NWS Miami Long Range Radar

txwatcher91 · #101 Postby **txwatcher91** » Thu Aug 25, 2005 12:51 pm

Sanibel wrote:The dry slot north of the eye is now arching into the center at an increasing angle. I call this "rip curling" for lack of a better term.

Watch for rapid development now

Why does this cause rapid strenthening?

jax · #102 Postby **jax** » Thu Aug 25, 2005 12:52 pm

it doesn't....

Sanibel · #103 Postby **Sanibel** » Thu Aug 25, 2005 12:56 pm

I'm not 100% sure. But this increasing bend to the slot could be reflecting a sharp increase in the winds around the center and the steep angle of entry into a strengthening center.

In other words, it's the kind of thing you look for in a storm that is drawing inflow in more quickly.

Maybe it's nothing. Let's see...

txwatcher91 · #104 Postby **txwatcher91** » Thu Aug 25, 2005 1:01 pm

Sanibel wrote:I'm not 100% sure. But this increasing bend to the slot could be reflecting a sharp increase in the winds around the center and the steep angle of entry into a strengthening center.

In other words, it's the kind of thing you look for in a storm that is drawing inflow in more quickly.

Maybe it's nothing. Let's see...

Well, it looks like the dry area to the north of the center is beginning to fill in and the "eye wall" is looking like it is getting more intense.
http://radar.weather.gov/radar/loop/DS. ... kamx.shtml

gkrangers · #105 Postby **gkrangers** » Thu Aug 25, 2005 1:16 pm

The dry slot remains, and the eyewall is still ragged and disorganized.

Its been pulsing, for lack of a better term today.

But significant intensification is fairly unlikely.

#106 Postby **fci** » Thu Aug 25, 2005 1:18 pm

txwatcher91 wrote:
Sanibel wrote:I'm not 100% sure. But this increasing bend to the slot could be reflecting a sharp increase in the winds around the center and the steep angle of entry into a strengthening center.

In other words, it's the kind of thing you look for in a storm that is drawing inflow in more quickly.

Maybe it's nothing. Let's see...

Well, it looks like the dry area to the north of the center is beginning to fill in and the "eye wall" is looking like it is getting more intense.
http://radar.weather.gov/radar/loop/DS. ... kamx.shtml

Still not seeing the oranges and yellows wrapping around to the north. They seem to be sitting South and SE of the center of circulation.

Thunder44 · #107 Postby **Thunder44** » Thu Aug 25, 2005 1:19 pm

The dry slot to the north looks like it's starting fill in. If that happens they this storm can intensify faster.

txwatcher91 · #108 Postby **txwatcher91** » Thu Aug 25, 2005 1:22 pm

Thunder44 wrote:The dry slot to the north looks like it's starting fill in. If that happens they this storm can intensify faster.

txwatcher91 · #109 Postby **txwatcher91** » Thu Aug 25, 2005 1:22 pm

Thunder44 wrote:The dry slot to the north looks like it's starting fill in. If that happens they this storm can intensify faster.

I agree.

Cape Verde · #110 Postby **Cape Verde** » Thu Aug 25, 2005 1:29 pm

It looks to me as if the storm is moving WSW during the current radar loop.

#111 Postby **gatorcane** » Thu Aug 25, 2005 1:30 pm

SE side is really blowing up over the past 30 minutes :eek:

#112 Postby **skysummit** » Thu Aug 25, 2005 1:31 pm

All she needs to do is develop her NW side now.

Sanibel · #113 Postby **Sanibel** » Thu Aug 25, 2005 1:42 pm

There's some major weirdness going on with the eye now.

A second eye-like mid-level feature is zooming 280 towards the coast while the dry slot has tightened.

Could be a rapid formation jerk to the structure - or it could even be a sign of the dry slot breaking the center and weakening it...

#114 Postby **vbhoutex** » Thu Aug 25, 2005 1:45 pm

Still too much dry air coming into the center IMO. I do not forsee much more strengthening at this point, at least not until she reaches the GOM. Looks like my call on landfall will pan out, and that I will, thankfully, be high on the wind speed by about 15-20 mph. That being said she will be coming in as a strong TS and will still be capable of plenty of damage and I would expect a lot of people across S FL will be without power by tomorrow.

Sanibel · #115 Postby **Sanibel** » Thu Aug 25, 2005 1:56 pm

My best crunch time estimate of this is Katrina is in a slow intensification phase over the Gulf Stream. It is now a race to see if this pulse happens quickly enough to allow it to strengthen before landfall.

The storm is probably pulsing right now. The slower the forward speed the higher the outcome before the eye crosses shore.

The best way to look at this storm is to look at the larger loops and see that this is a storm that would continue to organize if it wasn't about to hit land...

Foladar · #116 Postby **Foladar** » Thu Aug 25, 2005 1:59 pm

Cape Verde wrote:It looks to me as if the storm is moving WSW during the current radar loop.

It wobbled a bit south (according to the local news) but still a west movement generally.

jpigott · #117 Postby **jpigott** » Thu Aug 25, 2005 1:59 pm

looks like some of the heaviest weather on the northern side of the circulation is going to be crashing into WPB in the next few hours. Anybody have any estimates as to what i can expect wind wise

Foladar · #118 Postby **Foladar** » Thu Aug 25, 2005 2:00 pm

Cape Verde wrote:It looks to me as if the storm is moving WSW during the current radar loop.

It wobbled a bit south (according to the local news) but still a west movement generally.

#119 Postby **skysummit** » Thu Aug 25, 2005 2:22 pm

Yea....generally a westward motion still. It looks like the eyewall has fallen apart on the western edge again. Maybe reforming again?

Sanibel · #120 Postby **Sanibel** » Thu Aug 25, 2005 2:23 pm

Eye slot appearing on visible...

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