ATL: MILTON - Post-Tropical - Discussion

[AnnularCane]

https://x.com/iCyclone/status/1844177919972893020


Sorry, I apparently don't know how to post the Twitter post along with the link.

[FLLurker32]

 https://x.com/nbergwx/status/1844165552715014147

[eastcoastFL]

Outside of tornado damage - has anyone scene anything impressive from this other than some windy conditions, downed trees and some heavy rain?

I assume now that its on land, the worst has been experienced , so genuinely curious who is going to need the most help to recover from this?

We probably won’t know until morning what the surge and wind damage looks like.

[Meteorcane]

Outside of tornado damage - has anyone scene anything impressive from this other than some windy conditions, downed trees and some heavy rain?

I assume now that its on land, the worst has been experienced , so genuinely curious who is going to need the most help to recover from this?

Biggest monetary damage will be storm surge Naples to Sarasota roughly. Obviously pockets of heavy damage in the Lake O-east central Florida region from tornadoes. Widespread 80-100mph gusts around the Tampa metro will cause lots of minor property damage. 12+ inches of rain will cause flash flooding. Also the highest winds in Tampa are occurring right now on the NW side with the "sting jet" feature, and the surge has not peaked south of the landfall spot so it is pretty ignorant to say the worst has been experienced.

[TR772]

Outside of tornado damage - has anyone scene anything impressive from this other than some windy conditions, downed trees and some heavy rain?

I assume now that its on land, the worst has been experienced , so genuinely curious who is going to need the most help to recover from this?

I think vero beach has the most damage of anywhere right now

[Steve]

Outside of tornado damage - has anyone scene anything impressive from this other than some windy conditions, downed trees and some heavy rain?

I assume now that its on land, the worst has been experienced , so genuinely curious who is going to need the most help to recover from this?

Maybe some surge in beach towns. But we have the whole back side. Kind of remains to be seen. So far kind of seems like a better than expected case but we have crazy rainfall rates and the points down the coast who have maybe 6+ hours or water inbound.

[zal0phus]

Outside of tornado damage - has anyone scene anything impressive from this other than some windy conditions, downed trees and some heavy rain?

I assume now that its on land, the worst has been experienced , so genuinely curious who is going to need the most help to recover from this?

Biggest monetary damage will be storm surge Naples to Sarasota roughly. Obviously pockets of heavy damage in the Lake O-east central Florida region from tornadoes. Widespread 80-100mph gusts around the Tampa metro will cause lots of minor property damage. 12+ inches of rain will cause flash flooding. Also the highest winds in Tampa are occurring right now on the NW side with the "sting jet" feature, and the surge has not peaked south of the landfall spot so it is pretty ignorant to say the worst has been experienced.

I hope that's sufficient to get Milton retired. It would seem incredibly gauche to recycle this name and pull an Idalia because it wasn't quite as bad as feared.

[kassi]

https://x.com/iCyclone/status/1844177919972893020


Sorry, I apparently don't know how to post the Twitter post along with the link.

Use the Xpost tag you see above the emojis when making a post. You can see it by quoting this post. You don't have to reply, but you can see what it looks like.

 https://x.com/iCyclone/status/1844177919972893020

[gailwarning]

Outside of tornado damage - has anyone scene anything impressive from this other than some windy conditions, downed trees and some heavy rain?

I assume now that its on land, the worst has been experienced , so genuinely curious who is going to need the most help to recover from this?

Do we have a handle on surge yet? I rather doubt we're done with that. Recall that wind isn't the biggest issue.

[Steve]

Outside of tornado damage - has anyone scene anything impressive from this other than some windy conditions, downed trees and some heavy rain?

I assume now that its on land, the worst has been experienced , so genuinely curious who is going to need the most help to recover from this?

Biggest monetary damage will be storm surge Naples to Sarasota roughly. Obviously pockets of heavy damage in the Lake O-east central Florida region from tornadoes. Widespread 80-100mph gusts around the Tampa metro will cause lots of minor property damage. 12+ inches of rain will cause flash flooding. Also the highest winds in Tampa are occurring right now on the NW side with the "sting jet" feature, and the surge has not peaked south of the landfall spot so it is pretty ignorant to say the worst has been experienced.

I hope that's sufficient to get Milton retired. It would seem incredibly gauche to recycle this name and pull an Idalia because it wasn't quite as bad as feared.

It’s for sure getting retired. Helene as well. Maybe Beryl?

[CrazyC83]

Now I'm just wondering - what was the true intensity at landfall? Based on all the data, I would assess it at 100 kt, although I'd need to see more of the radar velocities (it supported 105 kt at about 2300Z). The Sarasota airport dropped to 960 mb with near tropical storm winds, and chasers also recorded in the high 950s, suggesting a landfall pressure of 956 mb.

[Teban54]

I recall people saying Helene wasn't as bad as expected just after its landfall. That it missed Tallahassee and landfalled in a sparse area, that storm chasers found the eyewall disappointing, that no recorded MH winds existed, etc.

Obviously the circumstances are different, but the point still stands: It's too early to judge the impacts.

[edu2703]

 https://twitter.com/StevePetyerak/status/1844177610089300404

[Steve]

Outside of tornado damage - has anyone scene anything impressive from this other than some windy conditions, downed trees and some heavy rain?

I assume now that its on land, the worst has been experienced , so genuinely curious who is going to need the most help to recover from this?

Do we have a handle on surge yet? I rather doubt we're done with that. Recall that wind isn't the biggest issue.

No. Hours of incoming south of landfall with the southwest inflow. That’s what always used to get us in New Orleans. But points south of Sarasota are gonna take a couple more feet for sure.

[vbhoutex]

When was the last hurricane strike on or very near a city?

Actually, the answer is Beryl, this year. The eye went right over my house in Houston.

[eastcoastFL]

Looking at the rivers and waterways around Tampa and Sarasota many are over the flood stage now all over.

https://water.noaa.gov/

[Nimbus]

Another eye for Josh.

 https://x.com/iCyclone/status/1844176913952288791

Another thing to note in Josh’s video is how odd it is for the lights to still be on inside the eye. The infrastructure around downtown Sarasota must be all underground and well weather hardened!

Really steady sustained winds under 60 knots without too many peak gusts.
The cat 3 winds aren't making it to the surface as much?

[birdwomn]

Outside of tornado damage - has anyone scene anything impressive from this other than some windy conditions, downed trees and some heavy rain?

I assume now that its on land, the worst has been experienced , so genuinely curious who is going to need the most help to recover from this?

Biggest monetary damage will be storm surge Naples to Sarasota roughly. Obviously pockets of heavy damage in the Lake O-east central Florida region from tornadoes. Widespread 80-100mph gusts around the Tampa metro will cause lots of minor property damage. 12+ inches of rain will cause flash flooding. Also the highest winds in Tampa are occurring right now on the NW side with the "sting jet" feature, and the surge has not peaked south of the landfall spot so it is pretty ignorant to say the worst has been experienced.

I hope that's sufficient to get Milton retired. It would seem incredibly gauche to recycle this name and pull an Idalia because it wasn't quite as bad as feared.

Milton should be retired for all the crazy things that have happened with it alone, regardless of damage, IMO. Crossed Mexico, super-fast development, weird wobbles, etc. How many times have we all thought Wow! or Oh my goodness! with this one?

[GTStorm]

https://x.com/iCyclone/status/1844177919972893020


Sorry, I apparently don't know how to post the Twitter post along with the link.

Use the Xpost tag you see above the emojis when making a post. You can see it by quoting this post. You don't have to reply, but you can see what it looks like.

 https://x.com/iCyclone/status/1844177919972893020

Wow...and there's still power?

[aspen]

Biggest monetary damage will be storm surge Naples to Sarasota roughly. Obviously pockets of heavy damage in the Lake O-east central Florida region from tornadoes. Widespread 80-100mph gusts around the Tampa metro will cause lots of minor property damage. 12+ inches of rain will cause flash flooding. Also the highest winds in Tampa are occurring right now on the NW side with the "sting jet" feature, and the surge has not peaked south of the landfall spot so it is pretty ignorant to say the worst has been experienced.

I hope that's sufficient to get Milton retired. It would seem incredibly gauche to recycle this name and pull an Idalia because it wasn't quite as bad as feared.

It’s for sure getting retired. Helene as well. Maybe Beryl?

Helene and Milton are definitely getting axed. Beryl has a solid case due to its Cat 4 Caribbean landfall and its several dozen US fatalities, but I’m not positive its US impacts will be considered retire-able after Helene and Milton.