NO Evacuations, running out of time

[HouTXmetro]

I do understand that the "environment" will change in the next 72 hours, but watching WV loops right now, and watching the "flow" of everything out in the GOMEX, it appears to me (call it wishcast, whatever, sticks and stones my break my bones, your flames will never hurt me, or insert your own clever saying here) it would come into Texas. Is the continued WSW movement causing the model swing? Are the upper dynamics changing? Will the Packers beat the Bears both times this year? Should Jack Black probably not have done the movie Envy with Ben Stiller? This are all questions burning my very internet soul to the core.....

cheers,
loon

fUNNY...... I Feel you, even though I'll admit I wishcast sometimes.

[storms in NC]

If there is a threat, they're suppose to start Phase 1 Evacs at 50 hrs out.

From the looks of this storm, if needed they would have to start early Sat. am.

Opinion: From living here most my life, nobody's going to really start moving until Phase 3, Hence gridlock on the contraflow system again.

You know you all had a hurricane some years back and was flooded in some parts there. I had a 18 wheeler truck packed and ready to go and La turn it down. So I sent it to TX.

[goodlife]

Just so those that are not familiar with evacuation in New Orleans and to better understand the difficulty in getting out - below are the contraflow directions . . . . Be sure you know where you are going before you leave town and know what color flag to follow!! Seriously guys - the evacuation for New Orleans is not a simple "ok evacuate command".

I'm glad I live on the northshore....

[smashmode]

If Katrina decides to come here, we are screwed. Plain and simple. No way do you get everyone evacuated.

and the problem with that is... anyone not evacuated will drown.

Isnt that a little too much doom and gloom?

People have 2nd stories and roof's dont they?

[T-man]

Well, if I have to go, I can leave by land or water- I'm not so far from the intracoastal canal, I can gas up the boat and head west that way if need be. Our local officials have not made any decisions concerning evacs as of now, and the window will close soon if model forecasts hold steady for another 24 hrs. I hope everyone has gassed up their vehicles, or stocked up on supplies, this could be an interesting weekend in the metro area of N.O.

[sunny]

If Katrina decides to come here, we are screwed. Plain and simple. No way do you get everyone evacuated.

and the problem with that is... anyone not evacuated will drown.

Isnt that a little too much doom and gloom?

People have 2nd stories and roof's dont they?

Ah - the "vertical evacuation". No thank you.

Brent is right, by the way.

[gboudx]

T-man, who makes the call for Lafitte? Timmy Kerner or Broussard?

[dhweather]

We're already likely inside of the 3 days required to get as many people out as they can. Not to mention that if this pans out in tomorrow's runs, no one is going to be prepared and the stores will be swamped. Chances are (and this is just my gut) that the models will swing back and forth and settle somewhere east of here but maybe farther west than NW FL as I had thought. Regardless, we've got a legitimate shot at the strongest storm to hit the Northern Gulf Coast since Camille (per JB). I don't care if you live in Louisiana, Mississippi, Alabama or Florida, somebody's going to pay an EXTREMELY heavy price.

Steve

very well said Steve - got your emergency 12-pack ready?

[HurryKane]

If Katrina decides to come here, we are screwed. Plain and simple. No way do you get everyone evacuated.

and the problem with that is... anyone not evacuated will drown.

Isnt that a little too much doom and gloom?

People have 2nd stories and roof's dont they?

Oh man, not this argument again.

[Brent]

If Katrina decides to come here, we are screwed. Plain and simple. No way do you get everyone evacuated.

and the problem with that is... anyone not evacuated will drown.

Isnt that a little too much doom and gloom?

People have 2nd stories and roof's dont they?

Wind gets worse the higher up you go... that is not an option.

[Stud]

I've got a question about the contraflow. I'm in Houston now and plan on being back in BR for school on Monday (well that's what I like to say, but I can't miss the hurricane parties if school is cancelled). If I'd leave Htown Sunday would I be able to cross the MS river going into BR if I left early Sunday?

[Mattie]

http://www.dotd.state.la.us/maps/contraflowmap3.html

Here's the contaflow map -

See what happens to your route during evacuation.

[LSU2001]

yeah stud you should have no problem getting into BR from the west. all of the congestion will be west bound. However, if these models pan out and this is a cat 4 or 5 at landfall Baton Rouge will catch a whole lot of He##. Power will be out for days and it will not be very comfortable. Just thought you should know. I would wait and see what the actual landfall is going to be and if it is Southeast La. I would stay in houston.
JMHO,
TIm

[mvtrucking]

I've got a question about the contraflow. I'm in Houston now and plan on being back in BR for school on Monday (well that's what I like to say, but I can't miss the hurricane parties if school is cancelled). If I'd leave Htown Sunday would I be able to cross the MS river going into BR if I left early Sunday?

You would want to get off just before the bridge at Hwy 1 (The exit right after Port Allen) and go north(The traffic will be murder on the I-10 bridge). It will bring you down by the old bridge. Cross their and continue to I-110. Go south on 110 until you get to the LSU exit.(If you go to the other school PM me I can give you directions to get you around the I-10 bridge.

MV

[Steve]

>>very well said Steve - got your emergency 12-pack ready?

Not yet. But I will be hitting Sav-A-Center on Airline on the way home to get a quick 12pack and giant bag of ice. We've got NOTHING to eat at home and my wife has to work tonight and won't be home until the am.

We'll deal with things tomorrow.

Steve

[Sean in New Orleans]

I'm confident there will be an evacuation ordered in the morning with this shift to the West. I'm still sticking to West....It very well could go West of New Orleans. Houston...keep your eyes on this monster, as well. This slow moving August system is going to hit somewhere and whereever it occurs...things "ain't" going to be pretty. I'm going to start saying rosaries soon....I love my City wayyy too much to wish this on New Orleans....

[duris]

>>very well said Steve - got your emergency 12-pack ready?

Not yet. But I will be hitting Sav-A-Center on Airline on the way home to get a quick 12pack and giant bag of ice. We've got NOTHING to eat at home and my wife has to work tonight and won't be home until the am.

We'll deal with things tomorrow.

Steve

If you see a guy with a whie shirt and weird pants there, it'll be me

[Praxus]

-Isnt that a little too much doom and gloom?
-People have 2nd stories and roof's dont they?
-Wind gets worse the higher up you go... that is not an option

Ok lets get real...winds get higher yes, but a couple of stories scarcely
makes a difference. If I was in NO in a major hurricane and couldn't
get out, I would ride it out in a solid building above the second floor.
Not sit around at ground level waiting to drown like a lemming !

However, the infirm and the just plain ignorant would be in trouble.

[superfly]

I'll believe it when I see it. Until then, I maintain NOLA is immune to major hurricanes.

[sunny]

I'll believe it when I see it. Until then, I maintain NOLA is immune to major hurricanes.

Dude, I hope you are right.