Katrina is looking pretty damn good on infrared

jpigott · #21 Postby **jpigott** » Thu Aug 25, 2005 5:59 am

some of the latest radar loops are showing precip filling in on the west side. with each passing frame it seems another feeder band is starting to form on the west side

wxwatcher91 · #22 Postby **wxwatcher91** » Thu Aug 25, 2005 6:03 am

first visibles will be either this next frame or the one after... so 15mins or 45mins...

jpigott · #23 Postby **jpigott** » Thu Aug 25, 2005 6:07 am

somebody please get some recon in there, there is no way this baby is still only 50mph. Radar and IR are looking better and better

wxwatcher91 · #24 Postby **wxwatcher91** » Thu Aug 25, 2005 6:10 am

jpigott wrote:somebody please get some recon in there, there is no way this baby is still only 50mph. Radar and IR are looking better and better

ok just a second I have them on speed-dial :lol:

#25 Postby **fci** » Thu Aug 25, 2005 6:16 am

jpigott wrote:somebody please get some recon in there, there is no way this baby is still only 50mph. Radar and IR are looking better and better

I don't know, I see a lot of dry slots around the storm on radar.

Matt-hurricanewatcher · #26 Postby **Matt-hurricanewatcher** » Thu Aug 25, 2005 6:17 am

I see a 75 percent closed yellow/red eyewall.

wxwatcher91 · #27 Postby **wxwatcher91** » Thu Aug 25, 2005 6:20 am

http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/station_page.php?station=SPGF1

winds up to 37kt sustained, 42kt gusts and pressure is up 0.01in to 29.66in

Matt-hurricanewatcher · #28 Postby **Matt-hurricanewatcher** » Thu Aug 25, 2005 6:32 am

Easy come easy go for that eye.

wxwatcher91 · #29 Postby **wxwatcher91** » Thu Aug 25, 2005 6:54 am

here we are:

#30 Postby **dcuevas** » Thu Aug 25, 2005 7:00 am

It will be very interesting to see what happens with the wave behind Kat. Any thoughts about after it hits the GOM? I'm don't remember the name of the hurricane that went out and came right back in.. Any thoughts?

cyclone_eye · #31 Postby **cyclone_eye** » Thu Aug 25, 2005 7:01 am

Scorpion wrote:What are you talking about? Could be a hurricane right now for all we know, theres no recon out there. Also has 12 hours to go.

Maximum sustained winds are 50 mph. Need to go up to 74 mph - (just over the speed limit on an interstate) - before it reaches hurricane force winds.

The chances of it reaching a Category One hurricane (74-95 mph) is 20% by 5 pm today and 55 per cent by 5 am tomorrow (http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/refresh/graphics_at2+shtml/084601.shtml?table).

Katrina is a kitten (at least my Katrina is

).

wxwatcher91 · #32 Postby **wxwatcher91** » Thu Aug 25, 2005 7:04 am

dcuevas wrote:It will be very interesting to see what happens with the wave behind Kat. Any thoughts about after it hits the GOM? I'm don't remember the name of the hurricane that went out and came right back in.. Any thoughts?

In the sunlight the wave behind Katrina has blown up even more convection...

doesnt look very organized though

truballer#1 · #33 Postby **truballer#1** » Thu Aug 25, 2005 7:07 am

dr jeff masters says could be cat 3 if houlds off the dry air. check this out

http://www.wunderground.com/blog/JeffMasters/show.html

cyclone_eye · #34 Postby **cyclone_eye** » Thu Aug 25, 2005 7:10 am

HURAKAN wrote:I don't know about you but I feel so frustrated to have a developing cyclone right next to my door and not having a RECON there.

I agree that recon is the most accurate way to measure intensity of storms and hurricanes and they are used in data-sparse areas. But with a system like Katrina which is adequately covered by doppler radar I can see only the need for the Gulf Stream jet to sample the environment around it in order to better forecast the direction.

Remember that when a plane flies out into a system, it is essentially taking a doppler radar to the system to get reading (among other instruments).

I am not unduly worried about Katrina.

#35 Postby **Trader Ron** » Thu Aug 25, 2005 7:10 am

I stand by my prediction after the first advisory.

Landfall...between Boca and Jupiter. Strong TS 65-70 mph winds.

#36 Postby **HURAKAN** » Thu Aug 25, 2005 7:12 am

25/1145 UTC 26.2N 79.2W T3.5/3.5 KATRINA -- Atlantic Ocean

GO K@TRIN@!!!!!

#37 Postby **gatorcane** » Thu Aug 25, 2005 7:14 am

It's strenghtening rapidly now...if it slows or stalls look out but hopefully it will continue a W movement over 5mph....

#38 Postby **Air Force Met** » Thu Aug 25, 2005 7:17 am

wxwatcher91 wrote:
dcuevas wrote:It will be very interesting to see what happens with the wave behind Kat. Any thoughts about after it hits the GOM? I'm don't remember the name of the hurricane that went out and came right back in.. Any thoughts?

In the sunlight the wave behind Katrina has blown up even more convection...

doesnt look very organized though

Look at the diffluence over the top of it...that's the reason. It's got 80 degrees of divergence and any time you get that much divergence aloft in the tropics...you are going to get a LOT of thuderstorms....even if the sfc convergence is low.

#39 Postby **gatorcane** » Thu Aug 25, 2005 7:21 am

the thing behind Katrina looks more menacing... :eek:

InimanaChoogamaga · #40 Postby **InimanaChoogamaga** » Thu Aug 25, 2005 7:25 am

boca_chris wrote:the thing behind Katrina looks more menacing...

Nah, tight Katrina ball of convection is more menacing than that disorganized mess.

Katrina is looking pretty damn good on infrared

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