppor this check this link..

http://burgessltd.com/trackinboard/viewtopic.php?t=27

[Stormcenter]

Is Katrina back to a primarily westward track?


http://www.rap.ucar.edu/weather/satelli ... duration=6

[The Sum of all fears]

NHC reports a WNW track. SAT Images show a Wobble maybe, if it keeps moving like that then yes

[AL Chili Pepper]

Is Katrina back to a primarily westward track?


http://www.rap.ucar.edu/weather/satelli ... duration=6

Wow, she's really getting her act together.

Last two plots from NHC showed more NW than WNW, but that satellite looks like she's stair-stepping WNW.

[tampastorm]

I also see a wobble west, but when it is said and done I am also betting 100 miles east of the NHC track.

[The Sum of all fears]

She is following some Upper level winds that is push her, its off the the NE of her, Its got the Stair thing going to that will make her go W WWN NW and start all over. But its fading away so se will be picked up by the weaking front that is moving down that may push her east.

[tampastorm]

East?! How far?

[The Sum of all fears]

From this image Tampastorm it looks like FL Pensacola is Land Fall..



You and me are on the same track, 100 East of NHC sound right too me.

[Air Force Met]

From this image Tampastorm it looks like FL Pensacola is Land Fall..



You and me are on the same track, 100 East of NHC sound right too me.

To be honest here...you have no idea what you are talking about. You are supporting a forecast track by posting a shear map...which is only showing the great outflow on the north and east side.

Must be nice to make a bad forecast and not have to pay a price for it later.

[jkt21787]

From this image Tampastorm it looks like FL Pensacola is Land Fall..



You and me are on the same track, 100 East of NHC sound right too me.

To be honest here...you have no idea what you are talking about. You are supporting a forecast track by posting a shear map...which is only showing the great outflow on the north and east side.

Must be nice to make a bad forecast and not have to pay a price for it later.

Thanks for putting some sense to this thread. I have been laughing reading some of these posts, its unbelieveable.

Using shear maps to track a hurricane! Classic!

[Air Force Met]

Classically bad...and definetly proves the poster is an amatuer.

[The Sum of all fears]

Humm Wind Shear..... Doesnt that have somthing to do with it moving???????

Im no MET... and with that said From all my post on these forums, Ive been right. I said they we going to shift West. and NHC havd the track going in to NE FL. I Watched her Drop South on Radar when she made first land fall... I said when they Shifted West that the track are wrong and will shift east. and they have been. Please your a PRO MET we look to you for forecasting please tell us where it going.

[skysummit]

Wind Shear does not have anything to do with moving a hurricane...especially one like Katrina. YOU REALLY DO NEED TO GET OFF THIS BOARD OR AT LEAST STOP GIVING PEOPLE FALSE ADVISE.

[Air Force Met]

Humm Wind Shear..... Doesnt that have somthing to do with it moving???????

Im no MET... and with that said From all my post on these forums, Ive been right. I said they we going to shift West. and NHC havd the track going in to NE FL. I Watched her Drop South on Radar when she made first land fall... I said when they Shifted West that the track are wrong and will shift east. and they have been. Please your a PRO MET we look to you for forecasting please tell us where it going.

Only if the wind shear is moving RIGHT OVER THE TOP OF THE SYSTEM...and maybe not even then.

As far as where I think it's going...I've made it pretty obvious...look it up. Do more reading...and less prognosticating...and you may learn some things.