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MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2038
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0729 PM CDT FRI AUG 19 2005
AREAS AFFECTED...WRN NY / NWRN PA
CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 735...
VALID 200029Z - 200100Z
SEVERE THREAT CONTINUES TO DECREASE ACROSS WW. WW MAY BE CANCELLED
BY 20/01Z.
STABLE LOW-LEVEL AIRMASS -- AS REVEALED BY PERSISTENT LOW-LEVEL
CLOUDINESS -- REMAINS IN PLACE ACROSS MUCH OF WRN NY/WRN PA AWAY
FROM THE ERIE LAKESHORE COUNTIES. WITH MAIN LOW-LEVEL CONVERGENCE
AXIS NOW MOVING INTO THIS MORE STABLE AIRMASS...SEVERE THREAT
CONTINUES TO DIMINISH ACROSS THIS REGION. STRONGEST STORM -- NOW
MOVING SWD INTO CLARION/JEFFERSON COUNTIES IN PA -- IS NOW S OF
WW...AND SHOULD SLOWLY DECREASE IN INTENSITY WITH TIME AS SELY
LOW-LEVEL INFLOW INTO THE STORM IS ORIGINATING FROM WITHIN MORE
STABLE BOUNDARY-LAYER AIRMASS /UPPER 60S TEMPERATURES/ ACROSS
CENTRAL PA.
BASED ON PRESENT INDICATIONS...WW MAY BE CANCELLED PRIOR TO THE TOP
OF THE HOUR.
..GOSS.. 08/20/2005
ATTN...WFO...BUF...CTP...PBZ...CLE...
43697805 43477740 41787869 41197933 41638008 42287905
43407833