Typhoon MAWAR - Target: Japan

[Dick Pache]

https://metoc.npmoc.navy.mil/jtwc/warni ... 105web.txt

[Dick Pache]

https://metoc.npmoc.navy.mil/cgi-bin/im ... pac_ir.jpg

[P.K.]

Officials are reporting waves up to 11 metres high in the Shizuoka prefecture.

11m is a lot!

Landfall at 75ks.

RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 0511 MAWAR (0511)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 251500UTC 34.8N 139.2E GOOD
MOVE NE 14KT
PRES 965HPA
MXWD 075KT
50KT 60NM SOUTHEAST 40NM NORTHWEST
30KT 180NM SOUTHEAST 120NM NORTHWEST
FORECAST
24HF 261500UTC 38.2N 144.1E 100NM 70%
MOVE NE 13KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 045KT
45HF 271200UTC 40.7N 149.4E 160NM 70%
MOVE NE 13KT
PRES 996HPA
MXWD 040KT
69HF 281200UTC 45.0N 154.0E 290NM 70% EXTRATROPICAL LOW

[Dick Pache]

11W.MAWAR, WARN, 25 AUG 2005 2055Z UTC (Z)

SUBJ: TYPHOON 11W (MAWAR) WARNING NR 026
WTPN31 PGTW 252100
1. TYPHOON 11W (MAWAR) WARNING NR 026
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
---
WARNING POSITION:
251800Z --- NEAR 35.2N 139.7E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 050 DEGREES AT 12 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
OVER WATER
REPEAT POSIT: 35.2N 139.7E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
260600Z --- 36.9N 142.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 15 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
261800Z --- 38.5N 145.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 17 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
270600Z --- 40.4N 148.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 19 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
271800Z --- 42.7N 153.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
EXTRATROPICAL
---
REMARKS:
252100Z POSITION NEAR 35.6N 140.3E.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 251800Z IS 27 FEET.
NEXT WARNINGS AT 260300Z, 260900Z, 261500Z AND 262100Z.
//
BT
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[P.K.]

Downgraded to a severe tropical storm at 9pm GMT.

RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME STS 0511 MAWAR (0511) DOWNGRADED FROM TY
ANALYSIS
PSTN 252100UTC 35.8N 140.3E GOOD
MOVE NE 13KT
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 060KT
50KT 60NM SOUTHEAST 20NM NORTHWEST
30KT 160NM SOUTHEAST 80NM NORTHWEST
FORECAST
24HF 262100UTC 37.8N 145.8E 100NM 70%
MOVE ENE 12KT
PRES 992HPA
MXWD 045KT
45HF 271800UTC 40.0N 151.0E 160NM 70% EXTRATROPICAL LOW

[HurricaneBill]

Made landfall near Tokyo as a Category 2.

[Dick Pache]

SUBJ: TROPICAL STORM 11W (MAWAR) WARNING NR 029
WTPN31 PGTW 261500
1. TROPICAL STORM 11W (MAWAR) WARNING NR 029
DOWNGRADED FROM TYPHOON 11W
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
---
WARNING POSITION:
261200Z --- NEAR 37.2N 144.8E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 070 DEGREES AT 17 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 37.2N 144.8E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
270000Z --- 38.7N 149.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 21 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
271200Z --- 42.1N 152.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
EXTRATROPICAL
---
REMARKS:
261500Z POSITION NEAR 37.6N 145.9E.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 261200Z IS 16 FEET.
NEXT WARNINGS AT 262100Z, 270300Z AND 270900Z.
REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 13W (NONAME) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW)
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.
//
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