Let the games begin...

[Vortex]

Like the rest of you I've been following x10 for days. For the first time this afternoon I think we have a system beginning to organize. The overall envelope looks much better and it will remain favorable for the next 3-5 days. I expect deep convection to fire over the MLC this evening/overnight and we should have TD 10 back by tommorrow afternoon. Based on the time of year, warmer SST annomalies(Bahamas/Florida) and the overall synoptic environment forecasted I'm leaning towards a 75-85kt storm near the central bahamas Monday night/Tuesday morning.....

[DESTRUCTION5]

Like the rest of you I've been following x10 for days. For the first time this afternoon I think we have a system beginning to organize. The overall envelope looks much better and it will remain favorable for the next 3-5 days. I expect deep convection to fire over the MLC this evening/overnight and we should have TD 10 back by tommorrow afternoon. Based on the time of year, warmer SST annomalies(Bahamas/Florida) and the overall synoptic environment forecasted I'm leaning towards a 75-85kt storm near the central bahamas Monday night/Tuesday morning.....

Bout time you snuck in Vortex....My thoughts Exactly...Like i said yesterday..Cat 1 in the Bahamas...

[WeatherEmperor]

Like the rest of you I've been following x10 for days. For the first time this afternoon I think we have a system beginning to organize. The overall envelope looks much better and it will remain favorable for the next 3-5 days. I expect deep convection to fire over the MLC this evening/overnight and we should have TD 10 back by tommorrow afternoon. Based on the time of year, warmer SST annomalies(Bahamas/Florida) and the overall synoptic environment forecasted I'm leaning towards a 75-85kt storm near the central bahamas Monday night/Tuesday morning.....

Bout time you snuck in Vortex....My thoughts Exactly...Like i said yesterday..Cat 1 in the Bahamas...

Cat1 in the Bahamas? Wow that would be scary. Eventhough its a Cat1 it can still be scary I guess. I would not argue against you simply because the waters off the FL east coast are so darn warm. Our CBS4 news local met says the water temps right off the coast are pretty darn close to 90F. That is just insane and could fuel a tropical system big time.

<RICKY>

[Anonymous]

That's some of the stuff I was saying a few days ago...there are some things that hint on some potential steady-significant intensification in the Bahamas.

[DESTRUCTION5]

Like the rest of you I've been following x10 for days. For the first time this afternoon I think we have a system beginning to organize. The overall envelope looks much better and it will remain favorable for the next 3-5 days. I expect deep convection to fire over the MLC this evening/overnight and we should have TD 10 back by tommorrow afternoon. Based on the time of year, warmer SST annomalies(Bahamas/Florida) and the overall synoptic environment forecasted I'm leaning towards a 75-85kt storm near the central bahamas Monday night/Tuesday morning.....

Bout time you snuck in Vortex....My thoughts Exactly...Like i said yesterday..Cat 1 in the Bahamas...

Cat1 in the Bahamas? Wow that would be scary. Eventhough its a Cat1 it can still be scary I guess. I would not argue against you simply because the waters off the FL east coast are so darn warm. Our CBS4 news local met says the water temps right off the coast are pretty darn close to 90F. That is just insane and could fuel a tropical system big time.

<RICKY>

Ive measured them 1st hand..91 off the jupiter Inlet...

[gatorcane]

Like I keep saying South FL will be saying "Go Away Jose" this weekend and early next week

[feederband]

I don't like this game...

[WeatherEmperor]

Like the rest of you I've been following x10 for days. For the first time this afternoon I think we have a system beginning to organize. The overall envelope looks much better and it will remain favorable for the next 3-5 days. I expect deep convection to fire over the MLC this evening/overnight and we should have TD 10 back by tommorrow afternoon. Based on the time of year, warmer SST annomalies(Bahamas/Florida) and the overall synoptic environment forecasted I'm leaning towards a 75-85kt storm near the central bahamas Monday night/Tuesday morning.....

Bout time you snuck in Vortex....My thoughts Exactly...Like i said yesterday..Cat 1 in the Bahamas...

Cat1 in the Bahamas? Wow that would be scary. Eventhough its a Cat1 it can still be scary I guess. I would not argue against you simply because the waters off the FL east coast are so darn warm. Our CBS4 news local met says the water temps right off the coast are pretty darn close to 90F. That is just insane and could fuel a tropical system big time.

<RICKY>

Ive measured them 1st hand..91 off the jupiter Inlet...

Yeah. Things were really tough for you guys up there with Frances and Jeanne. I can only imagine how annoying it was for you to through that. The last hurricane South Florida went through was Irene in 1999. It was a cat 1 with 80mph winds I believe at landfall. Andrew yes I remember but Irene was the last hurricane for sure. But you guys went through 2 hurricanes so quickly. Ouch I would have chickened out a long time ago

<RICKY>

[jabber]

Like the rest of you I've been following x10 for days. For the first time this afternoon I think we have a system beginning to organize. The overall envelope looks much better and it will remain favorable for the next 3-5 days. I expect deep convection to fire over the MLC this evening/overnight and we should have TD 10 back by tommorrow afternoon. Based on the time of year, warmer SST annomalies(Bahamas/Florida) and the overall synoptic environment forecasted I'm leaning towards a 75-85kt storm near the central bahamas Monday night/Tuesday morning.....

Kinda thinking that same but was scared to post it One thing I am 100% sure of is the water is bath tub warm and getting warmer. It will be interesting to see how it does tonight, as I have stated before, this disturbance likes the night. Jose (disclamer- not jumping the gun) is not a vampire name

[jax]

Like the rest of you I've been following x10 for days. For the first time this afternoon I think we have a system beginning to organize. The overall envelope looks much better and it will remain favorable for the next 3-5 days. I expect deep convection to fire over the MLC this evening/overnight and we should have TD 10 back by tommorrow afternoon. Based on the time of year, warmer SST annomalies(Bahamas/Florida) and the overall synoptic environment forecasted I'm leaning towards a 75-85kt storm near the central bahamas Monday night/Tuesday morning.....

most likely a GOM'er... If it develops...

[gatorcane]

minimal CAT 1 when it's in the Bahamas.

[WeatherEmperor]

minimal CAT 1 when it's in the Bahamas.

You know something? I think you could very well be right about that.

<RICKY>

[gatorcane]

given the position this thing is in and climatology, the probability is that it will develop...and with the warm SSTs and ridge ahead of it I believe it will be a hurricane passing through S. Florida and the FL Keys in 5 days.

[feederband]

minimal CAT 1 when it's in the Bahamas.

You know something? I think you could very well be right about that.

<RICKY>

Wow were kind of jumpy on something thats nothing right now...

[Blown Away]

Man, if that happens I'm going to have to stay up all night preparing healty portions of "Crow" to be handed out by "Dixiebreeze"

[mascpa]

Like the rest of you I've been following x10 for days. For the first time this afternoon I think we have a system beginning to organize. The overall envelope looks much better and it will remain favorable for the next 3-5 days. I expect deep convection to fire over the MLC this evening/overnight and we should have TD 10 back by tommorrow afternoon. Based on the time of year, warmer SST annomalies(Bahamas/Florida) and the overall synoptic environment forecasted I'm leaning towards a 75-85kt storm near the central bahamas Monday night/Tuesday morning.....

Bout time you snuck in Vortex....My thoughts Exactly...Like i said yesterday..Cat 1 in the Bahamas...

Cat1 in the Bahamas? Wow that would be scary. Eventhough its a Cat1 it can still be scary I guess. I would not argue against you simply because the waters off the FL east coast are so darn warm. Our CBS4 news local met says the water temps right off the coast are pretty darn close to 90F. That is just insane and could fuel a tropical system big time.

<RICKY>

Ive measured them 1st hand..91 off the jupiter Inlet...

91? Unbelievable. I work for the Town of Jupiter. Although we certainly haven't started emergency preparations yet, the are closely monitoring the storm and are prepared to go into emergency mode at any time.

[WeatherEmperor]

Man, if that happens I'm going to have to stay up all night preparing healty portions of "Crow" to handed out by "Dixiebreeze"

thats exactly what im affraid of. but hey i gotta take it im a big boy.

<RICKY>

[Patrick99]

I think maybe, maybe, MAYBE we feel the effects of a weak 45 knot TS. Even if the environment gets better, as it appears to be doing, and it organizes into something, I think it will run out of room.

[WeatherEmperor]

I think maybe, maybe, MAYBE we feel the effects of a weak 45 knot TS. Even if the environment gets better, as it appears to be doing, and it organizes into something, I think it will run out of room.

A weak 45 knot T.S would be ok with me. As long as it brings some rain to cool us down here in FL Im all up for it.

<RICKY>

[Eyes2theSkies]

I have a funny feeling something really odd is going to happen with this wave.