ATL: LEE - Post-Tropical - Discussion

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Re: ATL: LEE - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#481 Postby Slughitter3 » Wed Sep 06, 2023 11:51 am

May be more appropriate for the models thread, but I can't help but notice the trend for AL96 and the impacts it appears to be having on the atmosphere in/around Lee.
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Re: ATL: LEE - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#482 Postby sunnyday » Wed Sep 06, 2023 11:57 am

I’m surprised at how few postings have been made about a storm of such potential danger.
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Re: ATL: LEE - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#483 Postby eastcoastFL » Wed Sep 06, 2023 12:01 pm

sunnyday wrote:I’m surprised at how few postings have been made about a storm of such potential danger.


Right now it’s forecast to be a fish, at least through the current NHC forecast. When it gets stronger there might be more interest but at the moment it’s a tropical storm expected to stay away from land.
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Re: ATL: LEE - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#484 Postby CronkPSU » Wed Sep 06, 2023 12:02 pm

sunnyday wrote:I’m surprised at how few postings have been made about a storm of such potential danger.


because it is so far out still and FOR NOW only a very small chance at hitting where most of our members are posting from (Florida/Texas/NC etc). once it starts getting close to a cat 5 or some land is in the cone, it will really ramp up in here but 25 pages in this and the model thread is a LOT for a tropical storm hundreds of miles away from land
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Re: ATL: LEE - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#485 Postby ElectricStorm » Wed Sep 06, 2023 12:05 pm

Looks like it's starting to fill that big dry slot in. Convection on the east side looks to be attempting to wrap around as well.
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Re: ATL: LEE - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#486 Postby cycloneye » Wed Sep 06, 2023 12:05 pm

sunnyday wrote:I’m surprised at how few postings have been made about a storm of such potential danger.


Is still far from any land areas, but the posting will increase a lot when it gets to cat 4 or maybe 5 and when it gets closer to the SE U.S coast.
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Re: ATL: LEE - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#487 Postby cycloneye » Wed Sep 06, 2023 12:09 pm

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Re: ATL: LEE - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#488 Postby Sciencerocks » Wed Sep 06, 2023 12:18 pm

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Re: ATL: LEE - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#489 Postby CronkPSU » Wed Sep 06, 2023 12:21 pm

dang Lee is really starting to spin...gonna be a monster in a few days
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Re: ATL: LEE - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#490 Postby Sciencerocks » Wed Sep 06, 2023 12:36 pm

Probably a borderline hurricane...Could be one within 3-6 hours.
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Re: ATL: LEE - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#491 Postby Hurrilurker » Wed Sep 06, 2023 1:04 pm

Sciencerocks wrote:Probably a borderline hurricane...Could be one within 3-6 hours.

Yeah, will be surprised if it's not one already. Even the NE shear doesn't seem to be disrupting the core much, it looks really good and better by the hour. Definitely looks like the northern component is increasing so hopefully that will keep it away from most land.
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Re: ATL: LEE - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#492 Postby wxman57 » Wed Sep 06, 2023 1:06 pm

Eye is visible on microwave imagery about 6 hours ago. I suspect Lee's winds are about 80 mph now. Visible eye appearing on satellite now. Forecast is for Lee to pass over 200 miles north of the islands of the NE Caribbean this weekend. That's far enough such that no significant wind effects will be felt. In fact, the islands may just experience lighter than normal winds as it passes. Some outer showers may reach the NE Caribbean, but nothing significant.

Big question is what happens late next week? Lee may pass close enough to the East U.S. Coast to produce a significant wave impact, but probably far enough offshore to keep TS winds away from the coast. I'd certainly be paying close attention in Cape Cod, however. Could be a very large and powerful hurricane by next weekend. Maybe not as strong as at its peak in 3-4 days, but much larger.
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Re: ATL: LEE - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#493 Postby Hurrilurker » Wed Sep 06, 2023 1:31 pm

A little worried about the small boats that ferry people between Anguilla, St. Martin, and St. Barths. Those can get pretty rough even when there's no storm in the area so I imagine Lee passing by will make those waters treacherous.
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Re: ATL: LEE - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#494 Postby RevanTheJedi96 » Wed Sep 06, 2023 1:33 pm

sunnyday wrote:I’m surprised at how few postings have been made about a storm of such potential danger.


If hurricanes aren't expected to hit Florida, most people seem to lose interest in them.
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Re: ATL: LEE - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#495 Postby jlauderdal » Wed Sep 06, 2023 1:36 pm

Hurrilurker wrote:A little worried about the small boats that ferry people between Anguilla, St. Martin, and St. Barths. Those can get pretty rough even when there's no storm in the area so I imagine Lee passing by will make those waters treacherous.

I have had some rather bumpy rides on those ferries in benign conditions, they will not be operating when the system gets close.
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Re: ATL: LEE - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#496 Postby Iceresistance » Wed Sep 06, 2023 1:42 pm

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Re: ATL: LEE - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#497 Postby zal0phus » Wed Sep 06, 2023 1:46 pm

RevanTheJedi96 wrote:
sunnyday wrote:I’m surprised at how few postings have been made about a storm of such potential danger.


If hurricanes aren't expected to hit Florida, most people seem to lose interest in them.


For better or worse Florida jits carry the traffic on this site. I wouldn't say they're out of the woods yet
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Re: ATL: LEE - Tropical Storm - Discussion: Breaking News: 18z Best Track up to Hurricane at 65kt

#498 Postby cycloneye » Wed Sep 06, 2023 2:08 pm

Up to Hurricane but the title of thread is not changed until is oficial.

AL, 13, 2023090618, , BEST, 0, 146N, 460W, 65, 991, HU


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Re: ATL: LEE - Tropical Storm - Discussion: Breaking News: 18z Best Track up to Hurricane at 65kt

#499 Postby eastcoastFL » Wed Sep 06, 2023 2:11 pm

Image
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Re: ATL: LEE - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#500 Postby Kazmit » Wed Sep 06, 2023 2:11 pm

Definitely getting Igor vibes from this forecast. Will likely be west of Igor, but I could see it being just as large and strong, if not exceeding it.
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