NWestern Carib

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jax

NWestern Carib

#1 Postby jax » Mon Aug 15, 2005 1:23 pm

There seems to be WAY too much convection in the W Carib
to not warrent some attention...

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT ... -loop.html

looking at the loop... it looks like there are strong westerlies
but when i look at the wind shear forcast for the area... looks
pretty favorable...

http://www.weatherunderground.com/data/ ... _shear.gif
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x-y-no
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#2 Postby x-y-no » Mon Aug 15, 2005 1:37 pm

I think that forecast is underplaying the shear in that region - there's a strong upper-level trough dominating the Gulf, and that's shearing the NW Caribbean as well.
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Sanibel
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#3 Postby Sanibel » Mon Aug 15, 2005 4:36 pm

Flare east tip Honduras bears watching...
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Matt-hurricanewatcher

#4 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Mon Aug 15, 2005 4:38 pm

The Tutt is way to strong across the Caribbean. Forget development for at least 2 weeks.
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jax

#5 Postby jax » Mon Aug 15, 2005 4:46 pm

Matt-hurricanewatcher wrote:The Tutt is way to strong across the Caribbean. Forget development for at least 2 weeks.


2 weeks.... whatever...

nothing like a good solid 14 day forcast...
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