Is Katrina forming an eye?

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logybogy

Is Katrina forming an eye?

#1 Postby logybogy » Wed Aug 24, 2005 3:42 pm

The visible picture looks creepy. Like a baby hurricane starting to form. All it needs to do is start wrapping up.

Image
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djtil
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#2 Postby djtil » Wed Aug 24, 2005 3:43 pm

no.
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Scorpion

#3 Postby Scorpion » Wed Aug 24, 2005 3:44 pm

Structure good.
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#4 Postby wxwatcher91 » Wed Aug 24, 2005 3:45 pm

no... if anything it is weakening pretty steadily
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Scorpion

#5 Postby Scorpion » Wed Aug 24, 2005 3:46 pm

Doesnt have to have a core to become a hurricane..
Last edited by Scorpion on Wed Aug 24, 2005 3:52 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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#6 Postby dhweather » Wed Aug 24, 2005 3:47 pm

No, she's not forming an eye.

Typically, you only get an eye with hurricanes, usually cat 2 or higher.

It's just a center of circulation right now.
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#7 Postby x-y-no » Wed Aug 24, 2005 3:48 pm

Nice symetrical circulation, but there's no core to this thing.

Will be an interesting race to see if this can develop a proper core before it gets to Florida.
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#8 Postby WindRunner » Wed Aug 24, 2005 3:50 pm

It'll take a while, especially while it's that elongated. Radial symmetry will be essential.
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#9 Postby mascpa » Wed Aug 24, 2005 3:56 pm

wxwatcher91 wrote:no... if anything it is weakening pretty steadily


ALmost everyone, including NHC, says it is strengthening and expected to continue to do so. On what basis do you make the statement that she is steadily weakening??
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#10 Postby gatorcane » Wed Aug 24, 2005 3:58 pm

it is fooling you....when storms strengthen rapidly in the early stages, the convection will die off and then come back so look for it to come back later this evening and tonight. The circulation continues to get tighter and outflow is improving...and we all know what is ahead of it...the Gulf Stream... :eek:
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#11 Postby gilbert88 » Wed Aug 24, 2005 3:59 pm

wxwatcher91 wrote:no... if anything it is weakening pretty steadily


Huh!? :eek:
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#12 Postby SunnyThoughts » Wed Aug 24, 2005 4:04 pm

doesn't look like its weakening to me


http://weather.msfc.nasa.gov/cgi-bin/post-goes
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#13 Postby sfwx » Wed Aug 24, 2005 4:06 pm

5:00 p.m

Max Mayfield says everything looks good for Katrina to strengthen. :eek:

Eric
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#14 Postby jkt21787 » Wed Aug 24, 2005 4:09 pm

As Stewart said in the discussion, dry air has gotten to Katrina. Until and if the dry air can be mixed, then we are prime for intensification. If Katrina constantly has to deal with these dry air issues, then significant strenghtening won't happen. If it get rids of it, we have a good chance of a minimal cane (cat 1) at landfall.

I wouldn't call it weakening now, but holding steady. No real strengthening is happening though at this time.
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#15 Postby SunnyThoughts » Wed Aug 24, 2005 4:09 pm

click on the storm itself to see the updated close up

http://weather.msfc.nasa.gov/GOES/goeseastconus.html
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#16 Postby jpigott » Wed Aug 24, 2005 4:19 pm

looks like some storms are re-firing on the southern side of the circulation
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#17 Postby vbhoutex » Wed Aug 24, 2005 4:30 pm

Katrina appears to be "running into" a strengthening ridge and has begun, imo, her turn to the NW and then WNW. She also appears to be mixing in the dry air pretty well and there doesn't look to be that much of it around her or in front of her projected path. With the Gulf Stream and improving conditions to her West I will not be at all surprised for her to become a CAT1/Strong CAT1 prior to her initial FL landfall, probably very close to or just South of Ft. Lauderdale.
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#18 Postby Sanibel » Wed Aug 24, 2005 4:36 pm

An eye is appearing on the SW tip of Abaco Island on Miami long range.

This storm has the sweeping hazy look of a storm about to bomb...
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#19 Postby sweetpea » Wed Aug 24, 2005 4:38 pm

Sanibel wrote:An eye is appearing on the SW tip of Abaco Island on Miami long range.

This storm has the sweeping hazy look of a storm about to bomb...


I thought it was just me.
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Rainband

#20 Postby Rainband » Wed Aug 24, 2005 4:39 pm

Sanibel wrote:An eye is appearing on the SW tip of Abaco Island on Miami long range.

This storm has the sweeping hazy look of a storm about to bomb...
I will eat crow if I am wrong but I agree.
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