A system developing over the Eastern Pacific 93 west.

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Matt-hurricanewatcher

A system developing over the Eastern Pacific 93 west.

#1 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Thu Aug 18, 2005 5:05 pm

http://www.cira.colostate.edu/ramm/rmsd ... PICAL.html

Look at the close up visible. You can clearly see a LLC. With popcorn convection. I will add more stuff to this thread soon.

Wahoo Eastern Pacific. My home ocean is going to get back into the race!!! :wink:
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Scorpion

#2 Postby Scorpion » Thu Aug 18, 2005 5:06 pm

Noone cares about the EPAC. Just a worthless basin..with worthless storms. :D
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Matt-hurricanewatcher

#3 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Thu Aug 18, 2005 5:06 pm

000
ABPZ20 KNHC 181630
TWOEP
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
10 AM PDT THU AUG 18 2005

FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.

A BROAD AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER IS LOCATED A COUPLE HUNDRED MILES
SOUTH OF GUATEMALA. THIS SYSTEM SHOWS SIGNS OF ORGANIZATION AND
CONDITIONS APPEAR FAVORABLE FOR SOME ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT AS IT
MOVES TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.
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#4 Postby boca » Thu Aug 18, 2005 5:08 pm

I think it will be a close ran betwwen the E Pacific and Atlantic, time will tell.
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Matt-hurricanewatcher

#5 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Thu Aug 18, 2005 5:09 pm

Developing!!!

18/1745 UTC 11.6N 91.7W T1.5/1.5 90E
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Matt-hurricanewatcher

#6 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Thu Aug 18, 2005 6:01 pm

000
ABPZ20 KNHC 182239
TWOEP
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
4 PM PDT THU AUG 18 2005

FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.

A BROAD AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER IS LOCATED A COUPLE HUNDRED MILES
SOUTH OF GUATEMALA. THIS SYSTEM CONTINUES TO SHOW SIGNS OF
ORGANIZATION AND HAS THE POTENTIAL TO DEVELOP INTO A TROPICAL
DEPRESSION OVER THE NEXT DAY OR TWO AS IT MOVES TO THE
WEST-NORTHWEST


They must not went to upgrade any more systems. WOW!!!

But come on Eastern Pacific win this one for the team.
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Matt-hurricanewatcher

#7 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Thu Aug 18, 2005 6:35 pm

GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 18.08.2005



TROPICAL STORM ANALYSED IN THE MODEL AT POSITION : 11.2N 89.8W



VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY

-------------- -------- -------- --------

12UTC 18.08.2005 11.2N 89.8W WEAK

00UTC 19.08.2005 12.2N 93.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE

12UTC 19.08.2005 12.7N 94.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE

00UTC 20.08.2005 12.8N 95.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE

12UTC 20.08.2005 12.8N 97.9W WEAK INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY

00UTC 21.08.2005 13.6N 99.9W WEAK INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY

12UTC 21.08.2005 15.2N 103.0W MODERATE INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY

00UTC 22.08.2005 16.4N 105.3W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY

12UTC 22.08.2005 17.9N 107.5W STRONG INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY

00UTC 23.08.2005 19.2N 109.4W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY

12UTC 23.08.2005 19.7N 110.9W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY

00UTC 24.08.2005 20.3N 111.8W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY

12UTC 24.08.2005 20.7N 112.0W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
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#8 Postby Steve » Thu Aug 18, 2005 6:44 pm

Thats forming from part of the wave JB thought would be the frontrunner heading toward Tex-Mex.

Steve
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