N.O. Question Mets please answer

This is the general tropical discussion area. Anyone can take their shot at predicting a storms path.

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Forum rules

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.

Help Support Storm2K
Message
Author
User avatar
SouthFloridawx
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 8346
Age: 47
Joined: Tue Jul 26, 2005 1:16 am
Location: Sarasota, FL
Contact:

N.O. Question Mets please answer

#1 Postby SouthFloridawx » Fri Aug 26, 2005 3:17 pm

What would a hit on New Orleans be like as a Cat. 4 Hurricane? I know they are below sea level a couple of us have had a conversation but, have no facts to back it up and do not live there. Can anyone give me an idea?

Image
0 likes   

jax

#2 Postby jax » Fri Aug 26, 2005 3:18 pm

all i can suggest is.... Get out of town...
0 likes   

User avatar
skysummit
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 5305
Age: 49
Joined: Tue Aug 31, 2004 11:09 pm
Location: Ponchatoula, LA
Contact:

#3 Postby skysummit » Fri Aug 26, 2005 3:25 pm

I'm not a pro met, but you're talking total devistation. A study was done by LSU that showed a slow moving cat 3 hurricance coming from the SE would put 12 - 16 feet of water inside New Orleans. Now, with NOLA being below sea level, it could take up to 6 - 8 months for all the water to be pumped out.
The majority of highways that exit NOLA has to cross water at some point so it's important to start evacs early. What would normally take 2 hours to drive, would take 8 hours in an evac.
0 likes   

User avatar
sunny
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 7031
Joined: Fri Aug 06, 2004 2:11 pm
Location: New Orleans

#4 Postby sunny » Fri Aug 26, 2005 3:28 pm

Kiss New Olreans bye-bye.
0 likes   

duris
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 252
Joined: Wed Sep 08, 2004 9:21 am
Location: New Orleans

#5 Postby duris » Fri Aug 26, 2005 3:29 pm

Check the web site http://www.nola.com. It has the Times-Picayune's lengthy series about the possible scenarios for New Orleans.
0 likes   

smashmode
Tropical Storm
Tropical Storm
Posts: 173
Joined: Thu Sep 02, 2004 8:05 pm

#6 Postby smashmode » Fri Aug 26, 2005 3:42 pm

The geography of Louisana changes. Pretty big impact.
0 likes   

BReb
Tropical Storm
Tropical Storm
Posts: 203
Joined: Sun Sep 05, 2004 12:39 pm

#7 Postby BReb » Fri Aug 26, 2005 3:45 pm

My question is- how much better would it be for NOLA if the storm were moving due north or NNE as it hit NOLA? Would that pump a lot less water into Ponchatrain?

It seems unlikely to me that Katrina will be coming from the SE if it hits NO. From the south is more likely.
0 likes   

User avatar
sunny
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 7031
Joined: Fri Aug 06, 2004 2:11 pm
Location: New Orleans

#8 Postby sunny » Fri Aug 26, 2005 3:47 pm

BReb wrote:My question is- how much better would it be for NOLA if the storm were moving due north or NNE as it hit NOLA? Would that pump a lot less water into Ponchatrain?

It seems unlikely to me that Katrina will be coming from the SE if it hits NO. From the south is more likely.


A hurricane moving into New Orleans from the SE is the worst case scenario. Especially a major cane.
0 likes   

Kennethb
Category 2
Category 2
Posts: 506
Joined: Thu Aug 14, 2003 7:15 am
Location: Baton Rouge

#9 Postby Kennethb » Fri Aug 26, 2005 3:50 pm

Lots of worst case scenerios. Probably the worst would be a cat 3 or higher approaching slowly from the south - southwest. This would allow several days of east winds pushing water into Lake Pontchartrain, and as the stormed moved over or just east, push the higher water into the city.

Needless to say, any cat 3 or higher from any direction is not good, especially one that was moving slow or stalled.
0 likes   

Kennethb
Category 2
Category 2
Posts: 506
Joined: Thu Aug 14, 2003 7:15 am
Location: Baton Rouge

#10 Postby Kennethb » Fri Aug 26, 2005 3:50 pm

Lots of worst case scenerios. Probably the worst would be a cat 3 or higher approaching slowly from the south - southwest. This would allow several days of east winds pushing water into Lake Pontchartrain, and as the stormed moved over or just east, push the higher water into the city.

Needless to say, any cat 3 or higher from any direction is not good, especially one that was moving slow or stalled.
0 likes   

wjs3
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 633
Joined: Sat Aug 14, 2004 7:57 am

#11 Postby wjs3 » Fri Aug 26, 2005 3:51 pm

Here's an article I found in a quick Yahoo search...this should give you an idea...there appear to be a lot of other articles online (Search on Hurricane & New Orleans--but be sure to exclude the famous drink form your search!)


http://www.marcoeagle.com/hurricane/01/d632401a.htm

If you want to research a pretty bad new orleans storm, as I understand it (from My dad, who lived through it), the 1947 hurricane that hit NO was pretty bad
0 likes   

User avatar
HurryKane
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1941
Joined: Sun Sep 12, 2004 8:08 pm
Location: Diamondhead, Mississippi

#12 Postby HurryKane » Fri Aug 26, 2005 4:09 pm

As always, the Times-Picayune series on the worst-case scenario for a New Orleans hit:

http://www.nola.com/hurricane/?/washingaway/
0 likes   


Return to “Talkin' Tropics”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 314 guests