Possibly Texas

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dwg71
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#21 Postby dwg71 » Fri Aug 26, 2005 7:00 pm

raynpa wrote:Models will shift west and be centered over southwest La. by tommorow night.


based on what??? Do you own a flux capacitor , you know the device that makes time travel possible? :lol:
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Portastorm
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#22 Postby Portastorm » Fri Aug 26, 2005 7:05 pm

I'll tell you what it's based on. Seen the NAM lately?

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... _fpc.shtml

Yeah I know its not a tropical forecast model .... but it is something to consider nevertheless.
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HouTXmetro
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#23 Postby HouTXmetro » Fri Aug 26, 2005 7:05 pm

raynpa wrote:Models will shift west and be centered over southwest La. by tommorow night.


Umm, are you -removed- or do you honeslty believe that? Where are you from Ray? Now I'll be the firt to admit I wishcast sometime.
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#24 Postby raynpa » Fri Aug 26, 2005 7:12 pm

No -removed-...models have been trending west since last night..Katrina might actually never make a turn and hit Mexico.
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perk
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#25 Postby perk » Fri Aug 26, 2005 7:12 pm

Scorpion hurricane Carla hit the central Texas coast in 1961 and it was'nt a cape verde storm it formed in the southwest caribbean.
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#26 Postby susan » Fri Aug 26, 2005 8:09 pm

Alicia was major to those of us who went through it..And while I don't feel the Galveston area is in any danger from this storm, I think people need to take the 3 second rule to think before they post...Someone's reason we won't get stuck is because we have not been hit in years? :eek: ...
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#27 Postby skysummit » Fri Aug 26, 2005 8:11 pm

I'm also kinda starting to think Texas. Looking at WV, I don't see her pulling north anytime soon. I actually see her maybe riding the southern perimeter of the high and then curving north around the western edge of the high.
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#28 Postby sfgal » Fri Aug 26, 2005 8:17 pm

From Shoshanna's quote re: Audrey:

A publication by Texas A&M in 1975 suggests that the majority of persons who drowned in Audrey had climbed trees to escape rising waters were bitten by snakes also taking refuge there, then fell into the water.


Just a brief interruption to declare that is one of the creepiest/scariest things I've ever read about hurricanes.

Back to your regularly scheduled programming. . .
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AL Chili Pepper
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#29 Postby AL Chili Pepper » Fri Aug 26, 2005 8:22 pm

I've read everyone else's opinion, so here's mine. After staring at the water vapor loop, I'm not convinced that Kat won't still make a hit in the FL Panhandle. Ridge (judging by the loop) doesn't look as strong as it did 12 hours ago over GA. There's still enough ridging over the NE Gulf to keep her poking along toward the W or WSW for a while longer, but IMO that might not last much longer.
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ROCK
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#30 Postby ROCK » Fri Aug 26, 2005 8:24 pm

Scorpion wrote:Alicia wasn't a major at landfall. It also formed in the GOM. So the last big hit from a CV cane was in 61.



you so need to brush up on your history.... :roll:
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hicksta
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#31 Postby hicksta » Fri Aug 26, 2005 8:25 pm

Alicia was a cat 3. Hit South of Glaveston on bolivar point
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#32 Postby skysummit » Fri Aug 26, 2005 8:26 pm

AL Chili Pepper wrote:I've read everyone else's opinion, so here's mine. After staring at the water vapor loop, I'm not convinced that Kat won't still make a hit in the FL Panhandle. Ridge (judging by the loop) doesn't look as strong as it did 12 hours ago over GA. There's still enough ridging over the NE Gulf to keep her poking along toward the W or WSW for a while longer, but IMO that might not last much longer.


But how could she turn into a flow from the north?
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