SPAC: INVEST 98P

[cycloneye]

SH, 98, 2024022500, , BEST, 0, 160S, 1727E, 15, 0, DB

https://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/A ... 982024.dat

[cycloneye]

AN AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 98P) HAS PERSISTED NEAR 15.1S
171.3E, APPROXIMATELY 232 NM NORTHEAST OF PORT VILA, VANUATU. ANIMATED
VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A 250219Z AMSR2 36 GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGE
SHOWS A BROAD AND DISORGANIZED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION (LLC) WITH THE
MAJORITY OF CONVECTION LOCATED ALONG THE EASTERN PERIPHERY. A 242212Z
PARTIAL ASCAT-C IMAGE REVEALS AN ELONGATED CIRCULATION WITH 15-20 KNOT
WINDS DISPLACED ALONG THE NORTHEASTERN AND SOUTHERN QUADRANTS OF THE
SYSTEM. THE CIMSS UPPER-LEVEL WINDS IMAGE DEPICTS A POINT SOURCE TO THE
SOUTHEAST WITH DIFFLUENT EAST-SOUTHEASTERLY FLOW AND ASSOCIATED MODERATE
TO STRONG VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (20-25 KTS). THERE IS CURRENTLY AN
EXTENSIVE SWATH OF DRY AIR ALIGNED ALONG THE SOUTHERN SEMICIRCLE OF THE
SYSTEM, ENTRAINING INTO THE MID-LEVELS OF THE LLC. GLOBAL MODELS
INDICATE MINIMAL DEVELOPMENT WITH A GRADUAL MOISTENING OF THE CORE AS IT
TRACKS SLOWLY SOUTH-SOUTHEASTWARD OVER THE NEXT TWO DAYS. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA
LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE
DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS
IS LOW.