Irene Eye Peeking Out - Cat 3 Possible?

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wxman57
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Irene Eye Peeking Out - Cat 3 Possible?

#1 Postby wxman57 » Mon Aug 15, 2005 11:24 am

Looks like the Irene sat pic thread was locked, and I didn't want to post to the advisory thread. Here's a long McIdas loop of Irene today. It's 6.5MB so far, so give it time to load. You can see the convection wrapping around the center and the eye appearing fairly well at 1616Z. I think it may have a shot at strong Cat 2 or Cat 3 in the next 24 hours.

http://myweb.cableone.net/nolasue/ireneloopaug15.gif
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#2 Postby WindRunner » Mon Aug 15, 2005 11:49 am

I think that's pushing it, but a cat2 is not out of the question.
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#3 Postby Thunder44 » Mon Aug 15, 2005 12:28 pm

Does it look like it's turned more east in the past couple of frames? Perhaps a wobble.
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#4 Postby wxman57 » Mon Aug 15, 2005 12:38 pm

New images added into the loop now. Eye stlill not clear. Cat 3 will certainly be pushing it, but I'm in a hurricane pool here at work and need 7 majors. ;-)

http://myweb.cableone.net/nolasue/ireneloopaug15.gif
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#5 Postby Hyperstorm » Tue Aug 16, 2005 9:08 am

wxman57 wrote:New images added into the loop now. Eye stlill not clear. Cat 3 will certainly be pushing it, but I'm in a hurricane pool here at work and need 7 majors. ;-)

http://myweb.cableone.net/nolasue/ireneloopaug15.gif


There are signs the eye will again try to pop out shortly and this means that RI is underway. Category 2 is quite likely, although a 3 is not out of the question. While I was starting to give up on the possibility of a Category 2 hurricane yesterday evening bcause the system was starting to look ragged, the hurricane has come back this morning with a vengeance.
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Matt-hurricanewatcher

#6 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Tue Aug 16, 2005 9:09 am

I'm looking at some close up visible loops. Its eye has open up. Its eye wall is wraping around with deep convection. I say its on its way to become a very powerful hurricane.
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#7 Postby wxwatcher91 » Tue Aug 16, 2005 9:45 am

it really all depends on whether Irene can keep up her eastward track...

I dont doubt a strong cat 2 could be the case here within the next 12 to 24 hours... after 24hours shes gone to swim with the xtropical fishies
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