H. Irene Eye Visible...Strenghtening Likely Underway...

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HURAKAN
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#21 Postby HURAKAN » Tue Aug 16, 2005 1:36 pm

LOOKING GOOD!!!

Image
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#22 Postby cycloneye » Tue Aug 16, 2005 1:49 pm


NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER NORTH ATLANTIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR

HURRICANE IRENE (AL092005) ON 20050816 1800 UTC

...00 HRS... ...12 HRS... ...24 HRS... ...36 HRS...
050816 1800 050817 0600 050817 1800 050818 0600

LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMD 36.5N 62.0W 37.0N 60.1W 38.4N 56.9W 41.5N 51.7W
BAMM 36.5N 62.0W 37.1N 60.6W 38.3N 58.0W 40.7N 53.8W
A98E 36.5N 62.0W 36.8N 59.8W 38.1N 56.5W 38.1N 53.0W
LBAR 36.5N 62.0W 36.7N 60.1W 37.7N 58.2W 39.6N 55.8W
SHIP 85KTS 85KTS 82KTS 75KTS
DSHP 85KTS 85KTS 82KTS 75KTS

...48 HRS... ...72 HRS... ...96 HRS... ..120 HRS...
050818 1800 050819 1800 050820 1800 050821 1800

LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMD 46.1N 45.2W 56.6N 28.3W 64.4N 15.8W 70.0N 12.1W
BAMM 44.3N 47.1W 52.6N 28.8W 57.9N 12.1W 62.9N 1.2W
A98E 39.5N 51.1W 40.0N 49.6W 41.9N 41.3W 43.7N 27.4W
LBAR 42.5N 52.3W 54.0N 35.6W .0N .0W .0N .0W
SHIP 68KTS 59KTS 50KTS 34KTS
DSHP 68KTS 59KTS 50KTS 34KTS

...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR = 36.5N LONCUR = 62.0W DIRCUR = 90DEG SPDCUR = 9KT
LATM12 = 36.6N LONM12 = 64.0W DIRM12 = 89DEG SPDM12 = 8KT
LATM24 = 36.5N LONM24 = 66.5W
WNDCUR = 85KT RMAXWD = 15NM WNDM12 = 75KT
CENPRS = 975MB OUTPRS = 1013MB OUTRAD = 175NM SDEPTH = D
RD34NE = 70NM RD34SE = 100NM RD34SW = 100NM RD34NW = 70NM

Now a cat 2 95 mph.
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#23 Postby DoctorHurricane2003 » Tue Aug 16, 2005 2:08 pm

85 KT = 100 MPH**

95 MPH = Category 1 and has no knot equivalent. :)
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#24 Postby cycloneye » Tue Aug 16, 2005 2:11 pm

DoctorHurricane2003 wrote:85 KT = 100 MPH**

95 MPH = Category 1 and has no knot equivalent. :)


There goes another error as Stewart did. :)
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#25 Postby wxwatcher91 » Tue Aug 16, 2005 2:12 pm

come on Irene only 15mph to go!!! :wink: :lol:
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#26 Postby HURAKAN » Tue Aug 16, 2005 2:22 pm

cycloneye wrote:
DoctorHurricane2003 wrote:85 KT = 100 MPH**

95 MPH = Category 1 and has no knot equivalent. :)


There goes another error as Stewart did. :)


Well, according to my mathematical calculations:

85 knots X 1.152 mph = 97.92 mph.

Thereafter, 100 mph is assumed because 97.92 is closer to 100 than to 95.

100 mph / 1.152 knots = 86.80555.... knots
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#27 Postby WeatherEmperor » Tue Aug 16, 2005 2:27 pm

HURAKAN wrote:
cycloneye wrote:
DoctorHurricane2003 wrote:85 KT = 100 MPH**

95 MPH = Category 1 and has no knot equivalent. :)


There goes another error as Stewart did. :)


Well, according to my mathematical calculations:

85 knots X 1.152 mph = 97.92 mph.

Thereafter, 100 mph is assumed because 97.92 is closer to 100 than to 95.

100 mph / 1.152 knots = 86.80555.... knots


nerd :D

<RICKY>
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DoctorHurricane2003

#28 Postby DoctorHurricane2003 » Tue Aug 16, 2005 2:27 pm

The only time that doesn't work Hurakan is when converting 115 KT...which technically goes to 132.25 MPH, which should round to 130 MPH...BUT since 130 is category 3 and 132.25 is category 4, it is rounded to 135 MPH.
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#29 Postby Sanibel » Tue Aug 16, 2005 3:28 pm

The eye was wobbling in earlier frames indicating an intensification phase...
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Anonymous

#30 Postby Anonymous » Tue Aug 16, 2005 3:31 pm

It's gettin flattened on it's western side, and the eye is becoming less defined.
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