EPAC: OTIS - Aftermath - Discussion

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Re: EPAC: OTIS - Hurricane - Discussion: Special Advisory=145 mph / Will be cat 5 at landfall

#81 Postby doomhaMwx » Tue Oct 24, 2023 7:51 pm

Yikes! This has all the recipes to be a major disaster. Unexpected explosive RI near the coast, and heading for potential category 5 landfall near a major city that only ~24 hours ago was expecting a tropical storm. Not to mention that it's extremely rare for them to experience a hurricane of this magnitude.
Last edited by doomhaMwx on Tue Oct 24, 2023 8:00 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: EPAC: OTIS - Hurricane - Discussion: Special Advisory=145 mph / Will be cat 5 at landfall

#82 Postby FireRat » Tue Oct 24, 2023 8:00 pm

doomhaMwx wrote:Yikes! This has all the recipes to be a major disaster. Unexpected explosive RI near the coast, and heading for potential category 5 landfall near a major city that only ~24 hours ago was expecting a tropical storm.


Indeed, what Otis has done today and will do tomorrow morning is beyond nuts. I'm afraid today & tomorrow October 25 will be remembered for a long time.
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Re: EPAC: OTIS - Hurricane - Discussion: Special Advisory=145 mph / Will be cat 5 at landfall

#83 Postby Astromanía » Tue Oct 24, 2023 8:02 pm

He is going more east!!!!
Last edited by Astromanía on Tue Oct 24, 2023 8:03 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: EPAC: OTIS - Hurricane - Discussion: Special Advisory=145 mph / Will be cat 5 at landfall

#84 Postby lilbump3000 » Tue Oct 24, 2023 8:02 pm

From a Tropical Storm this morning to now near Category 5 intensity. Insane!

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Re: EPAC: OTIS - Hurricane - Discussion: Special Advisory=145 mph / Will be cat 5 at landfall

#85 Postby cycloneye » Tue Oct 24, 2023 8:04 pm

Astromanía wrote:He is going more east!!!!


To Acapulco?
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Re: EPAC: OTIS - Hurricane - Discussion: Special Advisory=145 mph / Will be cat 5 at landfall

#86 Postby aspen » Tue Oct 24, 2023 8:06 pm

The eye has been cooling over the last several frames. Perhaps some of the moderate shear is taking its toll just in time to prevent a Cat 5 landfall? It’ll still likely be 110-115 kt unless shear really picks up, though.
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Re: EPAC: OTIS - Hurricane - Discussion: Special Advisory=145 mph / Will be cat 5 at landfall

#87 Postby Astromanía » Tue Oct 24, 2023 8:09 pm

cycloneye wrote:
Astromanía wrote:He is going more east!!!!


To Acapulco?

Yes
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Re: EPAC: OTIS - Hurricane - Discussion: Special Advisory=145 mph / Will be cat 5 at landfall

#88 Postby Astromanía » Tue Oct 24, 2023 8:10 pm

aspen wrote:The eye has been cooling over the last several frames. Perhaps some of the moderate shear is taking its toll just in time to prevent a Cat 5 landfall? It’ll still likely be 110-115 kt unless shear really picks up, though.

??? What cooling?
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Re: EPAC: OTIS - Hurricane - Discussion: Special Advisory=145 mph / Will be cat 5 at landfall

#89 Postby Hurricane2022 » Tue Oct 24, 2023 8:11 pm

This situation in Acapulco is very sad, a city that marked my childhood when it appeared in the famous Mexican series Chavo del 8...
May this beautiful city and the others that are in the middle of the path of this monster called Otis be able to suffer as little damage as possible and also that no life be taken
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Last edited by Hurricane2022 on Wed Nov 15, 2023 2:01 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: EPAC: OTIS - Hurricane - Discussion: Special Advisory=145 mph / Will be cat 5 at landfall

#90 Postby tolakram » Tue Oct 24, 2023 8:23 pm

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Re: EPAC: OTIS - Hurricane - Discussion: Special Advisory=145 mph / Will be cat 5 at landfall

#91 Postby CrazyC83 » Tue Oct 24, 2023 8:27 pm

Popped in after having been so busy and with less to watch until now. This is just frightening to say the least. Truly a worst case scenario brewing.
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Re: EPAC: OTIS - Hurricane - Discussion: Special Advisory=145 mph / Will be cat 5 at landfall

#92 Postby Iceresistance » Tue Oct 24, 2023 8:28 pm

I just spotted this message from Discord, this is making me very, very worried...

He lives in Acapulco, the boarded up areas are just for the hotel area, they are also doing things as if Otis is not coming...
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Re: EPAC: OTIS - Hurricane - Discussion: Special Advisory=145 mph / Will be cat 5 at landfall

#93 Postby Ntxw » Tue Oct 24, 2023 8:28 pm

Hadn't been following but wow. What a shock...but El Nino in October was always a huge risk to the west MX coast. Prayers to them.
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Re: EPAC: OTIS - Hurricane - Discussion: Special Advisory=145 mph / Will be cat 5 at landfall

#94 Postby CrazyC83 » Tue Oct 24, 2023 8:29 pm

We must remember there are about 1 million people in the Acapulco metro area. That's not much fewer than in the New Orleans metro. This would be like a tropical storm in the central Gulf rapidly charging up to category 4-5 as it came right into the marshlands within 150 miles of the coast.
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Re: EPAC: OTIS - Hurricane - Discussion: Special Advisory=145 mph / Will be cat 5 at landfall

#95 Postby Category5Kaiju » Tue Oct 24, 2023 8:29 pm

8 years ago, it was Patricia. Now it is Otis. El Nino Octobers in the EPAC can truly be relentless.
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Re: EPAC: OTIS - Hurricane - Discussion: Special Advisory=145 mph / Will be cat 5 at landfall

#96 Postby Hypercane_Kyle » Tue Oct 24, 2023 8:32 pm

Absolutely unreal intensification spurt. To think it was only forecast to be a tropical storm at landfall just days ago.

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Re: EPAC: INVEST 91E - Discussion

#97 Postby xtyphooncyclonex » Tue Oct 24, 2023 8:32 pm

Couldn't have been more wrong.

xtyphooncyclonex wrote:This one's a male? Yet another tropical storm.

Otis wants to keep the pattern of major female - TS male alive. :cheesy:
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Re: EPAC: OTIS - Hurricane - Discussion: Special Advisory=145 mph / Will be cat 5 at landfall

#98 Postby CrazyC83 » Tue Oct 24, 2023 8:33 pm

Hypercane_Kyle wrote:Absolutely unreal intensification spurt. To think it was only forecast to be a tropical storm at landfall just days ago.

https://i.imgur.com/z01Tdnc.png


If that eye can warm up, it could easily become a *strong* cat 5, like 175+ mph.
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Re: EPAC: OTIS - Hurricane - Discussion: Special Advisory=145 mph / Will be cat 5 at landfall

#99 Postby Ntxw » Tue Oct 24, 2023 8:34 pm

Has the pinhole eye and very cold tops. Very intense storm.

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Re: EPAC: OTIS - Hurricane - Discussion: Special Advisory=145 mph / Will be cat 5 at landfall

#100 Postby Zonacane » Tue Oct 24, 2023 8:37 pm

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