what peak category do u think she will be in gom?

[truballer#1]

cat.1
cat.2
cat.3
cat.4
cat.5

[hicksta]

4.

[cjrciadt]

Cat5 160mph, matching Dennis peak less at landfall, hope I dont eat my words.

[sponger]

Cat 5. Doubtfull at landfall but Sun I would not be suprised. Dry air is the only thing that could prevent it. But this is the persisant little storm that could

[beachbum_al]

Strong 4 borderline 5 but will weaken to a 4 when landfall occurs.

[LSU2001]

I will say strong 3 to strong 4
but 5 is not out of the question.
Fives are so rare and in the northern gulf the water may not support a strong 5 for long but I do think she will be a major at landfall.
TIm

[Steve Cosby]

If over near New Orleans: Cat. 4

If near Destin/Mobile/Pensacola: weakening but probably Cat. 3.

I base this on water temperatures. (See: https://www.navo.navy.mil/cgi-bin/graphic.pl/metoc/40/19/0-0-5/0 - this is a Navy site - it really is OK to say "yes" to the security warnings)

[NastyCat4]

Cat 5 in Gulf. Cat 4 at landfall in the Mississippi/Louisiana area.I think this one is a serious threat for NOLA.

[deltadog03]

la westward CAT 4 or 5.....ms eastward 3-4

[Florida_TSR]

The GOM is running on average 3 degrees ABOVE normal with some spots even higher. This combined with very low shear = a very bad situation developing. When they put the order to leave please go. Do not ride this one out. This one looks very bad guys.

[kevin]

Category 5.

[DoctorHurricane2003]

Cat 5 is certainly not out of the question by any means.

[Eyes2theSkies]

5 for a couple of hours

[Matt-hurricanewatcher]

Here is my thinking...Right now it has to deal with some Mid level shear/dry air over its northwestern quad. In which is what it had to deal with as it was off Florida. But already she is starting to develop banding over the northwest quad/eyewall. In which I expect the eyewall over the next 12 hours to spread off into banding. Which will block the enfavorable enviroment from getting into the core. This is what was going on with the storm when it was about 3 to 6 hours from landfall. In this is what we are seeing again. But this time it should have more then enough time. To grow into a very powrful storm.

I say a cat3 by 5am/961 millibars...


I also think that if it go's west of Mobile. That the Tchp should be able to support a cat4 or 5 hurricane.

I'm thinking around 125 knots/945 millibars???

[truballer#1]

I predict cat5 with winds of 160 over GOM with pressure of 925 and landfall of cat 4 with winds 150mph. dont think its going to lose intensity a lot when rolls near land.

[canegrl04]

Strong 4,borderline 5

[ohiostorm]

At landfall.... strong 4... could reach 5 at its peak.

[bcp]

I don't think she will make Cat 5.

I have noticed that a lot of posters here would answer Cat 5 if you asked the same question about any tropical wave. J/K

Fantastic site

[JtSmarts]

Strong 4
Moderate 4/Strong 3 Landfall

[BamaMan]

Man , I hope all of you are wrong . . . . but most likely not.