ATL: MILTON - Post-Tropical - Discussion

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fsucory08
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Re: ATL: MILTON - Hurricane - Discussion Update= Cat 4 150 mph

#1481 Postby fsucory08 » Mon Oct 07, 2024 9:37 am

skillz305 wrote:
tolakram wrote:
LandoWill wrote:i am still trying to figure out why they moved it north at 5am other than just to do so and be on the side of caution


Are you in Florida?



I am on the treasure coast yes


I'm on the treasure coast too. My advice is to prepare for the worst. We have seen examples in the past of storms heading west-to-east sometimes ending up more east than the models show. I'm really watching how far south Milton gets and how far east it gets before making the NE turn.
Last edited by fsucory08 on Mon Oct 07, 2024 9:38 am, edited 2 times in total.
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Re: ATL: MILTON - Hurricane - Discussion

#1482 Postby Kazmit » Mon Oct 07, 2024 9:37 am

I'm noticing that big blob of convection to the NE that is detached from the rest of the storm. Almost Matthew-like.
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Re: ATL: MILTON - Hurricane - Discussion

#1483 Postby TomballEd » Mon Oct 07, 2024 9:37 am

Does Florida turn all major highway lanes outbound (away from the risk) in emergency evacuation situations on hurricane evacuation routes?
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Re: ATL: MILTON - Hurricane - Discussion

#1484 Postby Category5Kaiju » Mon Oct 07, 2024 9:38 am

Mindless Milton? :lol:
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Re: ATL: MILTON - Hurricane - Discussion Update= Cat 4 150 mph

#1485 Postby LandoWill » Mon Oct 07, 2024 9:38 am

tolakram wrote:
skillz305 wrote:
tolakram wrote:
Are you in Florida?



I am on the treasure coast yes


Sorry, I meant that for LandoWill, I should have removed you from the quote.

Yes i am in Florida
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Re: ATL: MILTON - Hurricane - Discussion

#1486 Postby Travorum » Mon Oct 07, 2024 9:40 am

TomballEd wrote:Does Florida turn all major highway lanes outbound (away from the risk) in emergency evacuation situations on hurricane evacuation routes?


Florida stopped doing contraflow lane reversal for hurricane evacuations post 2017. The current plans allow for using the shoulders as lanes instead.
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Re: ATL: MILTON - Hurricane - Discussion

#1487 Postby zzzh » Mon Oct 07, 2024 9:41 am

Dropsonde confirms 935mb with 17kt wind :eek:
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Re: ATL: MILTON - Hurricane - Discussion Update= Cat 4 150 mph

#1488 Postby tolakram » Mon Oct 07, 2024 9:41 am

LandoWill wrote:Yes i am in Florida


You should not be wondering why the NHC moved the cone, the models have all drifted north. I'm not sure where on the coast you are but don't be too complacent. Event with a track just south of Tampa one wobble could ruin someone's day.
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Re: ATL: MILTON - Hurricane - Discussion

#1489 Postby CronkPSU » Mon Oct 07, 2024 9:41 am

Rail Dawg wrote:Florida traffic right now all green.

People wait to pull the trigger and then they all seem to push the panic button at the same time.

Watch what happens about 24 hours before landfall.

Chuck


it's not...i use that site all the time cause i teach in polk but live in orlando...my normal drive time home is 55 minutes, it is 1 hour and 40 minutes right now...evacx traffic is definitely occuring already
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Re: ATL: MILTON - Hurricane - Discussion

#1490 Postby weeniepatrol » Mon Oct 07, 2024 9:42 am

F. CLOSED
G. C8
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Re: ATL: MILTON - Hurricane - Discussion Update= Cat 4 150 mph

#1491 Postby LandoWill » Mon Oct 07, 2024 9:43 am

tolakram wrote:
LandoWill wrote:Yes i am in Florida


You should not be wondering why the NHC moved the cone, the models have all drifted north. I'm not sure where on the coast you are but don't be too complacent. Event with a track just south of Tampa one wobble could ruin someone's day.

Yes I'm aware, i am complacent by nature. If i lived on the coast, i would be gone, i live 15 miles inland, i am good . minus a lake surge event or a tree falling on the house or something else catastrophic... which could happen, which is why i will secure outdoor stuff by tomorrow night :)
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Re: ATL: MILTON - Hurricane - Discussion

#1492 Postby InfernoFlameCat » Mon Oct 07, 2024 9:44 am

Dropsonde supports 933 mb, making this the most intense hurricane of the 2024 hurricane season.
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Re: ATL: MILTON - Hurricane - Discussion

#1493 Postby Kazmit » Mon Oct 07, 2024 9:45 am

Looks like the southern component of movement is stopping, at least for now.

Image
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Re: ATL: MILTON - Hurricane - Discussion

#1494 Postby cheezyWXguy » Mon Oct 07, 2024 9:47 am

InfernoFlameCat wrote:Dropsonde supports 933 mb, making this the most intense hurricane of the 2024 hurricane season.

Man I stayed up late, got up early, and I’m still having trouble keeping up. 2005 vibes on this one.
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Re: ATL: MILTON - Hurricane - Discussion

#1495 Postby kevin » Mon Oct 07, 2024 9:47 am

The brave people in the AF309 plane are absolute champs (all people in recon planes are), looks like they're gonna go for another center pass.
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Re: ATL: MILTON - Hurricane - Discussion

#1496 Postby weeniepatrol » Mon Oct 07, 2024 9:48 am

Image
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Re: ATL: MILTON - Hurricane - Discussion

#1497 Postby FLpanhandle91 » Mon Oct 07, 2024 9:48 am

My bet is 155mph 933mb for the 1000CDT.
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Re: ATL: MILTON - Hurricane - Discussion

#1498 Postby Kingarabian » Mon Oct 07, 2024 9:49 am

Breaking constraints, this would be a T7.0 on Dvorak.

Image

Need the eye to go WMG to get to Wilma/Patricia levels which so far its been having a hard time.
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Re: ATL: MILTON - Hurricane - Discussion

#1499 Postby Keldeo1997 » Mon Oct 07, 2024 9:50 am

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Re: ATL: MILTON - Hurricane - Discussion

#1500 Postby ScottNAtlanta » Mon Oct 07, 2024 9:50 am

Teban54 wrote:
Xyls wrote:
TallyTracker wrote:
Michael was moving Northeast but that is the closest I am aware of. Some of the older hurricanes in the 1960s or before may have but I’ll leave it to some of our historical folks to let us know that.


So I took a look through the Wikipedia list and there have been some mildly west-east tracks when there is a strong northerly component (Ian, Michael, 1924 Cuba) but as far as heading east if not south-east. Don't think there is any climatologically comparable storm. Lenny would be closest but against not in the same area and didn't reach Cat 5. May have to call this Wrong-Way Milton just like with Lenny lol.

Wrong Lane Milton rhymes better :lol: Or Left Lane Milton?

Only problem is that Milton is moving stage right not left
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