Apalachicola in 72 hrs. says......

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dixiebreeze
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Apalachicola in 72 hrs. says......

#1 Postby dixiebreeze » Fri Aug 26, 2005 9:28 am

TAFB, after skimming the Tampa area in 48 hrs:

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/tafb_latest/atl ... testBW.gif
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Re: Apalachicola in 72 hrs. says......

#2 Postby melhow » Fri Aug 26, 2005 9:29 am

dixiebreeze wrote:TAFB, after skimming the Tampa area in 48 hrs:

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/tafb_latest/atl ... testBW.gif


Is there a link with text on that? Just curious, cause when they say "skim", how close does that mean?
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#3 Postby tallbunch » Fri Aug 26, 2005 9:30 am

looks like Atlanta is going to get soaked again.
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#4 Postby Brent » Fri Aug 26, 2005 9:30 am

That's basically what the NHC shows which has it missing Tampa by a good 150 miles.
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Re: Apalachicola in 72 hrs. says......

#5 Postby jax » Fri Aug 26, 2005 9:31 am

dixiebreeze wrote:TAFB, after skimming the Tampa area in 48 hrs:

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/tafb_latest/atl ... testBW.gif



I'm more in agreement with Ortts forcast... looking for a more westward
landfall... If that's the case... you should be ok. Buty i would still get ice
if i were you...
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#6 Postby dixiebreeze » Fri Aug 26, 2005 9:32 am

Brent wrote:That's basically what the NHC shows which has it missing Tampa by a good 150 miles.


That's about right, though a bit closer, I believe, to the Tampa area -- maybe 100 miles, give or take a few.
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Re: Apalachicola in 72 hrs. says......

#7 Postby melhow » Fri Aug 26, 2005 9:33 am

jax wrote:
dixiebreeze wrote:TAFB, after skimming the Tampa area in 48 hrs:

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/tafb_latest/atl ... testBW.gif



I'm more in agreement with Ortts forcast... looking for a more westward
landfall... If that's the case... you should be ok. Buty i would still get ice
if i were you...


Right on with the ice. Gotta have a cold cocktail to see this one through - it's turning into a tradition at our household to set up some lawnchairs in the fron yard, face west and toast as the storm passes...
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#8 Postby Rainband » Fri Aug 26, 2005 9:34 am

Depends on how big the storm gets and where it goes what we will get here on the WC . Hopefully everyone in the GOM is ready.. as we should have been since June 1rst!! :wink:
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#9 Postby Brent » Fri Aug 26, 2005 9:34 am

As more models run, I think the NHC is too far east. There's plenty of time for it to change, but I think Apalachicola's going to be on the east side of it, and maybe Panama City too.
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#10 Postby Rainband » Fri Aug 26, 2005 9:35 am

I am not sure..anything is possible at this point. Maybe Mexico will get another cane.
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#11 Postby dixiebreeze » Fri Aug 26, 2005 9:36 am

Rainband wrote:Depends on how big the storm gets and where it goes what we will get here on the WC . Hopefully everyone in the GOM is ready.. as we should have been since June 1rst!! :wink:


That's the truth, Rainband! At any rate, we are likely to be taking the brunt of the NE quadrant, so it may not be pretty along the Fla. W.C.
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#12 Postby Rainband » Fri Aug 26, 2005 9:38 am

dixiebreeze wrote:
Rainband wrote:Depends on how big the storm gets and where it goes what we will get here on the WC . Hopefully everyone in the GOM is ready.. as we should have been since June 1rst!! :wink:


That's the truth, Rainband! At any rate, we are likely to be taking the brunt of the NE quadrant, so it may not be pretty along the Fla. W.C.
If it follows the current forecast track we should be in better shape than before. Unless it gets huge. Like I said anything is possible. Watch and Wait.. Tick tock ...tick tock... :lol:
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Re: Apalachicola in 72 hrs. says......

#13 Postby seaswing » Fri Aug 26, 2005 9:40 am

melhow wrote:
jax wrote:
dixiebreeze wrote:TAFB, after skimming the Tampa area in 48 hrs:

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/tafb_latest/atl ... testBW.gif



I'm more in agreement with Ortts forcast... looking for a more westward
landfall... If that's the case... you should be ok. Buty i would still get ice
if i were you...


Right on with the ice. Gotta have a cold cocktail to see this one through - it's turning into a tradition at our household to set up some lawnchairs in the fron yard, face west and toast as the storm passes...


LOL!!! Good tradition! maybe I'll try that!!!
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#14 Postby Brent » Fri Aug 26, 2005 9:41 am

The far eastern edge of the cone at 11am is over Tampa...

http://maps.wunderground.com/data/image ... 2_5day.gif
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#15 Postby johngaltfla » Fri Aug 26, 2005 9:44 am

Brent wrote:The far eastern edge of the cone at 11am is over Tampa...

http://maps.wunderground.com/data/image ... 2_5day.gif


We really need the CONE OF DEATH moved away from our area. A Cat 2/3 in the Tampa Bay area would bankrupt the state....

:eek:
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Rainband

#16 Postby Rainband » Fri Aug 26, 2005 9:45 am

Brent wrote:The far eastern edge of the cone at 11am is over Tampa...

http://maps.wunderground.com/data/image ... 2_5day.gif
Back in the cone again. :roll: I think they are covering all bases. :wink: I think the weak steering flow is causing a lot of uncertainty. Although there seems to be a general model consensus. They are airing on the side of caution. I guess time will tell.
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#17 Postby Brent » Fri Aug 26, 2005 9:46 am

johngaltfla wrote:
Brent wrote:The far eastern edge of the cone at 11am is over Tampa...

http://maps.wunderground.com/data/image ... 2_5day.gif


We really need the CONE OF DEATH moved away from our area. A Cat 2/3 in the Tampa Bay area would bankrupt the state....

:eek:


Well... if it were to go to Tampa, it would get there a WHOLE lot sooner, but I think the chances are nil. There is not something to force it NE like Charley.
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Rainband

#18 Postby Rainband » Fri Aug 26, 2005 9:48 am

I agree Brent. I think it may give us a little more weather than i thought. I am still going with my Big Bend landfall. Getting out my crow cookbook though. :lol: :lol: :lol:
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