I really hope and pray......

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dixiebreeze
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I really hope and pray......

#1 Postby dixiebreeze » Wed Aug 24, 2005 10:12 pm

that Floridians are on high alert, given the very frightening 11 p.m. updates. This is no time to be cavalier about this strengthening storm. Not trying to be overly cautious, but this has all the makings of some of our past, notorious Florida hurricanes.
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#2 Postby Scorpion » Wed Aug 24, 2005 10:13 pm

If anything the 11 PM would calm me down. Looks to be going in south of me, and they have backed down on intensity.
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#3 Postby Brent » Wed Aug 24, 2005 10:13 pm

I have to agree with you... the 11pm discussion was pretty scary.

I have no clue what I'm going to wake up too...
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#4 Postby caneseddy » Wed Aug 24, 2005 10:14 pm

Its worse for me because if it continues due west till landfall as NHC says, it will pass close or over my area
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#5 Postby Brent » Wed Aug 24, 2005 10:15 pm

Scorpion wrote:If anything the 11 PM would calm me down. Looks to be going in south of me, and they have backed down on intensity.


No they haven't... track and intensity for South Florida are the same, but this, is not good:

WHILE THE
OUTSTANDING GFDL MOVES KATRINA SOUTH OF DUE WEST ACROSS EXTREME
SOUTH FLORIDA AND THE KEYS AS A VERY INTENSE HURRICANE. THE GFDL
SCENARIO WOULD BE VERY DANGEROUS FOR SOUTH FLORIDA. THIS APPEARS TO
BE UNREALISTIC AT THIS TIME BUT BECAUSE OF THE GOOD PAST
PERFORMANCE OF THIS MODEL...WE MUST PAY CLOSE ATTENTION TO FUTURE
MODEL RUNS.

Good for you... but not so for someone else.
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#6 Postby dixiebreeze » Wed Aug 24, 2005 10:16 pm

Brent wrote:I have to agree with you... the 11pm discussion was pretty scary.

I have no clue what I'm going to wake up too...


The scariest updates I've read in quite some time, Brent. Having read Isaac's Storm, Black Cloud and many accounts of the 1935 'Cane in the Keys, the updates really gave me chills.
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#7 Postby johngaltfla » Wed Aug 24, 2005 10:16 pm

Brent wrote:I have to agree with you... the 11pm discussion was pretty scary.

I have no clue what I'm going to wake up too...


Ditto. There are too many variables for the Sunday through Monday forecast period for my liking.

Way too many.

And the CONE OF DEATH is way too big for my liking....
:eek:
Last edited by johngaltfla on Wed Aug 24, 2005 10:18 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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#8 Postby Scorpion » Wed Aug 24, 2005 10:16 pm

The GFDL is so unrealistic. It has it down in the Keys at like 25.5 N, where its at 26.1 and gaining latitude slowly.
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#9 Postby LaBreeze » Wed Aug 24, 2005 10:17 pm

Prayers will be said for all of you in Katrina's path as we here are sweating bullets with the oppressive heat. It looks like we're safe on this end of the GOM, so our prayers will be sent out to those of you in the treatened area.
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#10 Postby Patrick99 » Wed Aug 24, 2005 10:18 pm

Look at the WV loop. Isn't that a ridge trying to push down on Katrina? Not saying it will happen, but is it that far-fetched?
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#11 Postby Scorpion » Wed Aug 24, 2005 10:18 pm

.6-.7 decrease in latitude? I don't think so.
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#12 Postby baygirl_1 » Wed Aug 24, 2005 10:18 pm

Yeah... I have friends and family in South Florida (Broward County, the Keys, Fort Myers, and Tampa area). Those few lines in the 11PM discussion about the GFDL possibly (though remotely) verifying really gave me pause. Fortunately, they all seem to be prepared. They've been through this before whether it be Georges, Andrew, or Charley, etc.
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#13 Postby deltadog03 » Wed Aug 24, 2005 10:19 pm

patrick thats not far fetched...the ridge will suppress some...if you will
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#14 Postby dixiebreeze » Wed Aug 24, 2005 10:21 pm

24/2345 UTC 26.0N 77.8W T3.0/3.0 KATRINA -- Atlantic Ocean
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#15 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Wed Aug 24, 2005 10:22 pm

I hope in pray that every one survives this storm. In with little damage to there houses or other stuff. Amen.
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#16 Postby Brent » Wed Aug 24, 2005 10:22 pm

dixiebreeze wrote:
Brent wrote:I have to agree with you... the 11pm discussion was pretty scary.

I have no clue what I'm going to wake up too...


The scariest updates I've read in quite some time, Brent. Having read Isaac's Storm, Black Cloud and many accounts of the 1935 'Cane in the Keys, the updates really gave me chills.


Image

Not that I'm saying that will happen...
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#17 Postby Scorpion » Wed Aug 24, 2005 10:25 pm

Insane how quickly that intensified...
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#18 Postby Typhoon_Willie » Wed Aug 24, 2005 10:26 pm

Same thing here Matt I hope that things will turn out well as I sit almost directly in the line of fire!
Last edited by Typhoon_Willie on Wed Aug 24, 2005 10:29 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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#19 Postby dixiebreeze » Wed Aug 24, 2005 10:27 pm

It won't be easy to sleep tonight -- I just simply have a bad feeling about Katrina.
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#20 Postby Scorpion » Wed Aug 24, 2005 10:29 pm

Agreed. Its the quiet ones you gotta be careful about.
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