Irene has woken up and is seeing clearly

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wxwatcher91
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Irene has woken up and is seeing clearly

#1 Postby wxwatcher91 » Sun Aug 14, 2005 1:29 pm

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT ... IR4/20.jpg

if that is not an eye then I dont know what is :wink:


1745z frame btw if it doesnt show up when it is updated
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#2 Postby WindRunner » Sun Aug 14, 2005 1:31 pm

hmmm . . . . Sure looks like an eye. I wonder if recon has found one yet?
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#3 Postby Sanibel » Sun Aug 14, 2005 1:32 pm

It could be the TS eye opening by accident because of an open spot in the overcast.

Reconnaissance has been reporting a closed eye for several days now...
Last edited by Sanibel on Sun Aug 14, 2005 1:33 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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#4 Postby WindRunner » Sun Aug 14, 2005 1:32 pm

Yea, 18nm. Interesting.
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#5 Postby Swimdude » Sun Aug 14, 2005 1:35 pm

Nevertheless, she's most likely our 4th 70-mph TS of the season. Joy.
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#6 Postby wxwatcher91 » Sun Aug 14, 2005 1:36 pm

yeah someone look at a loop... I have too many windows open right now and with dial up my comp would crash lol... see if the convection is rotation around that point and if then point is moving northward... mainly its just a matter of wait-and-see... if its still there next frame and it hasnt like expanded drastically it should be an eye
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#7 Postby HURAKAN » Sun Aug 14, 2005 1:39 pm

HURRICANE IRENE BY DVORAK STANDARDS:

14/1745 UTC 34.0N 69.9W T4.0/4.0 IRENE -- Atlantic Ocean
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#8 Postby wxwatcher91 » Sun Aug 14, 2005 1:40 pm

BREAKING NEWS: T NUMBERS AT 4.0

WE HAVE A HURRICANE
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#9 Postby wxwatcher91 » Sun Aug 14, 2005 1:50 pm

STILL THERE IN 1815 frame!!!

WE HAVE AN EYE!

Image
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#10 Postby Andrew92 » Sun Aug 14, 2005 1:52 pm

I actually thought I saw a hint of an eye developing earlier, but chose not to post it. Yesterday I thought it was developing an eye, when it in fact was actually really disorganized.

However, this one is no joke. I expect a hurricane either at 5 or 11 tonight!

-Andrew92
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#11 Postby Sanibel » Sun Aug 14, 2005 1:53 pm

The amazing powers of the Gulf Stream!
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#12 Postby Andrew92 » Sun Aug 14, 2005 1:56 pm

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT ... VIS/20.jpg

It's definitely there on visible, too.
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#13 Postby Sanibel » Sun Aug 14, 2005 1:57 pm

The tight CDO has located over the surface center.


Notice this happened when it turned NNE and brought the moist inflow to its SW in tandem with the Gulf Stream...
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#14 Postby wxwatcher91 » Sun Aug 14, 2005 1:58 pm

Andrew92 wrote:I actually thought I saw a hint of an eye developing earlier, but chose not to post it. Yesterday I thought it was developing an eye, when it in fact was actually really disorganized.

However, this one is no joke. I expect a hurricane either at 5 or 11 tonight!

-Andrew92


yes I too have thought Irene has had an eye many times before lol... I had been monitoring other waves for a while and then glanced at Irene and went "whoooa" lol... I posted it figuring this storm is going to make me eat a months worth of crow.. why not risk just a snakc of it more :wink: :lol:
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#15 Postby djtil » Sun Aug 14, 2005 2:01 pm

does anyone else audibly grown at every take on the "eye" cleverness when it comes to post subjects?
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#16 Postby wxwatcher91 » Sun Aug 14, 2005 2:07 pm

djtil wrote:does anyone else audibly grown at every take on the "eye" cleverness when it comes to post subjects?


hey I was excited so shut up :wink: :lol:

...and everyone else does it too lol
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#17 Postby Sanibel » Sun Aug 14, 2005 2:09 pm

The center has finally gotten good form.


Recon?

994 down now to 992
Last edited by Sanibel on Sun Aug 14, 2005 2:10 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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#18 Postby wxwatcher91 » Sun Aug 14, 2005 2:10 pm

the latest VDM has come out (see the Irene recon thread)

20nm wide eye... max fl winds are 60kt but that was taken about a hour or so ago
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#19 Postby superfly » Sun Aug 14, 2005 2:12 pm

It might be upgraded to a cane at 5. Recon winds at 2EST did not support it, but it has both the pressure and the Dvorak measurement to be classified as a cane. We'll see if NHC does or not.
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#20 Postby djtil » Sun Aug 14, 2005 2:16 pm

hey I was excited so shut up


lol... i hear you....just shows the desperation for excitement we are all feeling during this lull.
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