Jose on the way?

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dixiebreeze
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#101 Postby dixiebreeze » Thu Aug 18, 2005 3:34 pm

He's going to come back. Click on the visable:

http://wwwghcc.msfc.nasa.gov/cgi-bin/post-goes
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#102 Postby Brent » Thu Aug 18, 2005 3:46 pm

dixiebreeze wrote:He's going to come back. Click on the visable:

http://wwwghcc.msfc.nasa.gov/cgi-bin/post-goes


He?

It actually has to become Jose first... and before that, a TD. Think it's time to give up.
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#103 Postby dixiebreeze » Thu Aug 18, 2005 4:32 pm

No. Read the 5:30 TWO. A wave now, but could return in a "day or two." Seems the NHC doesn't want to give up on #10.
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#104 Postby Brent » Thu Aug 18, 2005 4:39 pm

dixiebreeze wrote:No. Read the 5:30 TWO. A wave now, but could return in a "day or two." Seems the NHC doesn't want to give up on #10.


WRONG.

SATELLITE IMAGES AND REPORTS FROM AN AIR FORCE RESERVE UNIT
RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT INDICATE THAT THE AREA OF LOW PRESSURE NEAR
THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS...THE REMNANTS OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION
TEN...HAS DEGENERATED INTO A TROPICAL WAVE. NO SIGNIFICANT
DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT DAY OR TWO.


They don't expect it to develop during the TWO days.

Looks like just some rain for 'ya. I'm sorry. :P
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#105 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Thu Aug 18, 2005 4:44 pm

Even so I believe it did in fact reformed into a well defined tropical cyclone Monday. When it was bursting deep convection near its Closed well defined LLC. But its over now. If it was upgraded it would of only lasted a few days. It would of been a earl.

RIP my friend tropical depression 10.

Quickscats back the recon data up with it no longer showing a LLC.
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#106 Postby Trader Ron » Thu Aug 18, 2005 4:53 pm

WeatherEmperor wrote:
dwg71 wrote:We had discussions on models, on potential tracks, on potential landfall locations, we had GOM discussions, we had talk of ridges, troughs, fish and the like...the only thing we need was a TC to go with it.

NEXT....


very well said. My gosh I wonder how this forum would be if a Cat 5 is bearing down on the US....

<RICKY>


I agree 100%. There was a short thread last week, where someone said we will have 2 named storms by the end of this week. I said... :na: :D
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#107 Postby Brent » Thu Aug 18, 2005 5:14 pm

Trader Ron wrote:I agree 100%. There was a short thread last week, where someone said we will have 2 named storms by the end of this week. I said... :na: :D


:lol:
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#108 Postby deltadog03 » Thu Aug 18, 2005 5:18 pm

jose is drinking too much of his own drink...he might not arrive until mid next week
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#109 Postby KWT » Thu Aug 18, 2005 5:22 pm

May i remind how completely cack Irene once looked,cricky it was amazing it kept its TD status for half of the time while it was having problems and as Derek O said,there was likely no LLC for a good 24-36hr period.Providing there is good convective bursts going overnight,then there is a chance that it may yet turn into something.

Granted though the odds of it actually turning into anything other then a TD is probably highly unlikely unless atmopsheric condtions take a turn for the better...much better!
(ps,this is my own personal unbiased views,since i'm on the other side any storm over in the states will only have a small role to play on the weather here,anyway looking foward to the remains of Irene...well whats left anyway!!! :lol: )
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#110 Postby mahicks » Thu Aug 18, 2005 5:49 pm

KWT wrote:May i remind how completely cack Irene once looked,cricky it was amazing it kept its TD status for half of the time while it was having problems and as Derek O said,there was likely no LLC for a good 24-36hr period.Providing there is good convective bursts going overnight,then there is a chance that it may yet turn into something.

Granted though the odds of it actually turning into anything other then a TD is probably highly unlikely unless atmopsheric condtions take a turn for the better...much better!
(ps,this is my own personal unbiased views,since i'm on the other side any storm over in the states will only have a small role to play on the weather here,anyway looking foward to the remains of Irene...well whats left anyway!!! :lol: )


Got a few bursts going on in the last 2 or 3 vis sat frames..
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#111 Postby fci » Thu Aug 18, 2005 6:24 pm

Brent wrote:
dixiebreeze wrote:No. Read the 5:30 TWO. A wave now, but could return in a "day or two." Seems the NHC doesn't want to give up on #10.


WRONG.

SATELLITE IMAGES AND REPORTS FROM AN AIR FORCE RESERVE UNIT
RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT INDICATE THAT THE AREA OF LOW PRESSURE NEAR
THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS...THE REMNANTS OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION
TEN...HAS DEGENERATED INTO A TROPICAL WAVE. NO SIGNIFICANT
DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT DAY OR TWO.


They don't expect it to develop during the TWO days.

Looks like just some rain for 'ya. I'm sorry. :P


Brent:
I sure hope you are right about rain and that the track is right here!
We need to get cooled down and some rain for the lawns!!!
Bring it on as a Tropical Wave, with some convection and some nice cooling rain.....
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#112 Postby WeatherEmperor » Thu Aug 18, 2005 6:57 pm

yeah we could use some rain here in FL. Its been ridiculously hot here in SoFla.

<RICKY>
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#113 Postby gatorcane » Thu Aug 18, 2005 7:20 pm

Have you been in the ocean...it's too damn HOT.... :grr:
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#114 Postby hookemfins » Thu Aug 18, 2005 7:24 pm

WeatherEmperor wrote:yeah we could use some rain here in FL. Its been ridiculously hot here in SoFla.

<RICKY>


Let it rain after the Marlins current homestand on Sunday :)


Here is a quote from the Miami WFO discussion:

THE REMNANTS OF T.D. 10 ARE STILL BOTHERSOME AND THE LATEST GFS DEPICTS IT MEANDERING INTO THE SOUTHEAST BAHAMAS SUNDAY AND MOVING ALONG THE EASTERN SIDE OF THE BAHAMAS THROUGH TUESDAY. TPC INDICATES STILL SOME POTENTIAL FOR REDEVELOPMENT. SOUTH FLORIDIANS SHOULD CONTINUE TO MONITOR THIS SYSTEM RIGHT THROUGH THE WEEKEND.

http://www.srh.noaa.gov/fwd/productviewnation.php?pil=MFLAFDMFL&version=0
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#115 Postby wzrgirl1 » Thu Aug 18, 2005 7:25 pm

WeatherEmperor wrote:yeah we could use some rain here in FL. Its been ridiculously hot here in SoFla.

<RICKY>


I hear ya........it's been disgustingly humid....a "heatwave" if you will...out of the past 47 days...42 of them have had higher then average temperatures here in dade county...I feel sorry for those that have to work outside..yuk :sadly:
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#116 Postby dixiebreeze » Thu Aug 18, 2005 8:15 pm

hookemfins wrote:
WeatherEmperor wrote:yeah we could use some rain here in FL. Its been ridiculously hot here in SoFla.

<RICKY>


Let it rain after the Marlins current homestand on Sunday :)


Here is a quote from the Miami WFO discussion:

THE REMNANTS OF T.D. 10 ARE STILL BOTHERSOME AND THE LATEST GFS DEPICTS IT MEANDERING INTO THE SOUTHEAST BAHAMAS SUNDAY AND MOVING ALONG THE EASTERN SIDE OF THE BAHAMAS THROUGH TUESDAY. TPC INDICATES STILL SOME POTENTIAL FOR REDEVELOPMENT. SOUTH FLORIDIANS SHOULD CONTINUE TO MONITOR THIS SYSTEM RIGHT THROUGH THE WEEKEND.

http://www.srh.noaa.gov/fwd/productviewnation.php?pil=MFLAFDMFL&version=0


:D :D :D :D :D :wink:
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#117 Postby Sanibel » Thu Aug 18, 2005 8:27 pm

Wicked hot and humid here in south Florida. We had a recod high low of 80* the other night...
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#118 Postby fci » Thu Aug 18, 2005 9:14 pm

hookemfins wrote:
WeatherEmperor wrote:yeah we could use some rain here in FL. Its been ridiculously hot here in SoFla.

<RICKY>


Let it rain after the Marlins current homestand on Sunday :)


Here is a quote from the Miami WFO discussion:

THE REMNANTS OF T.D. 10 ARE STILL BOTHERSOME AND THE LATEST GFS DEPICTS IT MEANDERING INTO THE SOUTHEAST BAHAMAS SUNDAY AND MOVING ALONG THE EASTERN SIDE OF THE BAHAMAS THROUGH TUESDAY. TPC INDICATES STILL SOME POTENTIAL FOR REDEVELOPMENT. SOUTH FLORIDIANS SHOULD CONTINUE TO MONITOR THIS SYSTEM RIGHT THROUGH THE WEEKEND.

http://www.srh.noaa.gov/fwd/productviewnation.php?pil=MFLAFDMFL&version=0


Yes, I am a Dodger fan and have tickets to Friday, Saturday and Sunday.
So no rain until Tuesday when my boys leave town (and when I become a Marlins fan again).
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#119 Postby dixiebreeze » Thu Aug 18, 2005 10:25 pm

OK, all you naysayers -- # 10 lives!

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT ... IR4/20.jpg
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jax

#120 Postby jax » Thu Aug 18, 2005 10:45 pm

dixiebreeze wrote:OK, all you naysayers -- # 10 lives!

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT ... IR4/20.jpg


Yikes,,,
your starting to sound like Linus and his rantings
about the Great Pumpkin...
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