Irene Recon Reports

This is the general tropical discussion area. Anyone can take their shot at predicting a storms path.

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Forum rules

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.

Help Support Storm2K
Post Reply
Message
Author
User avatar
wxwatcher91
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1606
Joined: Wed Jul 06, 2005 2:43 pm
Location: Keene, NH
Contact:
Contact wxwatcher91

#161 Postby wxwatcher91 » Sun Aug 14, 2005 1:20 pm

352
URNT11 KNHC 141817
97779 18114 10353 71618 15400 05017 18162 /2549
49905
RMK AF300 0709A IRENE OB 14
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
wxwatcher91
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1606
Joined: Wed Jul 06, 2005 2:43 pm
Location: Keene, NH
Contact:
Contact wxwatcher91

#162 Postby wxwatcher91 » Sun Aug 14, 2005 2:00 pm

812
URNT11 KNHC 141858
97779 18474 10354 71600 18300 06016 16092 /2545
49905
RMK AF306 WX09A IRENE02 OB 08
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
wxwatcher91
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1606
Joined: Wed Jul 06, 2005 2:43 pm
Location: Keene, NH
Contact:
Contact wxwatcher91

New VDM= 992mb

#163 Postby wxwatcher91 » Sun Aug 14, 2005 2:04 pm

007
URNT12 KNHC 141904
VORTEX DATA MESSAGE
A. 14/18:43:40Z
B. 34 deg 06 min N
069 deg 59 min W
C. 850 mb 1370 m
D. 35 kt
E. 312 deg 031 nm
F. 036 deg 055 kt
G. 316 deg 010 nm
H. 992 mb
I. 17 C/ 1519 m
J. 19 C/ 1520 m
K. 19 C/ NA
L. OPEN NW
M. C20
N. 12345/ 8
O. 0.02 / 2 nm
P. AF300 0709A IRENE OB 15
MAX FL WIND 60KT NE QUAD 17:24:30 Z
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
HURAKAN
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 46086
Age: 38
Joined: Thu May 20, 2004 4:34 pm
Location: Key West, FL
Contact:
Contact HURAKAN

#164 Postby HURAKAN » Sun Aug 14, 2005 2:11 pm

992 mb is good, but winds do not support upgrade.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
wxwatcher91
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1606
Joined: Wed Jul 06, 2005 2:43 pm
Location: Keene, NH
Contact:
Contact wxwatcher91

#165 Postby wxwatcher91 » Sun Aug 14, 2005 2:17 pm

HURAKAN wrote:992 mb is good, but winds do not support upgrade.


the winds were taken over an hour ago... they have most likely increased by now considering sat presentation

---------------------------------------------------

300
URNT11 KNHC 141911
97779 19004 10334 69108 15200 23049 16168 /2538
42245
RMK AF300 0709A IRENE OB 17
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
wxwatcher91
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1606
Joined: Wed Jul 06, 2005 2:43 pm
Location: Keene, NH
Contact:
Contact wxwatcher91

#166 Postby wxwatcher91 » Sun Aug 14, 2005 2:33 pm

935
URNT11 KNHC 141928
97779 19224 10349 68910 15000 15044 17178 /2537
41340
RMK AF300 0709A IRENE OB 19
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
wxwatcher91
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1606
Joined: Wed Jul 06, 2005 2:43 pm
Location: Keene, NH
Contact:
Contact wxwatcher91

#167 Postby wxwatcher91 » Sun Aug 14, 2005 2:36 pm

661
SXXX50 KNHC 141931
AF306 WX09A IRENE02 HDOB 25 KNHC
1919 3416N 06955W 01827 5065 139 007 176 162 011 01798 0000000000
1919. 3415N 06953W 01832 5066 157 009 180 146 010 01801 0000000000
1920 3414N 06952W 01828 5070 189 009 184 144 009 01793 0000000000
1920. 3413N 06951W 01832 5072 228 010 180 154 013 01795 0000000000
1921 3411N 06949W 01827 5072 224 020 172 168 024 01790 0000000000
1921. 3410N 06947W 01830 5068 221 029 172 168 033 01796 0000000000
1922 3409N 06946W 01827 5061 216 040 170 168 043 01801 0000000000
1922. 3408N 06944W 01831 5051 215 047 172 168 050 01815 0000000000
1923 3407N 06943W 01830 5043 214 053 166 166 056 01822 0000000000
1923. 3406N 06942W 01829 5034 212 063 164 164 069 01830 0000000000
1924 3405N 06940W 01828 5024 211 071 140 140 072 01839 0000000000
1924. 3404N 06939W 01826 5012 212 070 154 154 070 01850 0000000000
1925 3403N 06938W 01831 5003 212 067 154 152 070 01863 0000000000
1925. 3402N 06937W 01829 0007 218 063 156 156 064 01871 0000000000
1926 3401N 06936W 01830 0014 221 061 146 146 062 01880 0000000000
1926. 3359N 06935W 01834 0019 221 062 132 132 063 01888 0000000000
1927 3358N 06934W 01820 0026 213 067 130 130 068 01882 0000000000
1927. 3357N 06933W 01833 0033 212 065 154 148 066 01901 0000000000
1928 3356N 06932W 01828 0039 213 061 166 142 063 01902 0000000000
1928. 3355N 06930W 01829 0045 215 059 166 134 059 01909 0000000000
0 likes   
Top
gkrangers

#168 Postby gkrangers » Sun Aug 14, 2005 2:43 pm

At 850mb...that really only comes out to 57kts using 80% reduction. Gonna be a close call for upgrade at 5PM..
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
WindRunner
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 5806
Age: 34
Joined: Fri Jul 29, 2005 8:07 pm
Location: Warrenton, VA, but Albany, NY for school
Contact:
Contact WindRunner

#169 Postby WindRunner » Sun Aug 14, 2005 3:13 pm

But they should definately go back to 60kts
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
senorpepr
Military Met/Moderator
Military Met/Moderator
Posts: 12542
Age: 43
Joined: Fri Aug 22, 2003 9:22 pm
Location: Mackenbach, Germany
Contact:
Contact senorpepr

#170 Postby senorpepr » Sun Aug 14, 2005 4:21 pm

Well... that was the last recon into Irene. Break time for the crew!
0 likes   
Top
superfly

#171 Postby superfly » Sun Aug 14, 2005 6:01 pm

2241 3446N 06924W 01823 5039 167 080 142 142 085 01819 0000000000
2241. 3446N 06923W 01835 5031 167 079 140 140 081 01839 0000000000
2242 3445N 06922W 01826 5027 170 082 140 140 083 01834 0000000000
2242. 3445N 06920W 01831 5019 170 084 136 136 085 01846 0000000000
2243 3444N 06919W 01823 5011 173 078 132 132 081 01847 0000000000
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
Hyperstorm
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1500
Joined: Sun Sep 07, 2003 3:48 am
Location: Ocala, FL

#172 Postby Hyperstorm » Sun Aug 14, 2005 8:01 pm

superfly wrote:2241 3446N 06924W 01823 5039 167 080 142 142 085 01819 0000000000
2241. 3446N 06923W 01835 5031 167 079 140 140 081 01839 0000000000
2242 3445N 06922W 01826 5027 170 082 140 140 083 01834 0000000000
2242. 3445N 06920W 01831 5019 170 084 136 136 085 01846 0000000000
2243 3444N 06919W 01823 5011 173 078 132 132 081 01847 0000000000


According to that last report, we have an 80 mph hurricane. Even more interesting is that the system is looking even better as time goes by. I think we will see some more strengthening before it reaches cooler waters. Don might be on to something...
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
wxwatcher91
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1606
Joined: Wed Jul 06, 2005 2:43 pm
Location: Keene, NH
Contact:
Contact wxwatcher91

#173 Postby wxwatcher91 » Sun Aug 14, 2005 9:05 pm

I know this is late but just to post it so people can see it :wink:

992
URNT12 KNHC 150012
VORTEX DATA MESSAGE
A. 15/00:01:10Z
B. 34 deg 56 min N
069 deg 31 min W
C. 850 mb 1350 m
D. NA kt
E. 000 deg 000 nm
F. 327 deg 058 kt
G. 238 deg 014 nm
H. 989 mb
I. 16 C/ 1828 m
J. 20 C/ 1848 m
K. 15 C/ NA
L. OPEN S-W
M. E12/24/16
N. 12345/ 8
O. 0.02 / 2 nm
P. AF306 WX09A IRENE02 OB 25
MAX FL WIND 88 KT SE QUAD 23:40:40 Z
0 likes   
Top
Matt-hurricanewatcher

#174 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Sun Aug 14, 2005 9:08 pm

88 knots over the southeast quad. Just think of how strong it is over the northeast. This storm is must likely going to top around 90 mph.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
JamesFromMaine2
Category 4
Category 4
Posts: 989
Joined: Tue Jul 19, 2005 1:38 am
Location: Portland Maine USA
Contact:
Contact JamesFromMaine2

#175 Postby JamesFromMaine2 » Sun Aug 14, 2005 9:11 pm

so is there still a recon mission going on or is it over?
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
Hyperstorm
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1500
Joined: Sun Sep 07, 2003 3:48 am
Location: Ocala, FL

#176 Postby Hyperstorm » Sun Aug 14, 2005 9:20 pm

Matt-hurricanewatcher wrote:88 knots over the southeast quad. Just think of how strong it is over the northeast. This storm is must likely going to top around 90 mph.


Actually, the storm is now moving NE, so the strongest winds would be located near the E-SE quadrants, which are the right-front quadrants of the storm.

84* and :uarrow: ...
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
artist
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 9792
Joined: Mon Jun 06, 2005 3:26 pm
Location: West Palm

#177 Postby artist » Sun Aug 14, 2005 11:52 pm

latest vortex shows-

000
URNT12 KNHC 150012
VORTEX DATA MESSAGE
A. 15/00:01:10Z
B. 34 deg 56 min N
069 deg 31 min W
C. 850 mb 1350 m
D. NA kt
E. 000 deg 000 nm
F. 327 deg 058 kt
G. 238 deg 014 nm
H. 989 mb
I. 16 C/ 1828 m
J. 20 C/ 1848 m
K. 15 C/ NA
L. OPEN S-W
M. E12/24/16
N. 12345/ 8
O. 0.02 / 2 nm
P. AF306 WX09A IRENE02 OB 25
MAX FL WIND 88 KT SE QUAD 23:40:40 Z

101.2 mph flight level
0 likes   
Top
Sanibel
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 10385
Joined: Mon Aug 30, 2004 11:06 pm
Location: Offshore SW Florida

#178 Postby Sanibel » Sun Aug 14, 2005 11:57 pm

Best red tops yet. Classic Gulf Stream boost.
0 likes   
Top
Post Reply

Return to “Talkin' Tropics”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: mitchell and 223 guests