Oh well now the HPC chimes in on ex-TD10 remnants

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Stormcenter
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Oh well now the HPC chimes in on ex-TD10 remnants

#1 Postby Stormcenter » Mon Aug 22, 2005 1:26 pm

Below are excerpts from this afternoon NWS HPC discussion
pertaining to the wave (x-TD10)

EXTENDED FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER CAMP SPRINGS MD
111 PM EDT MON AUG 22 2005

VALID 12Z THU AUG 25 2005 - 12Z MON AUG 29 2005

TROPICAL SYSTEM SHOULD DRIFT WWD AND
EVENTUALLY NWWD ACROSS THE GULF OF MEXICO DURING THE PD...AS PER
COORDINATION WITH ECMWF.

ERN US...
DISSIPATING COLD FRONT WILL PUSH A BAND OF CONVECTION THRU THE MID
ATL AND NORTHEAST DAYS 6 AND 7. MOISTURE WILL SPREAD INTO MUCH OF
THE SOUTHEAST FROM THE ATL DURING THE SECOND HALF OF THE PD...WITH
FL BEARING THE BRUNT OF THE RAINFALL THROUGHOUT THE PD AS TROPICAL
SYSTEM DRIFTS WWD ACROSS THE PENINSULA INTO THE GULF.

http://www.hpc.ncep.noaa.gov/medr/9nh.gif
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#2 Postby deltadog03 » Mon Aug 22, 2005 1:28 pm

now, that WOULD be very INTERESTING...specially with that H centered over VA/NC
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#3 Postby jasons2k » Mon Aug 22, 2005 1:30 pm

Yeah, it seems like each new tidbit that comes out looks ominous for TX/LA
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Anonymous

#4 Postby Anonymous » Mon Aug 22, 2005 1:31 pm

Yea...is it just me...or does it seem the NHC is REALLY concerned about this one?
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#5 Postby ROCK » Mon Aug 22, 2005 1:38 pm

~Floydbuster wrote:Yea...is it just me...or does it seem the NHC is REALLY concerned about this one?



I think the recent blow up of TD 11 in less than 36hrs (correct me if Im wrong) really woke some people up....
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#6 Postby Stormcenter » Mon Aug 22, 2005 1:40 pm

~Floydbuster wrote:Yea...is it just me...or does it seem the NHC is REALLY concerned about this one?


I agree 100% with your comment.
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#7 Postby jasons2k » Mon Aug 22, 2005 1:40 pm

ROCK wrote:
~Floydbuster wrote:Yea...is it just me...or does it seem the NHC is REALLY concerned about this one?



I think the recent blow up of TD 11 in less than 36hrs (correct me if Im wrong) really woke some people up....


Many, many of us the past week have been preaching "don't take the lull too seriously."

My how quickly things can change :wink:
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#8 Postby Anonymous » Mon Aug 22, 2005 1:40 pm

Well I was up until 5am...and once the satellite blackout was over....boom! It came right over water.
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#9 Postby jasons2k » Mon Aug 22, 2005 1:41 pm

Stormcenter wrote:
~Floydbuster wrote:Yea...is it just me...or does it seem the NHC is REALLY concerned about this one?


I agree 100% with your comment.


I agree too - already 6HR fixes scheduled on recon?? Wow...
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#10 Postby Josephine96 » Mon Aug 22, 2005 1:41 pm

So does our former Jose wanna be wanna rile up a bit?
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#11 Postby gkrangers » Mon Aug 22, 2005 1:44 pm

jschlitz wrote:
Stormcenter wrote:
~Floydbuster wrote:Yea...is it just me...or does it seem the NHC is REALLY concerned about this one?


I agree 100% with your comment.


I agree too - already 6HR fixes scheduled on recon?? Wow...
Well...I think they always schedule tentative 6 hours fixes IF they find something....but this wave has a chance at being a player in a few days. (edited for confusing wording)
Last edited by gkrangers on Mon Aug 22, 2005 2:28 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Anonymous

#12 Postby Anonymous » Mon Aug 22, 2005 2:06 pm

I think this has a shot at becoming Katrina down the road.
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#13 Postby Portastorm » Mon Aug 22, 2005 2:17 pm

great, just what we need. a tropical system in the Gulf ... shutting down oil rigs ... gas prices go up even more!! :roll:
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#14 Postby LaBreeze » Mon Aug 22, 2005 2:28 pm

Exactly what I was thinking, Portastorm! :cry:
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#15 Postby cajungal » Mon Aug 22, 2005 2:34 pm

If gas prices go up any more, I will be taking the transit bus just to Houma and back for work. I am just thankful my Honda Civic is really good on gas.
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#16 Postby jasons2k » Mon Aug 22, 2005 2:37 pm

cajungal wrote:If gas prices go up any more, I will be taking the transit bus just to Houma and back for work. I am just thankful my Honda Civic is really good on gas.


Hey Cajungal is back!

That means the Gulf is awake.... :wink:
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#17 Postby wxwatcher91 » Mon Aug 22, 2005 2:42 pm

biking works for me :D
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#18 Postby wxmann_91 » Mon Aug 22, 2005 2:45 pm

If it regenerated, would it be TD 10 or TD 12?

Now, suppose it remained TD 10, and TD 11 becomes Jose. Then, if TD 10 strengthens to Katrina, then Katrina would've formed before Jose. :eek:
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#19 Postby tailgater » Mon Aug 22, 2005 4:55 pm

TD 11 is now Jose 8-)
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#20 Postby WeatherEmperor » Mon Aug 22, 2005 4:58 pm

Now you know how I feel. I got a Mercedes-Benz C32 and I gotta pay $3.05 for that stupid Super grade. Gosh gas is a total killer.

<RICKY>
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