Wave off Africa

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Ivanhater
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Wave off Africa

#1 Postby Ivanhater » Sun Aug 14, 2005 6:30 pm

The wave coming off Africa looks really good right now, of course it could fizzle in the next day but the environment off africa is becoming less hostile then it was before, not perfect but less hostile...i think this has a decent chance...elysium are you reading this, what do you think? :wink: ...sorry i couldnt help it

http://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/sat-bin/disp ... C_SCALE=15
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#2 Postby Tampa Bay Hurricane » Sun Aug 14, 2005 6:33 pm

MJO has gone very favorable over central Atlantic...so this system
will indeed require some monitoring. I don't see anything significant
for a few days, but nevertheless the system needs to be watched.
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#3 Postby artist » Sun Aug 14, 2005 6:37 pm

according to this the water vapor is probably 10 fold what it has been the last week or so coming off of there - should be a n interesting week??


http://oiswww.eumetsat.org/IDDS-cgi/lis ... ,v=400,p=0


and look what is coming behind it -

http://oiswww.eumetsat.org/IDDS-cgi/lis ... ,v=100,p=0
Last edited by artist on Sun Aug 14, 2005 6:46 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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#4 Postby Tampa Bay Hurricane » Sun Aug 14, 2005 6:39 pm

color enhanced:
Image
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#5 Postby Hyperstorm » Sun Aug 14, 2005 6:48 pm

There's already a thread that Cycloneye made a few days ago regarding the Eastern Atlantic and the parade of waves over Africa:

http://www.storm2k.org/phpbb2/viewtopic ... 6cba241ac5

I've been monitoring this system for potential development. It has not yet moved offshore, but will do so within the next 24 hours...
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elysium

#6 Postby elysium » Sun Aug 14, 2005 6:48 pm

I don't think that it has a very good chance of making it across. It will also be pretty badly hampered by a little more of the now familiar SAL (Saharan dust) coming off. There's problems with the ridge that are of decreasing imposition but still there. The ridge hasn't set up well on the east side yet. Give it....10 days. You never know, though. If this system is resillient, you might have something there. It'll be tough going.

One thing greatly in its favor is its latitude. It's got excellent latitude. Sometimes, if it stays on a due west heading, that low latitude can get it out of problems. Well worth watching.
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#7 Postby artist » Sun Aug 14, 2005 7:24 pm

Amazing!!! In the very same statement are the words =

I don't think that it has a very good chance of making it across



and


Well worth watching.



Simply amazing!
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#8 Postby Tampa Bay Hurricane » Sun Aug 14, 2005 7:33 pm

Well I think what E's trying to say is that although the system has little
chance of development (in his/her opinion), it is still worth watching due
to the fact that it has a chance, even if the chance is slim.
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#9 Postby mahicks » Sun Aug 14, 2005 7:37 pm

Delete...........
Last edited by mahicks on Sun Aug 14, 2005 7:56 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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#10 Postby mahicks » Sun Aug 14, 2005 7:42 pm

Delete.......
Last edited by mahicks on Sun Aug 14, 2005 7:58 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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#11 Postby ROCK » Sun Aug 14, 2005 7:46 pm

elysium wrote:I don't think that it has a very good chance of making it across. It will also be pretty badly hampered by a little more of the now familiar SAL (Saharan dust) coming off. There's problems with the ridge that are of decreasing imposition but still there. The ridge hasn't set up well on the east side yet. Give it....10 days. You never know, though. If this system is resillient, you might have something there. It'll be tough going.

One thing greatly in its favor is its latitude. It's got excellent latitude. Sometimes, if it stays on a due west heading, that low latitude can get it out of problems. Well worth watching.




I get your point.....BUT please clean up your thoughts some and others on here won't be SO CRITICAL at your every word.

You know maybe some of you can cut this guy/ gal some slack. I don't think this was at all baseless. A little muddy at times but did have some fact to it.
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#12 Postby mahicks » Sun Aug 14, 2005 7:54 pm

ROCK wrote:
elysium wrote:I don't think that it has a very good chance of making it across. It will also be pretty badly hampered by a little more of the now familiar SAL (Saharan dust) coming off. There's problems with the ridge that are of decreasing imposition but still there. The ridge hasn't set up well on the east side yet. Give it....10 days. You never know, though. If this system is resillient, you might have something there. It'll be tough going.

One thing greatly in its favor is its latitude. It's got excellent latitude. Sometimes, if it stays on a due west heading, that low latitude can get it out of problems. Well worth watching.




I get your point.....BUT please clean up your thoughts some and others on here won't be SO CRITICAL at your every word.

You know maybe some of you can cut this guy/ gal some slack. I don't think this was at all baseless. A little muddy at times but did have some fact to it.



Your right...And I'm deleting my posts on THIS thread..
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#13 Postby mahicks » Sun Aug 14, 2005 7:55 pm

.
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MiamiensisWx

#14 Postby MiamiensisWx » Sun Aug 14, 2005 8:59 pm

elysium wrote:I don't think that it has a very good chance of making it across. It will also be pretty badly hampered by a little more of the now familiar SAL (Saharan dust) coming off. There's problems with the ridge that are of decreasing imposition but still there. The ridge hasn't set up well on the east side yet. Give it....10 days. You never know, though. If this system is resillient, you might have something there. It'll be tough going.

One thing greatly in its favor is its latitude. It's got excellent latitude. Sometimes, if it stays on a due west heading, that low latitude can get it out of problems. Well worth watching.

ROCK wrote:I get your point.....BUT please clean up your thoughts some and others on here won't be SO CRITICAL at your every word.

You know maybe some of you can cut this guy/ gal some slack. I don't think this was at all baseless. A little muddy at times but did have some fact to it.


Agreed. At least he/she did use some evidence to attempt to support his/her view...
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