Special Tropical Disturbance Statement=TD#11 Forming

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cycloneye
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Special Tropical Disturbance Statement=TD#11 Forming

#1 Postby cycloneye » Mon Aug 22, 2005 9:57 am

000
WONT41 KNHC 221436
DSAAT
SPECIAL TROPICAL DISTURBANCE STATEMENT
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
935 AM CDT MON AUG 22 2005

...ELEVENTH TROPICAL DEPRESSION OF THE SEASON IS FORMING OVER THE BAY OF CAMPECHE...

SATELLITE...RADAR...AND SURFACE DATA INDICATE A TROPICAL DEPRESSION IS FORMING WITHIN THE DISTURBED WEATHER IN THE BAY OF CAMPECHE. A SPECIAL ADVISORY ON THIS SYSTEM WILL BE ISSUED WITHIN THE NEXT HOUR.

TROPICAL STORM WATCHES AND/OR WARNINGS MAY BE REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF THE EASTERN COAST OF MEXICO.

FORECASTER FRANKLIN
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#2 Postby Frank2 » Mon Aug 22, 2005 9:59 am

Interesting that this will make either the third or fourth such system this season - perhaps an indicator of the overall pattern.

Frank
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#3 Postby skysummit » Mon Aug 22, 2005 9:59 am

.....another "Bret" :roll:
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#4 Postby Frank2 » Mon Aug 22, 2005 10:00 am

...don't forget Gert...
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#5 Postby dwg71 » Mon Aug 22, 2005 10:00 am

I in no uncertain terms said this system would not develop, I was wrong and will have my crow with my coffee this morning. First taste of it this year, doesn't taste like chicken, it tastes like crap.
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#6 Postby dhweather » Mon Aug 22, 2005 10:16 am

dwg71 wrote:I in no uncertain terms said this system would not develop, I was wrong and will have my crow with my coffee this morning. First taste of it this year, doesn't taste like chicken, it tastes like crap.


Did you place the order for two? :lol:
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#7 Postby dwg71 » Mon Aug 22, 2005 10:19 am

I can save a little face if we dont get Jose, so I will wishcast:

TD11 does not have enough time to become a TS. No Way Jose.

:wink:
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#8 Postby chadtm80 » Mon Aug 22, 2005 10:20 am

already listed as 11noname on NRL site
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#9 Postby TS Zack » Mon Aug 22, 2005 10:23 am

TD 11 at 11AM, then once Reconn gets in there this afternoon they will find Jose!
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#10 Postby dhweather » Mon Aug 22, 2005 10:34 am

dwg71 wrote:I can save a little face if we dont get Jose, so I will wishcast:

TD11 does not have enough time to become a TS. No Way Jose.

:wink:


Hey, yeah, let's WISHKAST!!!!!!

CAT 5 - BUSTING GILBERTS RECORDS!!!!!
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#11 Postby Patrick99 » Mon Aug 22, 2005 10:54 am

Come on Jose!!!! We need a storm....even if you just last 10 hours.....

It's pretty desperate when I'm rooting for weakling short-lived TS's in the Bay of Campeche. I guess that is what this season is coming to.
Last edited by Patrick99 on Mon Aug 22, 2005 10:56 am, edited 1 time in total.
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#12 Postby Brent » Mon Aug 22, 2005 10:55 am

skysummit wrote:.....another "Bret" :roll:


It's getting VERY old.
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#13 Postby WeatherEmperor » Mon Aug 22, 2005 10:56 am

Patrick99 wrote:Come on Jose!!!! We need a storm....even if you just last 10 hours.....

It's pretty desperate when I'm rooting for weakling short-lived TS's in the Bay of Campeche. I guess that is what this season is coming to.


i know. just form already Jose

<RICKY>
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#14 Postby Sanibel » Mon Aug 22, 2005 11:02 am

It was over water at my coordinates yesterday when many were saying it was still over land.

A Bret-type BOC and into land pattern...
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#15 Postby Anonymous » Mon Aug 22, 2005 11:16 am

dwg71 wrote:I in no uncertain terms said this system would not develop, I was wrong and will have my crow with my coffee this morning. First taste of it this year, doesn't taste like chicken, it tastes like crap.


Sometimes it's alright to be a little bullish :wink:
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#16 Postby dwg71 » Mon Aug 22, 2005 12:21 pm

11 seems to be weakening as it moves west. Cloud tops are warming, maybe Jose, maybe not. I would give the edge to maybe not at this time. Though that could change.
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#17 Postby hurricanefreak1988 » Mon Aug 22, 2005 12:31 pm

dwg71 wrote:TD11 does not have enough time to become a TS. No Way Jose.

You just couldn't resist, could you? :wink:
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#18 Postby WeatherEmperor » Mon Aug 22, 2005 12:44 pm

resistance is futile.

<RICKY>
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#19 Postby deltadog03 » Mon Aug 22, 2005 12:50 pm

another one to mexico huh??
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#20 Postby Hyperstorm » Mon Aug 22, 2005 2:03 pm

The system appears to have a well-defined circulation, but it is lacking very deep convection over the core. It also appears to be moving directly west or maybe even South of due West, compared to earlier this morning when it was moving WNW. If it becomes a tropical storm it will have to so within the next 6 hours because that's the time the system has before it strikes onshore.

Target --> Veracruz
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