Katrina....Appears To Be Due West Now

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Sean in New Orleans
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Katrina....Appears To Be Due West Now

#1 Postby Sean in New Orleans » Fri Aug 26, 2005 8:00 pm

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#2 Postby raynpa » Fri Aug 26, 2005 8:01 pm

moving more sw now than earlier.....
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MiamiensisWx

#3 Postby MiamiensisWx » Fri Aug 26, 2005 8:03 pm

Yep... appears in the last frame to have wobbled on a track more due west after a wobble to the west-southwest. It still appears to be moving just south of due west, though.
Last edited by MiamiensisWx on Fri Aug 26, 2005 8:05 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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#4 Postby jasons2k » Fri Aug 26, 2005 8:03 pm

WSW. Look at the markers I have in these images:

http://www.storm2k.org/phpbb2/viewtopic ... &start=160
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#5 Postby skysummit » Fri Aug 26, 2005 8:05 pm

The more and more I look at water vapor, the more I think Texas. I just cannot see that trough digging south enough to pull her north. Look in the gulf. The only southerly flow is on the western perimeter of the high. Could she actually ride the bottom of the high and curve up in the western gulf? That's what I see right now on WV, but I know it'll probably change.
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#6 Postby arizonasooner » Fri Aug 26, 2005 8:08 pm

Lake Charles hasn't had one in awhile.... Maybe Katrina will be a cajun...
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#7 Postby rtd2 » Fri Aug 26, 2005 8:11 pm

skysummit wrote:The more and more I look at water vapor, the more I think Texas. I just cannot see that trough digging south enough to pull her north. Look in the gulf. The only southerly flow is on the western perimeter of the high. Could she actually ride the bottom of the high and curve up in the western gulf? That's what I see right now on WV, but I know it'll probably change.



Whats the UPPER atmosphere Maps showing? Say at 700mb? WV is NOT a good tool.....
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#8 Postby Sean in New Orleans » Fri Aug 26, 2005 8:14 pm

Definitely don't wish it on anyone, but, we don't want it in New Orleans....I'm not kidding.
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#9 Postby PurdueWx80 » Fri Aug 26, 2005 8:15 pm

rtd2 wrote:
skysummit wrote:The more and more I look at water vapor, the more I think Texas. I just cannot see that trough digging south enough to pull her north. Look in the gulf. The only southerly flow is on the western perimeter of the high. Could she actually ride the bottom of the high and curve up in the western gulf? That's what I see right now on WV, but I know it'll probably change.



Whats the UPPER atmosphere Maps showing? Say at 700mb? WV is NOT a good tool.....


Umm...it most certainly is. WV channel is a tracer of water vapor molecules between about 800 (at lowest) and 300 mb (at highest) - mostly from 700 to 500, right where it counts.
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#10 Postby skysummit » Fri Aug 26, 2005 8:15 pm

rtd2 wrote:
skysummit wrote:The more and more I look at water vapor, the more I think Texas. I just cannot see that trough digging south enough to pull her north. Look in the gulf. The only southerly flow is on the western perimeter of the high. Could she actually ride the bottom of the high and curve up in the western gulf? That's what I see right now on WV, but I know it'll probably change.



Whats the UPPER atmosphere Maps showing? Say at 700mb? WV is NOT a good tool.....


I'm not sure. I'm not a met. I'm just looking at WV for steering info and to see where that trough is. It's moving east, but not really digging south.
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#11 Postby Indystorm » Fri Aug 26, 2005 8:18 pm

Notice as well with that loop that the convection is now starting to wrap around on the east and north sides of the hurricane as it moves westward into the Gulf, perhaps mitigating the dry air intrusion from the north and mixing it out. This should aid increased strengthening.
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#12 Postby Brent » Fri Aug 26, 2005 8:18 pm

All I have to say is...

IT'S ABOUT TIME.

Maybe now we can nail down this landfall.
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#13 Postby LAwxrgal » Fri Aug 26, 2005 8:20 pm

This was supposed to happen.
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#14 Postby mvtrucking » Fri Aug 26, 2005 8:20 pm

Brent wrote:All I have to say is...

IT'S ABOUT TIME.

Maybe now we can nail down this landfall.


Shouldn't the new models be out in the next 30 mins?
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#15 Postby hicksta » Fri Aug 26, 2005 8:21 pm

Wobble watchers unite!
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Opal storm

#16 Postby Opal storm » Fri Aug 26, 2005 8:22 pm

I agree,looks to be back on a due west track...for now at least.
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MiamiensisWx

#17 Postby MiamiensisWx » Fri Aug 26, 2005 8:23 pm

hicksta wrote:Wobble watchers unite!


Agreed. At times like this, wobbles can possibly greatly influence a storm's track and/or strength.
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#18 Postby Brent » Fri Aug 26, 2005 8:24 pm

mvtrucking wrote:
Brent wrote:All I have to say is...

IT'S ABOUT TIME.

Maybe now we can nail down this landfall.


Shouldn't the new models be out in the next 30 mins?


Been out for an hour... clustered around New Orleans...
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#19 Postby hicksta » Fri Aug 26, 2005 8:24 pm

Hurricanes stair step... A wobble south there a wobble west there= WSW
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Opal storm

#20 Postby Opal storm » Fri Aug 26, 2005 8:26 pm

I think by tomorrow we will start to see some wobbles to the north,if not a WNW track.
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