ATL: FRANCINE - Remnants - Discussion

[cajungal]

Looks like a direct hit for me in Thibodaux. Things are just now getting intense. Managed to get my dog to potty by the hardest in between a squall

[EasyTiger]

Since we’re getting close to landfall, here’s a reminder of how long we’ve been tracking Francine for. And this is also a reminder of how Francine gave birth to one of the longest discussions on here to a tropical wave and how its (multiple) initial failures led to the site temporarily breaking

https://i.imgur.com/sdn28ym.gif

The ICON, Euro AI and Wxman57 pretty much nailed this system 5-7 days out

[InfernoFlameCat]

Radar is improving once more. She might be trying to reintensify.

[Cunxi Huang]

KEKE now 112 mph gusts.

https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=KEKE

[Nimbus]

Eugene Island is still reporting worsening conditions

Pressure (altimeter): 28.97 inches Hg ( 981.1 mb)
Winds: from the SE (140 degrees) at 86 MPH (75 knots; 38.6 m/s) gusting to 112 MPH (97 knots; 49.9 m/s)

[Hurricane Mike]

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nMrWOmMxPqU
Video on Francine, conditions going downhill fast

[mpic]

Looks like a direct hit for me in Thibodaux. Things are just now getting intense. Managed to get my dog to potty by the hardest in between a squall

I feel your pain! I have 6 of my own and these problems are rarely mentioned as a hardship of hurricanes lol.

[xironman]

Radar is improving once more. She might be trying to reintensify.

That would seem difficult seeing how brutal the shear is.

[fwbbreeze]

Still looks good on visible.

Just as a side note...been a member of S2K for 20 years!!

[wxman57]

I've been watching the offshore observations, most of which are on quite elevated platforms (maybe 100+ feet up). Highest sustained wind I've seen is around 75 kts with gusts to 92 kts. I think 75 kts (85 mph) is representative of the max winds. Could possibly be a small area of stronger wind. So, it's only a Cat 1. Sort of like Beryl that knocked 2.3 million out of power in Houston July 8th. Just a Cat 1.

[Pipelines182]

I've been watching the offshore observations, most of which are on quite elevated platforms (maybe 100+ feet up). Highest sustained wind I've seen is around 75 kts with gusts to 92 kts. I think 75 kts (85 mph) is representative of the max winds. Could possibly be a small area of stronger wind. So, it's only a Cat 1. Sort of like Beryl that knocked 2.3 million out of power in Houston July 8th. Just a Cat 1.

Big difference between a strengthening Cat 1 and a weakening one when it comes to damage, I would be very surprised if NOLA saw near the damage that Houston saw.

[Nederlander]

I've been watching the offshore observations, most of which are on quite elevated platforms (maybe 100+ feet up). Highest sustained wind I've seen is around 75 kts with gusts to 92 kts. I think 75 kts (85 mph) is representative of the max winds. Could possibly be a small area of stronger wind. So, it's only a Cat 1. Sort of like Beryl that knocked 2.3 million out of power in Houston July 8th. Just a Cat 1.

Having been through several of these... I can't overstate the difference in the eyewall of an intensifying Cat 1 vs. a weakening one. I was really surprised by Beryl.

[cheezyWXguy]

That’s a mean mesovort in the NE eyewall, radar velocities 115-120mph aloft

[ColdMiser123]

That’s a mean mesovort in the NE eyewall, radar velocities 115-120mph aloft

Yeah, quite impressive:

[Steve]

Still have some lightning so juice is there.

https://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/goes/f ... 62024#tab2

[Sciencerocks]

[Drewsey]

Wind finally starting to pick up in Central Lafourche. Here’s a short clip:

https://imgur.com/gallery/Z5Zjyta

[cajungal]

https://share.icloud.com/photos/099Tb6l ... tRth8FABTA

Hope this works. Couldn’t catch the gusts on my phone as they were happening but things going downhill in Thibodaux

[Stormcenter]

I love the it’s only a cat.1 comments. Ladies and gentlemen it’s a hurricane, enough said.

[dhweather]

I love the it’s only a cat.1 comments. Ladies and gentlemen it’s a hurricane, enough said.

We're really lucky it wasn't a major - if it had gotten its act together a day earlier, its probably a major right now.