950MB...wow

[MWatkins]

Please stick this under the recon thread at some point...but wow...950MB:

http://twister.sbs.ohio-state.edu/text/ ... RNT12.KNHC

MW

[Radar]

*GULP*

[Ixolib]

Please stick this under the recon thread at some point...but wow...950MB:

http://twister.sbs.ohio-state.edu/text/ ... RNT12.KNHC

MW

Generally speaking, what would that translate to in surface conditions?

[MWatkins]

Please stick this under the recon thread at some point...but wow...950MB:

http://twister.sbs.ohio-state.edu/text/ ... RNT12.KNHC

MW

Generally speaking, what would that translate to in surface conditions?

Generally speaking...

Surface winds near 125/130 MPH...and really generally...bad weather.

MW

[Ixolib]

Please stick this under the recon thread at some point...but wow...950MB:

http://twister.sbs.ohio-state.edu/text/ ... RNT12.KNHC

MW

Generally speaking, what would that translate to in surface conditions?

Generally speaking...

Surface winds near 125/130 MPH...and really generally... bad weather.
MW

Made me grin on that one!!

[djtil]

its rather concerning that she has achieved 950 before even closing off an eyewall.

[wayoutfront]

9/20/1967-BEULAH. 28.05/950 mb - 120-Mph. Texas.

10/3/1964 - HILDA. 28.05/950 mb - 115-Mph. Louisiana.

8/23/1999 - BRET. 28.08/951 mb - 115-Mph. Texas.

9/8/1974 - CARMEN. 28.11/952 mb - 120-Mph. Louisiana.

9/23/1975 - ELOISE. 28.20/955 mb - 125-Mph. Florida Panhandle

just a few samples

[Ixolib]

9/20/1967-BEULAH. 28.05/950 mb - 120-Mph. Texas.

10/3/1964 - HILDA. 28.05/950 mb - 115-Mph. Louisiana.

8/30/1942. 28.05/950 mb Texas.

8/23/1999 - BRET. 28.08/951 mb - 115-Mph. Texas.

9/8/1974 - CARMEN. 28.11/952 mb - 120-Mph. Louisiana.

9/23/1975 - ELOISE. 28.20/955 mb - 125-Mph. Florida Panhandle

Cool - you're quick on the research, no doubt!!

[wayoutfront]

9/20/1967-BEULAH. 28.05/950 mb - 120-Mph. Texas.

10/3/1964 - HILDA. 28.05/950 mb - 115-Mph. Louisiana.

8/30/1942. 28.05/950 mb Texas.

8/23/1999 - BRET. 28.08/951 mb - 115-Mph. Texas.

9/8/1974 - CARMEN. 28.11/952 mb - 120-Mph. Louisiana.

9/23/1975 - ELOISE. 28.20/955 mb - 125-Mph. Florida Panhandle

Cool - you're quick on the research, no doubt!!

I saw the raw message and thought I saw 950 and wanted to see what it meant. LOL google is good

[MWatkins]

The 6:15Z satellite image is impressive...it's on the GHCC server already but soon...it will be here...

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT ... IR4/20.jpg

Come on Katrina...go to Mexico!

MW

[Steve]

Also significant from the vortex messgae is the 24.23N. I realize the storm is kind of quasi looping its way to the WSW, but that's got to be the farthest south it's been since the Western Atlantic.

Steve

[sponger]

I know its supposed to turn but the lower this gets, the less effect weakness in the ridge and the troph will have. Any chance this thing could get lifted by the troph and dropped? Its been awhile since I have seen that happen but I am beginning to wonder.

[Matt-hurricanewatcher]

Its looking like a cat3 hurricane.

[Anonymous]

6.0 on Dvorak...which is a Category 4

[skysummit]

I wonder if we'll get an update before 5a.m. to intensify it.

[Ixolib]

I'm wondering if the land masses of Cuba to the south and FL to the east are in any way hnidering Katrina - not that 950MB indicates a hindrence? In other words, if she's this strong in this area - "realetively" bounded by dry earth on two sides - will she behave differently once removed from those influences??

[stormspotter]

6.0 on Dvorak...which is a Category 4

Mike can you give us a quick landfall and intensity forecast, really enjoy watching your video updates.

[Huckster]

I know its supposed to turn but the lower this gets, the less effect weakness in the ridge and the troph will have. Any chance this thing could get lifted by the troph and dropped? Its been awhile since I have seen that happen but I am beginning to wonder.

It is definitely not all that common to see hurricanes moving SW or WSW in the Gulf, especially for as long as this one has. One notable exception that I can think of in the last 30 years was Anita in 1977. I don't think it will get dropped, but the fact that it is STILL moving south of west is impressive, and I am not sure if any of the models yesterday (I know it's technically Saturday, but I am thinking yesterday as in Thursday) indicated that this movement would have lasted so long. The ridge is still strong and Katrina is already probably south of the latest TPC track by a little ways. I am usually the Doubting Thomas when it comes to Louisiana storms/hurricanes, especially the Doomsday NO scenario (even though I know it can and will happen someday), but right now, it's hard for my little mind to argue with all the models and the current trend. It doesn't look good, that's all I can say, and despite a track similar to the 1947 'cane being the worst case scenario, as a Louisianan who has seen firsthand the wetlands loss/coastal erosion and seen the leveed canals and water around NO that are actually above the surrounding land, I can tell you that no matter what direction this thing moves, if it gets close to New Orleans, there is going to be very serious damage all across southeast Louisiana and coastal Mississippi, IMO, far worse than Betsy.