Is New Orleans out of the woods?

#1 Postby **micktooth** » Thu Aug 25, 2005 3:35 pm

None of our local mets have been too concerned about Katrina. Now the models have shifted pretty significantly to the west. Any opinions and realistic thoughts about NOLA, since most pros have already dismissed Katrina? :think:

hicksta · #2 Postby **hicksta** » Thu Aug 25, 2005 3:35 pm

Not anywhere close to being out of the woods. Neither is texas, no one is until she goes inland.

#3 Postby **cjrciadt** » Thu Aug 25, 2005 3:37 pm

micktooth wrote:None of our local mets have been too concerned about Katrina. Now the models have shifted pretty significantly to the west. Any opinions and realistic thoughts about NOLA, since most pros have already dismissed Katrina?

I would say no, though it has not even crossed FL yet. The GFDL has moved greatly West maybe Fri. afternoon before you can have some idea if you are in the path. http://www.wunderground.com/tropical/tracking/at200512_model.html

#4 Postby **Stormcenter** » Thu Aug 25, 2005 3:38 pm

Not out of the woods yet but at least they are not in the thick of them right now like the lower east coast of Florida is.

#5 Postby **LAwxrgal** » Thu Aug 25, 2005 3:38 pm

I said this in another thread.

Here's the problem. Local mets have mentioned a shortwave trough that's supposed to provide a wedge in between 2 high pressure ridges. Katrina is supposed to go through the opening between the two ridges of high pressure. The strength and timing of this trough is everything. It could go further west or east.

But the models have been flip-flopping...so you just have to keep watching.

(Sorry about that I'm tired :lol:

)

#6 Postby **deltadog03** » Thu Aug 25, 2005 6:24 pm

NOOOOOO WAAAAAY

superfly · #7 Postby **superfly** » Thu Aug 25, 2005 6:26 pm

If it reaches major hurricane status, NOLA is immune. If it doesn't, it could hit us.

rightbayou · #8 Postby **rightbayou** » Thu Aug 25, 2005 6:27 pm

The wise and powerful Breck says we are safe.Pay no attention to that man behind the curtain... :wink:

Eyes2theSkies · #9 Postby **Eyes2theSkies** » Thu Aug 25, 2005 6:29 pm

your safe in vegas

Ixolib · #10 Postby **Ixolib** » Thu Aug 25, 2005 6:31 pm

Eyes2theSkies wrote:your safe in vegas

Well, yeah, 'cause everybody knows what happens in Vegas stays in vegas...

WindRunner · #11 Postby **WindRunner** » Thu Aug 25, 2005 6:33 pm

Definately not, especially if she comes of the coast and makes a beeline for NO. That wouldn't be good at all in terms of it intensifying, but then it wouldn't hit you, which means it wouldn't intensify, which means it could hit you, which means . . .

Ugh, circles. You get my point, though. (I hope)

#12 Postby **micktooth** » Thu Aug 25, 2005 7:07 pm

I think it will be interesting to see any changes in forecasts and professional opinions a la Breck in the coming hours. 8-)

TPACane04 · #13 Postby **TPACane04** » Thu Aug 25, 2005 7:11 pm

NOT AN OFFICIAL FORECAST, PLEASE CONSULT NHC ADVISORIES:

Despite Hicksta's best efforts, Katrina will be a Florida 2nd landfall. Watch as the GFDL brings it back east next 24 hours.

Her slow pace will allow time for trough to eat into ridging.

Book it, Danno...

djtil · #14 Postby **djtil** » Thu Aug 25, 2005 7:18 pm

wxmann_91 · #15 Postby **wxmann_91** » Thu Aug 25, 2005 7:22 pm

No one is out of the woods yet, even in TX.

jkt21787 · #16 Postby **jkt21787** » Thu Aug 25, 2005 7:22 pm

I wouldn't say your out of the woods yet.

Models way too varied at this time. NOLA to the panhandle needs to watch. Once emerging into the Gulf, things will become much clearer and we can begin clearing some areas from potential threats.

CYCLONE MIKE · #17 Postby **CYCLONE MIKE** » Thu Aug 25, 2005 8:31 pm

LBAR now has Katrina coming straight at them from the SSE then turning NE across the Lake Ponchatrain.

Is New Orleans out of the woods?

Is New Orleans out of the woods?

Re: Is New Orleans out of the woods?

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