ATL: MILTON - Post-Tropical - Discussion

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Sunnydays
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Re: ATL: MILTON - Hurricane - Discussion

#1281 Postby Sunnydays » Mon Oct 07, 2024 7:45 am

I have family members leaving the Tampa area at noon today headed up and over to far NW Fla area. Is there a website anyone can recommend for following traffic and any possible standstills on the interstate systems that may occur due to evacuee traffic? Has anyone heard if Desantis has any ideas of contraflow? I know I75 was at a standstill in some areas last night. Just want to guide them the best I can to get them out of there the quickest way possible.
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Re: ATL: MILTON - Hurricane - Discussion

#1282 Postby HurricaneBelle » Mon Oct 07, 2024 7:46 am

Sunnydays wrote:I have family members leaving the Tampa area at noon today headed up and over to far NW Fla area. Is there a website anyone can recommend for following traffic and any possible standstills on the interstate systems that may occur due to evacuee traffic? Has anyone heard if Desantis has any ideas of contraflow? I know I75 was at a standstill in some areas last night. Just want to guide them the best I can to get them out of there the quickest way possible.


US 19 is an alternative, or US 41.
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Re: ATL: MILTON - Hurricane - Discussion

#1283 Postby Sunnydays » Mon Oct 07, 2024 7:48 am

HurricaneBelle wrote:
Sunnydays wrote:I have family members leaving the Tampa area at noon today headed up and over to far NW Fla area. Is there a website anyone can recommend for following traffic and any possible standstills on the interstate systems that may occur due to evacuee traffic? Has anyone heard if Desantis has any ideas of contraflow? I know I75 was at a standstill in some areas last night. Just want to guide them the best I can to get them out of there the quickest way possible.


US 19 is an alternative, or US 41.



Thank you so much for the info.
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Re: ATL: MILTON - Hurricane - Discussion

#1284 Postby verruckt » Mon Oct 07, 2024 7:48 am

Man, really not looking forward to this one. We've been soaked on the Space Coast for at least 2 weeks now. This recent rain has been nonstop and the ground is absolutely saturated.

Really concerned wind is going to easily knock over a lot of trees over here.
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Re: ATL: MILTON - Hurricane - Discussion

#1285 Postby Jr0d » Mon Oct 07, 2024 7:48 am

TallyTracker wrote:I’m still shocked about this storm. 3 days ago it was still thought to be more likely a frontal low than a tropical cyclone. It goes to show we don’t fully understand everything in the tropics.

Now we’re watching a storm intensify in a way to be compared to other storms like Wilma, Michael etc.


I think the low east of Milton...just WSW of Tampa is the frontal low we were expecting. That low has a chance to become classified when it moves east of Florida..

Most if us were looking at the NE Carribean and South Central GoM fir development, NOT the extreme west side of the Gulf of Mexico.
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Re: ATL: MILTON - Hurricane - Discussion

#1286 Postby MarioProtVI » Mon Oct 07, 2024 7:48 am

This is exactly what I was afraid of… went to bed with it at 80 kt around midnight. At the current rate it’s going, this may achieve what Delta 2020 was on its way to doing but got stopped and that’s going sub-900 like the HAFS has been showing.
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Re: ATL: MILTON - Hurricane - Discussion

#1287 Postby syfr » Mon Oct 07, 2024 7:49 am

Sunnydays wrote:I have family members leaving the Tampa area at noon today headed up and over to far NW Fla area. Is there a website anyone can recommend for following traffic and any possible standstills on the interstate systems that may occur due to evacuee traffic?



If you don't have the WAZE app on your phone, this would be a good time to install it. It does a good job of reporting real time conditions and providing best routing between two points.
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Re: ATL: MILTON - Hurricane - Discussion

#1288 Postby SouthFLTropics » Mon Oct 07, 2024 7:49 am

Sunnydays wrote:I have family members leaving the Tampa area at noon today headed up and over to far NW Fla area. Is there a website anyone can recommend for following traffic and any possible standstills on the interstate systems that may occur due to evacuee traffic? Has anyone heard if Desantis has any ideas of contraflow? I know I75 was at a standstill in some areas last night. Just want to guide them the best I can to get them out of there the quickest way possible.


fl511.com
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Re: ATL: MILTON - Hurricane - Discussion

#1289 Postby Sciencerocks » Mon Oct 07, 2024 7:49 am

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Re: ATL: MILTON - Hurricane - Discussion

#1290 Postby Blown Away » Mon Oct 07, 2024 7:49 am




I’m thinking the N coast of Yucatan has never taken a direct landfall from a MH? I’m sure crossover but not from a ESE moving storm.

Will the land friction pull it more S?
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Re: ATL: MILTON - Hurricane - Discussion

#1291 Postby GCANE » Mon Oct 07, 2024 7:51 am

Something to watch next week if you're not paying attention to the models.
A system may develop deep in the W Carib and move north possibly impacting S FL around 10/18
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Re: ATL: MILTON - Hurricane - Discussion

#1292 Postby zzzh » Mon Oct 07, 2024 7:51 am

750mb FL 129kt
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Re: ATL: MILTON - Hurricane - Discussion

#1293 Postby Hypercane_Kyle » Mon Oct 07, 2024 7:52 am

Not a very warm eye, but definitely a pinhole if I've ever seen one.

Image
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Re: ATL: MILTON - Hurricane - Discussion

#1294 Postby kevin » Mon Oct 07, 2024 7:52 am

NOAA3 not yet at the center, but measured 129 kt FL winds -> 115 kt at the surface. Milton is now almost certainly a cat 4.
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Re: ATL: MILTON - Hurricane - Discussion

#1295 Postby LandoWill » Mon Oct 07, 2024 7:53 am

We are staying, we are in south pasco. we are 15-20 miles inland and very far north (land o lakes) - although my home on the lake concerns me because of the trees and also i always wondered if "lake surge" could be a thing. We are on the south side of the lake. Right now, the water is about up to our dock surface but isn't high enough to come into our yard and we are about 7-10 feet above that.
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Re: ATL: MILTON - Hurricane - Discussion

#1296 Postby Sunnydays » Mon Oct 07, 2024 7:53 am

Thanks to everyone for their valuable advice. Relaying every piece of info to them now. Appreciate all the help...we really do.
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Re: ATL: MILTON - Hurricane - Discussion

#1297 Postby Travorum » Mon Oct 07, 2024 7:53 am

:double: 146kt FL 141SFMR from AF
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Re: ATL: MILTON - Hurricane - Discussion

#1298 Postby zzzh » Mon Oct 07, 2024 7:53 am

FL 146kt, SFMR 141KT !!!
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Re: ATL: MILTON - Hurricane - Discussion

#1299 Postby kevin » Mon Oct 07, 2024 7:54 am

WOW 146 FL!
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Re: ATL: MILTON - Hurricane - Discussion

#1300 Postby GCANE » Mon Oct 07, 2024 7:54 am

Est. Sfc. Wind (30 sec. Avg.) Using Est. Red. Factor

138.1 knots (~ 158.9 mph)
Category Five Hurricane
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