The EPAC Rally continues=Invest 99E

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cycloneye
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The EPAC Rally continues=Invest 99E

#1 Postby cycloneye » Mon Aug 15, 2005 6:33 am

Image

Here we go again in the EPAC.
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#2 Postby Aquawind » Mon Aug 15, 2005 6:43 am

Welcome Back Luis!

Looks like some rain for Mexico this time..

Paul
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#3 Postby cycloneye » Mon Aug 15, 2005 10:07 am

TROPICAL DEPRESSION INVEST (EP992005) ON 20050815 0600 UTC

...00 HRS... ...12 HRS... ...24 HRS... ...36 HRS...
050815 0600 050815 1800 050816 0600 050816 1800

LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMD 14.9N 105.0W 15.6N 107.8W 16.3N 110.9W 17.0N 114.1W
BAMM 14.9N 105.0W 15.6N 107.6W 16.2N 110.5W 16.8N 113.5W
LBAR 14.9N 105.0W 15.8N 107.7W 17.1N 110.9W 18.4N 114.2W
SHIP 20KTS 26KTS 34KTS 44KTS
DSHP 20KTS 26KTS 34KTS 44KTS

...48 HRS... ...72 HRS... ...96 HRS... ..120 HRS...
050817 0600 050818 0600 050819 0600 050820 0600

LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMD 17.3N 117.2W 17.4N 123.3W 17.4N 128.8W 17.8N 133.3W
BAMM 17.0N 116.6W 16.6N 122.5W 16.0N 128.0W 15.7N 132.7W
LBAR 19.5N 117.5W 20.5N 122.5W 22.3N 124.1W 38.2N 122.7W
SHIP 52KTS 59KTS 59KTS 54KTS
DSHP 52KTS 59KTS 59KTS 54KTS

...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR = 14.9N LONCUR = 105.0W DIRCUR = 290DEG SPDCUR = 14KT
LATM12 = 14.0N LONM12 = 102.2W DIRM12 = 289DEG SPDM12 = 14KT
LATM24 = 13.1N LONM24 = 99.4W
WNDCUR = 20KT RMAXWD = 0NM WNDM12 = 20KT
CENPRS = 1009MB OUTPRS = 1011MB OUTRAD = 150NM SDEPTH = D
RD34NE = 0NM RD34SE = 0NM RD34SW = 0NM RD34NW = 0NM

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#4 Postby cycloneye » Mon Aug 15, 2005 8:04 pm

000
ABPZ20 KNHC 152256
TWOEP
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
4 PM PDT MON AUG 15 2005

FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.

THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL
DEPRESSION FERNANDA...LOCATED ABOUT 1620 MILES WEST OF THE SOUTHERN
TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA...AND HAS WRITTEN THE LAST ADVISORY ON
DISSIPATING TROPICAL DEPRESSION GREG...LOCATED ABOUT 770 MILES
SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA.

SHOWER ACTIVITY WITH A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE HAS BECOME MORE
CONCENTRATED ABOUT 250 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF MANZANILLO MEXICO.
THIS INCREASE IN ORGANIZATION IS OCCURRING IN SPITE OF UPPER-LEVEL
WINDS THAT DO NOT APPEAR TO BE PARTICULARLY FAVORABLE FOR
DEVELOPMENT. BECAUSE A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE ALREADY
EXISTS...IT WOULD NOT TAKE MUCH ADDITIONAL ORGANIZATION FOR THIS
SYSTEM TO BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO
AS IT MOVES WESTWARD.

ELSEWHERE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH
TUESDAY.

FORECASTER FRANKLIN


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#5 Postby cycloneye » Tue Aug 16, 2005 6:12 am

NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER EAST PACIFIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR

TROPICAL DEPRESSION INVEST (EP992005) ON 20050816 0600 UTC

...00 HRS... ...12 HRS... ...24 HRS... ...36 HRS...
050816 0600 050816 1800 050817 0600 050817 1800

LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMD 17.9N 109.5W 18.2N 112.4W 18.3N 115.4W 18.1N 118.3W
BAMM 17.9N 109.5W 18.2N 112.2W 18.3N 114.8W 18.1N 117.6W
LBAR 17.9N 109.5W 18.2N 112.2W 18.8N 115.2W 19.3N 118.2W
SHIP 25KTS 32KTS 40KTS 46KTS
DSHP 25KTS 32KTS 40KTS 46KTS

...48 HRS... ...72 HRS... ...96 HRS... ..120 HRS...
050818 0600 050819 0600 050820 0600 050821 0600

LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMD 18.1N 120.9W 17.9N 125.9W 18.3N 130.2W 19.2N 134.3W
BAMM 18.0N 120.0W 17.4N 124.5W 17.1N 128.7W 16.7N 133.1W
LBAR 19.6N 120.9W 20.6N 124.9W 22.0N 127.9W 23.2N 129.5W
SHIP 51KTS 52KTS 51KTS 46KTS
DSHP 51KTS 52KTS 51KTS 46KTS

...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR = 17.9N LONCUR = 109.5W DIRCUR = 275DEG SPDCUR = 13KT
LATM12 = 17.6N LONM12 = 106.8W DIRM12 = 289DEG SPDM12 = 13KT
LATM24 = 16.2N LONM24 = 104.7W
WNDCUR = 25KT RMAXWD = 30NM WNDM12 = 20KT
CENPRS = 1008MB OUTPRS = 1011MB OUTRAD = 150NM SDEPTH = M
RD34NE = 0NM RD34SE = 0NM RD34SW = 0NM RD34NW = 0NM
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#6 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Tue Aug 16, 2005 6:16 am

000
ABPZ20 KNHC 161037
TWOEP
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
4 AM PDT TUE AUG 16 2005

FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.

A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED ABOUT 365 MILES SOUTH OF THE
SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 10 TO 15 MPH.
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS HAVE INCREASED AND BECOME ORGANIZED THIS
MORNING. IF THIS TREND CONTINUES...THEN A TROPICAL DEPRESSION COULD
FORM DURING LATER TODAY


Wahoo the Eastern Pacific is racing back. This will likely be its 8th storm. Wahoo go Eastern Pacific go!!!
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#7 Postby Jim Hughes » Tue Aug 16, 2005 9:14 am

Matt-hurricanewatcher wrote:000
ABPZ20 KNHC 161037
TWOEP
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
4 AM PDT TUE AUG 16 2005

FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.

A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED ABOUT 365 MILES SOUTH OF THE
SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 10 TO 15 MPH.
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS HAVE INCREASED AND BECOME ORGANIZED THIS
MORNING. IF THIS TREND CONTINUES...THEN A TROPICAL DEPRESSION COULD
FORM DURING LATER TODAY


Wahoo the Eastern Pacific is racing back. This will likely be its 8th storm. Wahoo go Eastern Pacific go!!!


Do I see another horse race developing on the Storm2k boards ? :lol:

BTW I would hold off a tad ..... Long race....A good jockey will sit still on his horse to conserve energy. He or she then gets the whip out for the stretch run.


Jim
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#8 Postby cycloneye » Tue Aug 16, 2005 9:47 am

TROPICAL DEPRESSION INVEST (EP992005) ON 20050816 1200 UTC

...00 HRS... ...12 HRS... ...24 HRS... ...36 HRS...
050816 1200 050817 0000 050817 1200 050818 0000

LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMD 18.0N 110.5W 18.3N 113.5W 18.3N 116.5W 18.3N 119.5W
BAMM 18.0N 110.5W 18.3N 113.3W 18.0N 116.1W 17.7N 119.0W
LBAR 18.0N 110.5W 18.3N 113.3W 18.9N 116.2W 19.4N 119.1W
SHIP 25KTS 31KTS 37KTS 41KTS
DSHP 25KTS 31KTS 37KTS 41KTS

...48 HRS... ...72 HRS... ...96 HRS... ..120 HRS...
050818 1200 050819 1200 050820 1200 050821 1200

LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMD 18.3N 122.1W 18.5N 127.1W 19.3N 131.6W 20.8N 136.0W
BAMM 17.5N 121.6W 16.9N 126.3W 16.6N 130.5W 16.2N 135.2W
LBAR 19.8N 121.7W 20.9N 125.9W 22.9N 129.0W 24.2N 132.2W
SHIP 44KTS 44KTS 43KTS 43KTS
DSHP 44KTS 44KTS 43KTS 43KTS

...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR = 18.0N LONCUR = 110.5W DIRCUR = 275DEG SPDCUR = 12KT
LATM12 = 17.8N LONM12 = 108.1W DIRM12 = 277DEG SPDM12 = 13KT
LATM24 = 17.0N LONM24 = 105.6W
WNDCUR = 25KT RMAXWD = 30NM WNDM12 = 25KT
CENPRS = 1008MB OUTPRS = 1011MB OUTRAD = 150NM SDEPTH = M
RD34NE = 0NM RD34SE = 0NM RD34SW = 0NM RD34NW = 0NM
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#9 Postby hurricanefreak1988 » Tue Aug 16, 2005 5:16 pm

The E-Pac can do all the rallying it wants. Once we get into September, it's over. This will be the easiest title we've ever won.
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#10 Postby WeatherEmperor » Tue Aug 16, 2005 5:22 pm

hurricanefreak1988 wrote:The E-Pac can do all the rallying it wants. Once we get into September, it's over. This will be the easiest title we've ever won.


lol wow somebody sounds confident. Ill quote you on that later on the season.

<RICKY>
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#11 Postby hurricanefreak1988 » Tue Aug 16, 2005 6:49 pm

Better yet, quote me on this one, it sounds better:

I guarantee the Atlantic will win the 2005 title.

Let the championship celebration begin at midnight on December 1. 8-)

EDIT: Hey, I just thought of something cool. Matt-hurricanewatcher seems to be the biggest E-Pac fan on this board, and I'd like to think I'm one of the biggest Atlantic fans on this board. So, I'm gonna make a bet with him. Matt, if we win the title this season, you have to sport an avatar (which I'll make) that says something like "ATLANTIC OCEAN: 2005 HURRICANE SEASON CHAMPIONS! WOOHOO!!!" until the start of the 2006 Atlantic hurricane season on June 1. If you guys win the title (which is when I would see pigs flying outside my window), I'll do the same, but the name would obviously be changed to Eastern Pacific. Deal?
Last edited by hurricanefreak1988 on Tue Aug 16, 2005 7:02 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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#12 Postby hurricanefreak1988 » Tue Aug 16, 2005 7:01 pm

Bumping just to make sure Matt catches my edit. :grrr:
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#13 Postby Sanibel » Tue Aug 16, 2005 7:07 pm

This only furthers the strange season mystery. EPAC looks deeper than the Atlantic. Mild cyclones in each basin is possible.
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#14 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Tue Aug 16, 2005 7:07 pm

Ok...But the Pacific has picked up some. Also the Atlantic has to deal with SAL. So doe's this go for all the Pacific or just the small eastern part. In which normally beats the Atlatnic on Avg any way. Go Eastern Pacific go!!!

Also remember this!!!
http://weather.unisys.com/hurricane/e_p ... index.html


:P
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#15 Postby hurricanefreak1988 » Tue Aug 16, 2005 11:02 pm

So the bet is on! Oh man, this is gonna be good. :grrr:
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#16 Postby clfenwi » Wed Aug 17, 2005 1:30 am

17/0600 UTC 18.2N 112.4W T1.0/1.0 99E -- East Pacific Ocean

Finally getting some love from SSD...
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#17 Postby HurricaneJoe22 » Wed Aug 17, 2005 2:14 am

That area around 18N/113W seems to be getting its act together....also we may have another area forming into a depression farther east...heavy convection seems to be pulling in/wrapping around a low pressure area around 12N/93W....Steve Lyons mentioned this area last night.
Could have 2 depressions by tonight in EPAC.
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#18 Postby cycloneye » Wed Aug 17, 2005 8:51 am

TROPICAL DEPRESSION INVEST (EP992005) ON 20050817 1200 UTC

...00 HRS... ...12 HRS... ...24 HRS... ...36 HRS...
050817 1200 050818 0000 050818 1200 050819 0000

LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMD 18.3N 113.4W 18.5N 115.8W 18.8N 117.8W 19.1N 119.3W
BAMM 18.3N 113.4W 18.9N 115.6W 19.4N 117.6W 20.1N 119.4W
LBAR 18.3N 113.4W 18.6N 115.2W 19.4N 117.2W 20.4N 118.9W
SHIP 25KTS 27KTS 30KTS 31KTS
DSHP 25KTS 27KTS 30KTS 31KTS

...48 HRS... ...72 HRS... ...96 HRS... ..120 HRS...
050819 1200 050820 1200 050821 1200 050822 1200

LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMD 19.4N 120.7W 19.8N 124.5W 20.6N 130.3W 22.2N 136.6W
BAMM 20.6N 121.0W 21.4N 124.5W 22.5N 129.1W 23.6N 134.4W
LBAR 21.5N 120.6W 24.3N 123.9W 28.2N 126.6W 28.9N 127.6W
SHIP 32KTS 28KTS 25KTS 16KTS
DSHP 32KTS 28KTS 25KTS 16KTS

...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR = 18.3N LONCUR = 113.4W DIRCUR = 270DEG SPDCUR = 8KT
LATM12 = 18.3N LONM12 = 111.8W DIRM12 = 274DEG SPDM12 = 9KT
LATM24 = 18.1N LONM24 = 110.1W
WNDCUR = 25KT RMAXWD = 30NM WNDM12 = 25KT
CENPRS = 1008MB OUTPRS = 1012MB OUTRAD = 150NM SDEPTH = M
RD34NE = 0NM RD34SE = 0NM RD34SW = 0NM RD34NW = 0NM
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#19 Postby weatherwoman » Wed Aug 17, 2005 10:02 am

west coast is always boring
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#20 Postby hurricanefreak1988 » Tue Nov 22, 2005 4:23 pm

Time to bump this thread. Since we all know it's over between us and the E-Pac, it's time to crown Matt with his new avatar that he'll be wearing until June 1, 2006. Here it is...

Image

Enjoy! :grrr: :P
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