SIO: MITCHELL - Post-Tropical

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cycloneye
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Re: SIO: MITCHELL - Severe Tropical Cyclone

#21 Postby cycloneye » Sun Feb 08, 2026 4:05 pm

Tropical Cyclone Mitchell (21U), category 2, currently located near the North West Cape and impacting the Exmouth region. Forecast to move down the Ningaloo and Gascoyne coasts towards Carnarvon during Monday.

Warning zone
East of Giralia to Overlander Roadhouse, including Exmouth, Carnarvon, and Denham, and extending inland through the western Pilbara and western Gascoyne including Gascoyne Junction.

Watch zone
None.

Cancelled zone
None.

Details of Tropical Cyclone Mitchell 21U at 5:00 am AWST:

Intensity
Category 2, sustained winds near the centre of 100 kilometres per hour with wind gusts to 140 kilometres per hour.

Location
within 30 kilometres of 22.4 degrees South 113.5 degrees East, estimated to be 85 kilometres southwest of Exmouth and 270 kilometres north of Carnarvon.

Movement
south southwest at 11 kilometres per hour.

Tropical Cyclone Mitchell (21U), a category 2 cyclone, is expected to move southwards near the Ningaloo and Carnarvon coasts this morning before taking a track to the southeast later today, crossing the Gascoyne coast and moving over land Monday night.

Mitchell has started to weaken but expected to maintain a category 2 strength during this morning. Mitchell will weaken further in the afternoon and is expected to be below cyclone strength Tuesday morning as it moves over land through the southern Gascoyne.
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Re: SIO: MITCHELL - Tropical Cyclone

#22 Postby cycloneye » Sun Feb 08, 2026 7:15 pm

Tropical Cyclone Mitchell (21U), category 1, impacting the Ningaloo coast. Forecast to move down the Ningaloo and Gascoyne coasts towards Carnarvon during Monday.

Warning zone
Ningaloo to Overlander Roadhouse, including Carnarvon, and Denham, and extending inland through the western Pilbara and western Gascoyne including Gascoyne Junction.

Watch zone
None.

Cancelled zone
Exmouth to Giralia.

Details of Tropical Cyclone Mitchell 21U at 8:00 am AWST:

Intensity
Category 1, sustained winds near the centre of 85 kilometres per hour with wind gusts to 120 kilometres per hour.

Location
within 20 kilometres of 23.0 degrees South 113.5 degrees East, estimated to be 135 kilometres south southwest of Exmouth and 210 kilometres north of Carnarvon.

Movement
south southwest at 14 kilometres per hour.

Tropical Cyclone Mitchell (21U), a category 1 cyclone, is expected to move southwards along the Ningaloo and Gascoyne coasts this morning. Mitchell is expected to track to the southeast later today and maintain category 1 strength until it crosses the Gascoyne Coast, expected later on Monday.


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Re: SIO: MITCHELL - Tropical Cyclone

#23 Postby cycloneye » Sun Feb 08, 2026 10:25 pm

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Re: SIO: MITCHELL - Tropical Cyclone

#24 Postby cycloneye » Mon Feb 09, 2026 4:51 am

Intensity
category 1, sustained winds near the centre of 85 kilometres per hour with wind gusts to 120 kilometres per hour

Location
within 20 kilometres of 24.9 degrees South, 113.4 degrees East, 30 kilometres west of Carnarvon and 120 kilometres north of Denham

Movement
south at 22 kilometres per hour

Tropical Cyclone Mitchell (21U), a category 1 cyclone, is expected to move southwards along the Ningaloo and Gascoyne coasts this morning. Mitchell is expected to track to the southeast later today and maintain category 1 strength until it crosses the Gascoyne Coast, expected later on Monday.

Mitchell will weaken overnight Monday and is expected to be below cyclone strength Tuesday morning as it moves over land through the southern Gascoyne.
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Re: SIO: MITCHELL - Post-Tropical

#25 Postby cycloneye » Mon Feb 09, 2026 3:21 pm

This is the last warning that will be issued.

Ex-Tropical Cyclone Mitchell (21U) has crossed the Gascoyne coast and weakened below tropical cyclone strength as it moves inland.

Area affected
Warning zone
None.

Watch zone
None.

Cancelled zone
South of Carnarvon to Overlander Roadhouse, including Denham, and extending inland through the southwestern Gascoyne.

At 2:00 am Australian Western Standard Time
At 2:00 am AWST

Intensity
tropical low, sustained winds near the centre of 65 kilometres per hour with wind gusts to 95 kilometres per hour

Location
within 35 kilometres of 26.1 degrees South, 114.5 degrees East, 160 kilometres south southeast of Carnarvon and 100 kilometres east southeast of Denham

Movement
south southeast at 20 kilometres per hour

Ex-Tropical Cyclone Mitchell (21U) crossed the Gascoyne coast at 1am WST early Tuesday morning, east of Shark Bay. It has now weakened below tropical cyclone strength. The system is expected to weaken further as it moves southeast over land through the southern Gascoyne during Tuesday bringing heavy rain and gusty winds.
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