Could The Trough Miss Katrina?

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TS Zack
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#21 Postby TS Zack » Fri Aug 26, 2005 11:07 am

New GFS, over my house.

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#22 Postby Javlin » Fri Aug 26, 2005 11:15 am

TS Zack wrote:New GFS, over my house.

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I know alot of the models are continuing to drive W.Ortt mentioned in his last update not as far W as he would like but that he does not like making that big of a change all at once.
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#23 Postby storms in NC » Fri Aug 26, 2005 11:21 am

I think the trof will pick her up and have to wait and see.
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#24 Postby hicksta » Fri Aug 26, 2005 11:23 am

She might just miss it....
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#25 Postby gatorcane » Fri Aug 26, 2005 11:23 am

she's still wobbling SW
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#26 Postby deltadog03 » Fri Aug 26, 2005 11:24 am

boca, its not a wobble its been like that for most of the morning....look at the coords...that and radar helped me see that..
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#27 Postby gatorcane » Fri Aug 26, 2005 11:25 am

I wanted to say moving SW but I thought I would get bashed for saying this...but how can NHC say it has been moving W???
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#28 Postby Rainband » Fri Aug 26, 2005 11:27 am

I find the water vapor interesting..looks like a little window has opned up near the middle of the panhandle. I say the turn will happen sooner than later. Ready for my crow now :lol:
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#29 Postby dwg71 » Fri Aug 26, 2005 11:28 am

Watch WV loop you can see the high pressure ridge centered over LA is moving W into East Texas. Cloud flow near Mississippi and the GREAT state of Alabama are moving due south and retrograding west. The trough in WY is now approaching th CO stateline. Everything appears to be happening just as NHC is predicting. Time will tell.
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#30 Postby gatorcane » Fri Aug 26, 2005 11:28 am

I find the water vapor interesting..looks like a little window has opned up near the middle of the panhandle. I say the turn will happen sooner than later. Ready for my crow
now

Really, what makes you say this? What are you seeing on the water vapor loop? I'm very curious.
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#31 Postby krysof » Fri Aug 26, 2005 11:29 am

Is New Orleans in danger? The track keeps shifting west and if this keeps up, the track will have it go straight towards New Orleans. Worse case scenario possible. I can't believe how fast it's growing. This is going to be a huge rainmaker all the way up the east coast.
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#32 Postby dwg71 » Fri Aug 26, 2005 11:30 am

boca_chris wrote:
I find the water vapor interesting..looks like a little window has opned up near the middle of the panhandle. I say the turn will happen sooner than later. Ready for my crow
now

Really, what makes you say this? What are you seeing on the water vapor loop? I'm very curious.


See link:

http://www.atmos.washington.edu/~ovens/ ... nhanced+12

And my above post...
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#33 Postby gatorcane » Fri Aug 26, 2005 11:33 am

still moving SW...
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#34 Postby deltadog03 » Fri Aug 26, 2005 11:33 am

dude, the ridge is strong and not migrated....
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#35 Postby hicksta » Fri Aug 26, 2005 11:35 am

how do you know this?
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#36 Postby gatorcane » Fri Aug 26, 2005 11:35 am

she's moving S of the NHC forecast points...we should expect a shift left in the projected path at 5pm at this rate...unless there is something I'm completely missing.
Last edited by gatorcane on Fri Aug 26, 2005 11:35 am, edited 1 time in total.
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#37 Postby hicksta » Fri Aug 26, 2005 11:35 am

Sorry double.
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Rainband

#38 Postby Rainband » Fri Aug 26, 2005 11:37 am

dwg71 wrote:
boca_chris wrote:
I find the water vapor interesting..looks like a little window has opned up near the middle of the panhandle. I say the turn will happen sooner than later. Ready for my crow
now

Really, what makes you say this? What are you seeing on the water vapor loop? I'm very curious.


See link:

http://www.atmos.washington.edu/~ovens/ ... nhanced+12

And my above post...
Nice link. :D Thanks and I agree. If you look at the southern edge near cuba..looks like Katrina is definately not going any further south thats for sure. Will be intersting to see when this turn occurs. Glad we dodged the bullet here but man do I feel for those folks north :(
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#39 Postby Eyes2theSkies » Fri Aug 26, 2005 11:38 am

dwg71 wrote:Watch WV loop you can see the high pressure ridge centered over LA is moving W into East Texas. Cloud flow near Mississippi and the GREAT state of Alabama are moving due south and retrograding west. The trough in WY is now approaching th CO stateline. Everything appears to be happening just as NHC is predicting. Time will tell.


I agree by looking at the watervapor looks like everything is right on NHC
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#40 Postby dwg71 » Fri Aug 26, 2005 11:41 am

deltadog03 wrote:dude, the ridge is strong and not migrated....


Dude, its moving west, the western edge is building towards NMex and the eastern edge is in AL, it is migrating West. Any other opinions other than the dog.

http://www.atmos.washington.edu/~ovens/ ... nhanced+12
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