tampa fox 13 met

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stormandan28
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tampa fox 13 met

#1 Postby stormandan28 » Wed Aug 24, 2005 9:21 pm

the way he talks there realy wont be much around the west coast,what does everyone here think?
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jasons2k
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#2 Postby jasons2k » Wed Aug 24, 2005 9:29 pm

Where is Roy Leep? Someone drive to his condo in Fowler and wake him up!!!! :D :D
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#3 Postby tampawx » Wed Aug 24, 2005 9:32 pm

I saw him also....I could not believe he was making that statement so early but then again this is not the first time with him and he has eaten crow before....Definately need Roy!!!
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#4 Postby MetroMike » Wed Aug 24, 2005 9:33 pm

I think Paul Delagatto is trying not to cause undue panic here in the bay area. Untill we see how strong this gets he will play it close to the cuff.
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#5 Postby Wacahootaman » Wed Aug 24, 2005 9:36 pm

If the GFDL model is right, the west coast will get a lot of damage.

http://moe.met.fsu.edu/cgi-bin/gfdltc2. ... =Animation

Cat 2 winds at Sanibel. :eek:

http://moe.met.fsu.edu/tcgengifs/gfdl/2 ... /slp13.png
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#6 Postby otowntiger » Thu Aug 25, 2005 5:43 am

Wacahootaman wrote:If the GFDL model is right, the west coast will get a lot of damage.

http://moe.met.fsu.edu/cgi-bin/gfdltc2. ... =Animation

Cat 2 winds at Sanibel. :eek:

http://moe.met.fsu.edu/tcgengifs/gfdl/2 ... /slp13.png


Not at all likely.
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#7 Postby dcuevas » Thu Aug 25, 2005 7:04 am

I was thinking the same thing to. Could the trough push it back into the Bay area? Being that KAT is going to be South of us it can really cause alot of water damage.... I'm not so sure about wind just yet. She looks bigger than the State of FL... Is it possible as she pushes through the West and East sides can still gain "power" from the warm waters? If you can't tell by my questions I am very "green" on this stuff but I love it!
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#8 Postby gatorcane » Thu Aug 25, 2005 7:08 am

People in Tampa will remember that when Frances exited into the GOM it strengthened rapidly and gave Tampa a backlash effect late night between 2am and 6am within wind gusts 70 mph+....not many local mets predicted that. In fact Tampa Bay saw far worse conditions once the SW winds came in off the GOM than when the eye passed Tampa to the north. That could happen for the west coast here as the NHC is forecasting intensification under high SSTs and litte or no shear. However, since teh windflow will be SE off the peninsula I don't expect as much wind :eek:
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#9 Postby dcuevas » Thu Aug 25, 2005 7:10 am

Okay so I'm not loosing my memory! THANKS! Our Mets don't seem to be saying much. Thank God I have Storm2k!
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#10 Postby gatorcane » Thu Aug 25, 2005 7:19 am

Okay so I'm not loosing my memory! THANKS! Our Mets don't seem to be saying much. Thank God I have Storm2k!


I actually predicted the backlash effect that happened....

On another note, Tampa Bay and the entire W. coast of FL needs to pay very close attention to Katrina as new model runs are showing a possible hook up the W coast and a NE turn off the NE coast of FL....so that could mean trouble for Tampa Bay...if the system goes north of the Bay the SW winds will push water up into the Bay and flooding of localized areas can be an issue (e.g. Bayshore).
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#11 Postby southerngreen » Thu Aug 25, 2005 7:29 am

i'm calling a double bank shot - katrina being bumped into the left side pocket, then 'what's his name in the far right. :wink:

ol' roy could probably put scud on the roof at the retirement home and do better than some forecasters. you have the ones who are ready for doom & destruction and those who are so hesitant to call it for fear of being wrong.

sometimesi wish they would just tell us what they know, show us the maps & let us use our heads. more like dick fletcher.
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dcuevas
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#12 Postby dcuevas » Thu Aug 25, 2005 7:56 am

:mad: Everyone is walking on glass. They don't want to say anything till it's over us. NICE......
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#13 Postby dixiebreeze » Thu Aug 25, 2005 8:30 am

boca_chris wrote:
Okay so I'm not loosing my memory! THANKS! Our Mets don't seem to be saying much. Thank God I have Storm2k!


I actually predicted the backlash effect that happened....

On another note, Tampa Bay and the entire W. coast of FL needs to pay very close attention to Katrina as new model runs are showing a possible hook up the W coast and a NE turn off the NE coast of FL....so that could mean trouble for Tampa Bay...if the system goes north of the Bay the SW winds will push water up into the Bay and flooding of localized areas can be an issue (e.g. Bayshore).


Chris, storm surge is always a major problem along the W.C. Florida coast, especially in the area from Cedar Key S. to Tarpon Springs. Cedar Key is especially vulnerable with its shallow sea shelf.

I have no doubt the west coast will get its fair share of Katrina.
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#14 Postby tpaweatherviewer » Wed Oct 19, 2005 5:45 pm

MetroMike wrote:I think Paul Delagatto is trying not to cause undue panic here in the bay area. Untill we see how strong this gets he will play it close to the cuff.


If memory serves me correct he nailed that forecast. There were no effects in the Tampa Bay area. paul is the best.
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#15 Postby Downdraft » Wed Oct 19, 2005 7:30 pm

boca_chris wrote:
Okay so I'm not loosing my memory! THANKS! Our Mets don't seem to be saying much. Thank God I have Storm2k!


I actually predicted the backlash effect that happened....

On another note, Tampa Bay and the entire W. coast of FL needs to pay very close attention to Katrina as new model runs are showing a possible hook up the W coast and a NE turn off the NE coast of FL....so that could mean trouble for Tampa Bay...if the system goes north of the Bay the SW winds will push water up into the Bay and flooding of localized areas can be an issue (e.g. Bayshore).


Silly question. What's Katrina got to do with anything?
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#16 Postby goodlife » Wed Oct 19, 2005 7:35 pm

look at the dates of the posts in this thread...someone resurrected it.
It's a remnant from when Katrina was going to cross Florida
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#17 Postby MetroMike » Wed Oct 19, 2005 8:28 pm

Theres enough confusion around now. please dont resurrect old threads, makes me do head spins... :roll:
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