ATL: MILTON - Post-Tropical - Discussion

[storm_in_a_teacup]

https://x.com/iCyclone/status/1844177919972893020


Sorry, I apparently don't know how to post the Twitter post along with the link.

For some reason the text of the tweet reminds me of this meme: https://knowyourmeme.com/memes/unbother ... lourishing
(Unbothered. Moisturized. Happy. In my lane. Focused. Flourishing)

[Cflstorm]

Has anyone in the north Tampa area heard of cell phone service going down? My brother is in Carrollwood and I can’t get thru to him, doesn’t ring and goes to vm. He has Verizon for cell service.

[Steve]

Damn. I’m cracking out to live footage and turned down a free night 2 Khruangbin ticket. Hurricane crackhead I suppose.

[zal0phus]

Biggest monetary damage will be storm surge Naples to Sarasota roughly. Obviously pockets of heavy damage in the Lake O-east central Florida region from tornadoes. Widespread 80-100mph gusts around the Tampa metro will cause lots of minor property damage. 12+ inches of rain will cause flash flooding. Also the highest winds in Tampa are occurring right now on the NW side with the "sting jet" feature, and the surge has not peaked south of the landfall spot so it is pretty ignorant to say the worst has been experienced.

I hope that's sufficient to get Milton retired. It would seem incredibly gauche to recycle this name and pull an Idalia because it wasn't quite as bad as feared.

It’s for sure getting retired. Helene as well. Maybe Beryl?

Helene without a doubt, Beryl too for how it hit Carriacou

[storm_in_a_teacup]

 https://x.com/nbergwx/status/1844165552715014147

What confuses me here is that he says the storm is "collapsing" and all the wind aloft is coming to the ground but...why would extratropical transition cause that? I would assume if the storm collapses that means its dying, but it's not.

[Abdullah]

Power outages spreading in Tampa and Sarasota metro areas

322K / 560K households lost power in Sarasota metro area (57%)
468K / 1.71M households lost power in Tampa Bay metro area (27%)

[ronjon]

Ft Myers tidal gage shows moderate flooding with tide running 4.5 ft above predicted. And it's still rising.

[skillz305]

Any wobble watchers? No internet lemme know

[kassi]

I hope that's sufficient to get Milton retired. It would seem incredibly gauche to recycle this name and pull an Idalia because it wasn't quite as bad as feared.

It’s for sure getting retired. Helene as well. Maybe Beryl?

Helene without a doubt, Beryl too for how it hit Carriacou

Would it be retired due to the 42 deaths in the Houston area? I don't know what the criteria is.

[Category5Kaiju]

I recall people saying Helene wasn't as bad as expected just after its landfall. That it missed Tallahassee and landfalled in a sparse area, that storm chasers found the eyewall disappointing, that no recorded MH winds existed, etc.

Obviously the circumstances are different, but the point still stands: It's too early to judge the impacts.

Understandably, we've had so many high-end Cat 4/Cat 5 impacts in the Atlantic in recent years that it almost seems like "oh, if this storm doesn't make landfall as a high end Cat 4 or a bona fide Cat 5 then it's not getting retired."

But I think it's also important to remember that Cat 2, Cat 3, and low-end Cat 4 storms, especially if they are big (like Helene and Milton at landfall, and before those Katrina, Rita, Gustav, and Ike) can deliver a nasty punch. There's just something about ex-Category 5 storms and ex-Category 4 storms that make them quite fierce, even when weakened.

[TampaWxLurker]

This eyewall remnant in Hillsborough sucks.

[snowpocalypse]

I recall people saying Helene wasn't as bad as expected just after its landfall. That it missed Tallahassee and landfalled in a sparse area, that storm chasers found the eyewall disappointing, that no recorded MH winds existed, etc.

Obviously the circumstances are different, but the point still stands: It's too early to judge the impacts.

And there are always stories that emerge of damage (localized or otherwise) with every storm that no one could fully predict in advance. It was interesting how quickly Helene's landfall itself became a non-story once the Pinellas surge and WNC flooding came to light.

[JusLimin]

Reverse surge. Tampa Bay is empty of water.
https://x.com/MattWallace888/status/1844181005722321038

[johngaltfla]

Some big time gusts, lots of tree damage in our area, no power of course in south Sarasota. Just got some internet back. Will try to take pictures and video when I go to check on some friend's homes who evacuated.

[ronjon]

Naples tidal gauge showing major flooding with tidal stage 5.7 ft above predicted tide. And it's still rising.

[Steve]

Reverse surge. Tampa Bay is empty of water.
https://x.com/MattWallace888/status/1844181005722321038

Lucky. But in the city it looks like another 3-4 hours of rain.

[hipshot]

Another eye for Josh.

 https://x.com/iCyclone/status/1844176913952288791

Another thing to note in Josh’s video is how odd it is for the lights to still be on inside the eye. The infrastructure around downtown Sarasota must be all underground and well weather hardened!

I noticed that as well, pretty strange but those utilities are probably mostly underground.

[JaxGator]

I recall people saying Helene wasn't as bad as expected just after its landfall. That it missed Tallahassee and landfalled in a sparse area, that storm chasers found the eyewall disappointing, that no recorded MH winds existed, etc.

Obviously the circumstances are different, but the point still stands: It's too early to judge the impacts.

The good part that Helene did make landfall in a more sparsely populated area. Then the eyewall hit Valdosta with Cat 2 winds and there was a lot of damage. Mainly trees down and signs/bill boards being blown out, blown off or toppled. Well’ll have to see much damage Milton does here. I’m really hoping for a best case scenario. However, we’ll have to see how strong the backside is (on the surface).

[Soluna16]

Seminole County is insane right now for just a random band. My yard weather station got 65 mph.

[Pipelines182]

Looks like Tampa got spared again. Their mayor is going to regret telling people they would meet certain death if they didn’t evacuate.

These weakening storms really just don’t pack much punch in the wind department, do they? Cat 1 Beryl had more impressive winds over land from the videos I’ve seen.