Hurricane Katrina

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Matt-hurricanewatcher

#361 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Thu Aug 25, 2005 7:58 pm

I wonder if the nhc made it out with no damage?
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#362 Postby wxwatcher91 » Thu Aug 25, 2005 7:58 pm

Brent wrote:
Astro_man92 wrote:This may be a dumb question but

Question: I've been outside for the past hour or so and I was wondering when did katrina reach max intensity before it started to weaken over land? or is it still strengthening?


Right as it made landfall... the 7pm advisory increased the winds to 80 mph and the center was just ashore.


might be just me but it looks like Katrina is maintaining at least 70 or 75mph right now... she moved south enough to feed on the strait south of Florida...

another "is it just me": does it look like the GFDL did pretty well showing the southern movement... what does that mean for its intensity forecast too?
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#363 Postby JtSmarts » Thu Aug 25, 2005 7:59 pm

pressure is also down from 985 to 984
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Coredesat

#364 Postby Coredesat » Thu Aug 25, 2005 8:00 pm

Pulling an Andrew (intensification over land), perhaps? :eek:
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#365 Postby gatorcane » Thu Aug 25, 2005 8:01 pm

it's amazing how far S of the NHC track line this storm went....Souther Broward and Miami-Dade are getting the worst of this storm...

Heavy rain in Palm Beach...I don't think so...just about 3/4 of an inch reported everywhere...not a rain soaker by any means...
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#366 Postby Andrew92 » Thu Aug 25, 2005 8:03 pm

I think I had heard that someone called it "the strongest Cat. 1 that they had ever experienced," and I think that someone is someone with experience.

That may be a hint of a re-analysis later on. But we'll see.

-Andrew92
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#367 Postby Coredesat » Thu Aug 25, 2005 8:03 pm

Maps for the model plots:
Image
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caneman

#368 Postby caneman » Thu Aug 25, 2005 8:03 pm

That indeed is something to be concerned with. The GUlf is boiling. Been red tide along Florida West coast all summer and really wonder if it has soething to do with the heat. This has got bomb written all over it. Small part ofthe state, hot water, favorable enironment. Rememer this thing went up 30 mph in just 12 hours today.
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#369 Postby deltadog03 » Thu Aug 25, 2005 8:05 pm

norcross just said that the eye went over NHC and they measured a pressure of 986....thats only 1mb up from landfall...amazing
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#370 Postby Opal storm » Thu Aug 25, 2005 8:05 pm

Brent wrote:WOW... no weakening yet.

Rough night for folks in the Miami area,I hate night storms.

With no weakening occuring it just makes me wonder what Katrina will do once in the Gulf. :eek:
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#371 Postby Ixolib » Thu Aug 25, 2005 8:07 pm

She'd better pretty soon make a hard, 70 degree turn to the right if she wants to follow this track!!

Image
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#372 Postby Brent » Thu Aug 25, 2005 8:07 pm

Andrew92 wrote:I think I had heard that someone called it "the strongest Cat. 1 that they had ever experienced," and I think that someone is someone with experience.

That may be a hint of a re-analysis later on. But we'll see.

-Andrew92


Jim Cantore said it...
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#373 Postby SouthFLTropics » Thu Aug 25, 2005 8:10 pm

Maybe one of the pro mets can comment on this but possibly their won't be much weakening with Katrina due to the fact that it is mainly going to pass over the swamp waters of the Everglades. I mean in reality all it has to do is get over the urban areas at the coast and then it is over swamp land the rest of the way to the GOM. This would not bode well for our friends up in the panhandle. If she emerges in the gulf as a cane then I would expect the intensity forecast to be upped quite a bit for the North GOM landfall.
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#374 Postby storms in NC » Thu Aug 25, 2005 8:13 pm

She is going to go out the tip of Fla and not the west side?
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#375 Postby The Sum of all fears » Thu Aug 25, 2005 8:13 pm

Live Radar shows it moving SSW, its heading to the Keys lol. Its just about right at the bottom of Florida....
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#376 Postby milankovitch » Thu Aug 25, 2005 8:20 pm

wxwatcher91 wrote:
Brent wrote:
Astro_man92 wrote:This may be a dumb question but

Question: I've been outside for the past hour or so and I was wondering when did katrina reach max intensity before it started to weaken over land? or is it still strengthening?


Right as it made landfall... the 7pm advisory increased the winds to 80 mph and the center was just ashore.


might be just me but it looks like Katrina is maintaining at least 70 or 75mph right now... she moved south enough to feed on the strait south of Florida...

another "is it just me": does it look like the GFDL did pretty well showing the southern movement... what does that mean for its intensity forecast too?


Based on the 8pm drop in pressure to 984 and winds kept at 80mph I guess it's still intensifiying. It's still seems to be pulling in energy from the ocean through the feeder bands which are for the most part still over water.
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#377 Postby Brent » Thu Aug 25, 2005 8:22 pm

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
918 PM EDT THU AUG 25 2005

FLZ071>074-260215-
BROWARD METROPOLITAN-MIAMI-DADE METROPOLITAN-WESTERN BROWARD-
WESTERN MIAMI DADE-
918 PM EDT THU AUG 25 2005

...HURRICANE FORCE WINDS CONTINUE ACROSS MIAMI-DADE AND BROWARD
COUNTIES...
...86 MPH WIND GUST RECORDED AT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE...

AT 910 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED THE
CENTER OF HURRICANE KATRINA WAS LOCATED NEAR TAMIAMI TRAIL JUST
WEST OF THE MIAMI METRO AREA. WIND GUSTS TO HURRICANE FORCE CONTINUE
TO BATTER MOST OF MIAMI-DADE COUNTY...WITH TROPICAL STORM FORCE
GUSTS CONTINUING OVER BROWARD COUNTY.

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE IN WEST MIAMI RECORDED
A WIND GUST TO 86 MPH AT 917 PM EDT. EXPECT THESE WINDS TO CONTINUE
FOR THE NEXT COUPLE HOURS...ESPECIALLY OVER WESTERN AND SOUTHERN
MIAMI-DADE.

CONDITIONS ARE EXTREMELY HAZARDOUS ACROSS THE AREA...AND VENTURING
OUTDOORS IS STRONGLY DISCOURAGED. TWO FATALITIES HAVE ALREADY
OCCURRED IN SOUTHEAST FLORIDA THIS EVENING...DON'T MAKE YOURSELF
ANOTHER STATISTIC.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER LOCAL MEDIA FOR FURTHER
DETAILS OR UPDATES.
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#378 Postby mtm4319 » Thu Aug 25, 2005 8:25 pm

The 10pm position estimate will probably have it around 25.7 N. A west-southwest movement is perpendicular to the angle of the coast, but it might even be moving enough southward to increase the time it's over land by an hour or two (but it probably won't make much difference).
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#379 Postby drezee » Thu Aug 25, 2005 8:27 pm

88mph at cbs4 studio just now!!
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#380 Postby mf_dolphin » Thu Aug 25, 2005 8:33 pm

mtm4319 wrote:The 10pm position estimate will probably have it around 25.7 N. A west-southwest movement is perpendicular to the angle of the coast, but it might even be moving enough southward to increase the time it's over land by an hour or two (but it probably won't make much difference).


Actually it's going to decrease it's time over land. Since the sw Florida coast slants to the SE it will be back in the water a hour or two ahead of schedule.
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