EATS OUT on August 22, 2005

[dhweather]

The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

Eastern Atlantic Tropical Summary - EATS OUT on August 22, 2005

<img src="http://www.diamondheadweather.com/eats20050822.jpg">

POOF went Invest 97L. Now a tropical wave near 30W,
most of the convection has faded out. This system will continue moving west over the next few days.

Another wave is coming off of the African coast and will enter the
tropical Atlantic in the next day or so.

The dry air persists north of 15 degrees, and will be an inhibitor for development.

I do not expect tropical cyclone development in the next 48-72 hours in this area.

[dwg71]

I see a patttern with these waves. It goes like this.."wave train is firng up", "we have a monster wave coming off in 24 hours", then wave goes poof, followed shortly by"..but hey, look at that next wave", "monster wave coming off the coast in 24 hours", ...etc.


I'll say it SAL, SAL, SAL....

[x-y-no]

I see a patttern with these waves. It goes like this.."wave train is firng up", "we have a monster wave coming off in 24 hours", then wave goes poof, followed shortly by"..but hey, look at that next wave", "monster wave coming off the coast in 24 hours", ...etc.


I'll say it SAL, SAL, SAL....

There's certainly something to that.

But you'll note in the above image that there's a lot more moisture around now than there has been.

Also, having systems go poof in the east Atlantic doesn't neccesarily bode well for us, since that leaves more prospect for those pulses to get across and develop nearer to land.

[dhweather]

I see a patttern with these waves. It goes like this.."wave train is firng up", "we have a monster wave coming off in 24 hours", then wave goes poof, followed shortly by"..but hey, look at that next wave", "monster wave coming off the coast in 24 hours", ...etc.


I'll say it SAL, SAL, SAL....

That summary hits the nail on the head.

[dwg71]

I see a patttern with these waves. It goes like this.."wave train is firng up", "we have a monster wave coming off in 24 hours", then wave goes poof, followed shortly by"..but hey, look at that next wave", "monster wave coming off the coast in 24 hours", ...etc.


I'll say it SAL, SAL, SAL....

There's certainly something to that.

But you'll note in the above image that there's a lot more moisture around now than there has been.

Also, having systems go poof in the east Atlantic doesn't neccesarily bode well for us, since that leaves more prospect for those pulses to get across and develop nearer to land.

There is increased moisture becasue a wave the size of the eastern US came off of there less than 72 hours ago, give SAL time, you will see him rear his ugly head even more.

[mascpa]

Where'd that nasty little devil go?

[dhweather]

Where'd that nasty little devil go?

Man, I must be having a bad day. I left the lil' devil out of the picture!

[WeatherEmperor]

put the devil back in man. its the "evil doer" in the Atlantic.

<RICKY>

[dhweather]

back by popular demand.......

[Swimdude]

Dissipation of 97L is extremely disappointing. =(

[WeatherEmperor]

Dissipation of 97L is extremely disappointing. =(

its beyond dissappointing. its ridiculous. at this pace we aint gonna see anything form from the Cape Verde.

<RICKY>

[EDR1222]

These systems coming off Africa definately are having a hard time holding together.

[wxmann_91]

Dissipation of 97L is extremely disappointing. =(

its beyond dissappointing. its ridiculous. at this pace we aint gonna see anything form from the Cape Verde.

<RICKY>

Like in 1933?

It's kinda looking eerily similar now, marginal TS's and no CV's, cheap storms. And yes, I know 1933 records were primative, but it's possible that it could've happened.

Just some food for thought.

[Steve]

But how is this disappointing? If people want storms to track that aren't remnant low pressure threats to Spain, France or the UK, you don't want to see anything forming east of 35 or so. There's genearlly a strong liklihood that anything forming in the far eastern Atlantic will recurve. Occasionally you get a long tracker or two (like last season) where a giant high is positioned to block a poleward motion or where you have a smaller high pressure that rides along north of the low pressure center associated with wave x that doesn't allow recurvature. But if you want to see storms at least posing a threat and generating the type of excitement that we all know and love and need our fix of from time to time, just be happy the waves look as good as they do at emergence. Make a note of them and start watching once they head west of 60W.

Steve