It's rare

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cycloneye
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It's rare

#1 Postby cycloneye » Thu Aug 18, 2005 3:15 pm

Right now I dont have any sticky at the forum related to any system for advisories or recon reports.This season since almost the start of the season a sticky thread about a system has been up there but for being mid to late august it's interesting.Will a new candidate be stickied soon? :)
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#2 Postby HURAKAN » Thu Aug 18, 2005 3:17 pm

Looks like we need to ask shear and/or SAL for permission.
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#3 Postby dwg71 » Thu Aug 18, 2005 3:20 pm

I dont mind, I can get more work done...
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#4 Postby x-y-no » Thu Aug 18, 2005 3:22 pm

I'm skeptical of the GOM idea, so the next candidate is probably the wave about to come off of Africa - and that may take three or four days to develop.

It has potential to be an interesting long-tracker, though. The Euro has been doing well this year, and it has an bsolutely monster ridge building across most of the basin in the 4+ day timeframe. It's had a very similar look for several days of runs.

BTW, the Euro still insists on TD10's remnants becoming a relatively weak system moving north through the Bahamas not very far off the Florida coast, continuing up towards GA/SC..
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#5 Postby WindRunner » Thu Aug 18, 2005 3:36 pm

It means that I'm not as worried about missing a couple of hours around 11 or 5 around here . . . :lol:
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#6 Postby cycloneye » Thu Aug 18, 2005 7:16 pm

A LARGE AREA OF
TSTMS IS ALONG 10W... PROBABLY THE NEXT TROPICAL WAVE TO ENTER
THE AREA. IT MIGHT BE WORTH A SMALL MENTION THAT THERE IS
UNANIMOUS AGREEMENT AMONG THE MODELS OF SOME SORT OF ATTEMPTED
TROPICAL CYCLONE FROM THE WAVE AFTER IT LEAVES THE COAST IN A
COUPLE OF DAYS.


It looks like pretty soon I will be posting a sticky thread for a system in the Eastern Atlantic. :)
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Just like Frances

#7 Postby hurricanetrack » Thu Aug 18, 2005 7:21 pm

It will be almost one year ago to the day that Frances moved off when this new "monster" wave comes off....interesting times ahead finally.

Of course, I am spoiled from the July activity... :-)
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#8 Postby dhweather » Thu Aug 18, 2005 7:21 pm

That system at 10W is our best chance coming up......
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#9 Postby gatorcane » Thu Aug 18, 2005 7:22 pm

when the EPAC is hot the Atlantic is not.
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#10 Postby ROCK » Thu Aug 18, 2005 7:33 pm

dhweather wrote:That system at 10W is our best chance coming up......



I would place my bets on the central / western carib....nice and juicy down there...
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#11 Postby HurricaneBill » Thu Aug 18, 2005 9:16 pm

boca_chris wrote:when the EPAC is hot the Atlantic is not.


There have been times when both had activity at the same time.
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#12 Postby cycloneye » Thu Aug 18, 2005 9:19 pm

ABNT20 KNHC 190200
TWOAT
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1030 PM EDT THU AUG 18 2005

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY.

FORECASTER FRANKLIN


It has been a long time that the TWO has not looked like this.
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#13 Postby dwg71 » Thu Aug 18, 2005 9:23 pm

cycloneye wrote:ABNT20 KNHC 190200
TWOAT
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1030 PM EDT THU AUG 18 2005

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY.

FORECASTER FRANKLIN


It has been a long time that the TWO has not looked like this.


No Jose, until at least next week.
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Scorpion

#14 Postby Scorpion » Thu Aug 18, 2005 9:25 pm

:grr:
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#15 Postby Scott_inVA » Thu Aug 18, 2005 9:38 pm

All I know is the morning of June 22 was the last time there was no model map to run. That's a looooong time :roll:

While there is more attention/awareness devoted to Invests now than in previous years, seven continuious weeks of modeling is rather unusual. And we haven't reached September.

Scott
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Lexington, VA
http://www.midatlanticwx.com/modelmap.htm
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