Stalling?

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Sanibel
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Stalling?

#1 Postby Sanibel » Fri Aug 26, 2005 1:43 am

I think I'm seeing a stalling wobble south.

I'm not sure, but this track is already erratic. If it is a stalling jerk south it could be reaching the limits of the High and spring out of this trap in a different direction than expected.

Or is it a burp upon hitting water and continued west?
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ConvergenceZone
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#2 Postby ConvergenceZone » Fri Aug 26, 2005 1:48 am

I'm glad I'm not the only one who noticed this! I was running the latest radar loops and thought. "I better check the board and see if anyone else notices a bit of a stall" and sure enough :).
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#3 Postby thunderchief » Fri Aug 26, 2005 1:54 am

slow moving storms often move erratically.
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#4 Postby tallywx » Fri Aug 26, 2005 1:54 am

0z GDFL run stalls Katrina briefly at 25.4N, 81.7W. She's at what? about 25.4N, 81.3W right now? So that's pretty close.
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NorthGaWeather

#5 Postby NorthGaWeather » Fri Aug 26, 2005 2:03 am

Looks to still be moving WSW around the same speed it was.
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#6 Postby mobilebay » Fri Aug 26, 2005 2:05 am

To me it looks like it is moving a tad slower but not stalled.
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#7 Postby LilNoles2005 » Fri Aug 26, 2005 2:05 am

NorthGaWeather wrote:Looks to still be moving WSW around the same speed it was.


WSW or SW?

I'm seeing a slow drift just south of west, if anything...
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#8 Postby mobilebay » Fri Aug 26, 2005 2:12 am

LilNoles2005 wrote:
NorthGaWeather wrote:Looks to still be moving WSW around the same speed it was.


WSW or SW?

I'm seeing a slow drift just south of west, if anything...

I agree Lilnoles.
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NorthGaWeather

#9 Postby NorthGaWeather » Fri Aug 26, 2005 2:12 am

LilNoles2005 wrote:
NorthGaWeather wrote:Looks to still be moving WSW around the same speed it was.


WSW or SW?

I'm seeing a slow drift just south of west, if anything...


I see WSW but I've been watching radar all day so.
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#10 Postby Stratosphere747 » Fri Aug 26, 2005 2:15 am

May be slowing just a bit...

But still going WSW, and at times as some have noted almost taking either a SW and almost due S jog at times..
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#11 Postby Sanibel » Fri Aug 26, 2005 2:17 am

The center is that little spot in the "curl" inside the bigger dry slot. It is tucked in the SW corner of the dry slot. This is the eye getting back together now that it is over Florida Bay.

Motion is crawling SW near stall...
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#12 Postby ConvergenceZone » Fri Aug 26, 2005 2:17 am

I guess it was the eyes playing tricks. From the latest just issued advisory. It's actually moving even faster:


<<"""Repeating the 3 am EDT position...25.3 N... 81.3 W. Movement
toward...west-southwest near 11 mph. Maximum sustained winds... 70
mph. Minimum central pressure... 990 mb."""">>
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#13 Postby ConvergenceZone » Fri Aug 26, 2005 2:18 am

What's really amazing about this is that it moves over Southern Florida and is over the land for several hours and it only 10 mph. Wow!!
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LilNoles2005
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I hate..

#14 Postby LilNoles2005 » Fri Aug 26, 2005 2:20 am

I hate to disagree with the NHC... but it sure doesn't look like the center is moving at 11 mph, and I'm pretty sure it hasn't moved 11 miles in the past hour.
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#15 Postby Sanibel » Fri Aug 26, 2005 2:31 am

Probably land interaction and the whole thing will kick-out west under the ridge...
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#16 Postby ConvergenceZone » Fri Aug 26, 2005 2:40 am

models really consolidating. Check out this graphic. Nice to see they are finally all coming into agreement and not so chaotic.

http://www.wunderground.com/tropical/tr ... model.html
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#17 Postby adelphi_sky » Fri Aug 26, 2005 2:48 am

Isn't it amazing how just as the eye reached teh water, the convection is getting thicker and more healthy around teh eye? What a machine!
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#18 Postby ConvergenceZone » Fri Aug 26, 2005 2:53 am

yep, it will be a hurricane again in just a few hours. The NHC said it could reach it later today, but I think that later this morning is more like it!
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#19 Postby Sanibel » Fri Aug 26, 2005 2:58 am

I think the WSW has stopped...
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#20 Postby TampaFl » Fri Aug 26, 2005 3:29 am

Sanibel wrote:I think the WSW has stopped...



:eek: :eek: :eek:
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