ATL: BRET - Advisories

[cycloneye]

Tropical Storm Bret Intermediate Advisory Number 13A...Corrected
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL032023
200 PM AST Thu Jun 22 2023

Corrected statement in the Watches and Warnings Section

...BRET VERY NEAR BARBADOS...
...HEAVY RAIN AND STRONG WINDS EXPECTED IN PORTIONS OF THE LESSER
ANTILLES LATER TODAY AND TONIGHT...


SUMMARY OF 200 PM AST...1800 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...13.4N 58.9W
ABOUT 45 MI...70 KM ENE OF BARBADOS
ABOUT 140 MI...225 KM ESE OF ST. LUCIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 265 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1002 MB...29.59 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

The government of Barbados has upgraded the Tropical Storm Watch to
a Tropical Storm Warning for Barbados and St. Vincent and the
Grenadines.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Hurricane Watch is in effect for...
* St. Lucia

A Tropical Storm Warning in in effect for...
* Dominica
* St. Lucia
* Martinique
* Barbados
* St. Vincent and the Grenadines

[cycloneye]

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Bret Advisory Number 14
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL032023
500 PM AST Thu Jun 22 2023

...BRET VERY NEAR BARBADOS...
...HEAVY RAIN AND STRONG WINDS EXPECTED IN PORTIONS OF THE LESSER
ANTILLES THROUGH TONIGHT...


SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...13.4N 59.6W
ABOUT 15 MI...25 KM NNW OF BARBADOS
ABOUT 100 MI...160 KM ESE OF ST. LUCIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 265 DEGREES AT 16 MPH...26 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1002 MB...29.59 INCHES



Tropical Storm Bret Discussion Number 14
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL032023
500 PM AST Thu Jun 22 2023


The center of Bret is very near Barbados. Surface observations from
the island have recorded wind gusts of tropical storm force during
the past few hours. Sustained tropical-storm-force winds have
recently been reported in St. Lucia. Based on data from the Air
Force Hurricane Hunters and an ASCAT-C pass from earlier today, the
initial intensity has been nudged downward to 55 kt, and the
strongest winds are north of the center. Radar data from Barbados
and satellite images indicate that Bret is strongly sheared with
deep convection mostly confined to the northeast part of the
circulation.

Bret has begun to accelerate and is now moving just south of due
west on the southeast side of a subtropical ridge. Since the ridge
is expected to remain in place, Bret should continue westward at a
quick pace. There continues to be some forward speed differences
among the model solutions, but given recent trends and the overall
steering pattern, the NHC track forecast remains on the faster side
of the guidance envelope. This should take the storm across the
Lesser Antilles this evening and overnight and then across the
eastern and central Caribbean Sea Friday and Saturday.

Bret will likely maintain its strength while it moves across the
Lesser Antilles tonight. However, progressively stronger shear and
dry air should cause the storm to gradually lose strength on Friday
and Saturday. The NHC intensity forecast is a little lower than
the previous one and near the middle of the guidance envelope.
Dissipation is expected to occur on Sunday, following the global
model guidance.


KEY MESSAGES:

1. Bret is forecast to move across the Lesser Antilles this evening
and tonight as a strong tropical storm.

2. A Hurricane Watch and a Tropical Storm Warning are in effect
for St. Lucia, and a Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for
Barbados, St. Vincent and the Grenadines, Martinique, and Dominica.
There is a risk of flooding from heavy rainfall, strong winds, and
dangerous waves along the coast within the warning area.


FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 22/2100Z 13.4N 59.6W 55 KT 65 MPH
12H 23/0600Z 13.5N 62.0W 50 KT 60 MPH
24H 23/1800Z 13.7N 65.3W 45 KT 50 MPH
36H 24/0600Z 13.9N 68.8W 40 KT 45 MPH
48H 24/1800Z 13.9N 72.4W 35 KT 40 MPH
60H 25/0600Z 13.8N 75.7W 30 KT 35 MPH
72H 25/1800Z...DISSIPATED

$$
Forecaster Cangialosi

[cycloneye]

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Bret Intermediate Advisory Number 14A
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL032023
800 PM AST Thu Jun 22 2023

...CENTER OF BRET APPROACHING ST. VINCENT AND ST. LUCIA...
...HEAVY RAIN AND STRONG WINDS EXPECTED IN PORTIONS OF THE LESSER
ANTILLES THROUGH TONIGHT...


SUMMARY OF 800 PM AST...0000 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...13.4N 60.3W
ABOUT 55 MI...90 KM SE OF ST. LUCIA
ABOUT 60 MI...95 KM WNW OF BARBADOS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 265 DEGREES AT 16 MPH...26 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB...29.65 INCHES

[cycloneye]

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Bret Advisory Number 15
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL032023
1100 PM AST Thu Jun 22 2023

...CENTER OF BRET NEAR ST. VINCENT...
...HEAVY RAIN AND STRONG WINDS EXPECTED IN PORTIONS OF THE LESSER
ANTILLES THROUGH TONIGHT...


SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...13.3N 61.1W
ABOUT 5 MI...10 KM E OF ST. VINCENT
ABOUT 35 MI...55 KM S OF ST. LUCIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 18 MPH...30 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB...29.65 INCHES



Tropical Storm Bret Discussion Number 15
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL032023
1100 PM AST Thu Jun 22 2023

The center of Bret is currently near St. Vincent in the Windward
Islands. Satellite imagery and radar data from Barbados indicate
that the cyclone is losing organization due to increasing vertical
wind shear, with only minimal convection currently near the center.
The remainder of the convection is in bands and clusters well
removed from the center in the eastern semicircle. Data from an Air
Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft shows that the maximum
surface winds are now near 50 kt, and that will be the initial
intensity.

The initial motion is now 270/16 kt. Bret is on the south side of
a low- to mid-level subtropical ridge, and this feature should
steer the cyclone or its remnants almost due west for the next
several days. The forecast track calls for Bret to move away from
the Lesser Antilles during the next several hours and then move
across the eastern and central Caribbean Sea Friday and Saturday.
There are no significant changes to either the track forecast
guidance or the forecast track since the previous advisory.

Bret is moving into an area of moderate to strong southwesterly
shear associated with an amplifying upper-level trough over the
eastern Caribbean Sea. This, combined with some dry air
entrainment, should cause steady weakening starting on Friday
morning and continuing for the next several days. The NHC
intensity forecast continues to trend downward and now calls for
Bret to degenerate to a trough or tropical wave Saturday night or
Sunday in agreement with the global model guidance.


KEY MESSAGES:

1. Bret is moving across the Lesser Antilles at this time as a
strong tropical storm. Conditions in the area should improve later
tonight as the storm moves away.

2. A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for Barbados, St. Vincent
and the Grenadines, St. Lucia, Martinique, and Dominica. There is a
risk of flooding from heavy rainfall, strong winds, and dangerous
waves along the coast within the warning area.


FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 23/0300Z 13.3N 61.1W 50 KT 60 MPH
12H 23/1200Z 13.4N 63.7W 50 KT 60 MPH
24H 24/0000Z 13.5N 67.2W 45 KT 50 MPH
36H 24/1200Z 13.6N 70.7W 40 KT 45 MPH
48H 25/0000Z 13.7N 74.1W 35 KT 40 MPH
60H 25/1200Z...DISSIPATED

$$
Forecaster Beven

[cycloneye]

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Bret Advisory Number 16
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL032023
500 AM AST Fri Jun 23 2023

...BRET'S TRAILING RAINBANDS CONTINUE TO PRODUCE GUSTY WINDS AND
HEAVY RAINS OVER PORTIONS OF THE WINDWARD ISLANDS...


SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...13.4N 62.9W
ABOUT 115 MI...185 KM W OF ST. VINCENT
ABOUT 420 MI...670 KM E OF CURACAO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 18 MPH...30 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1001 MB...29.56 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

The government of Barbados has discontinued the Tropical Storm
Warning for Barbados.

Tropical Storm Bret Discussion Number 16
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL032023
500 AM AST Fri Jun 23 2023

Bret's center is now over the southeastern Caribbean Sea, but
convective activity extends more than 300 n mi to the east across
the Windward Islands and adjacent Atlantic waters. An Air Force
Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft measured peak 850-mb flight-level
winds of 60 kt and SFMR winds of 49 kt to the north of the center
on its last pass before heading back to base, and the initial
intensity is therefore maintained at 50 kt. The plane had found
that Bret's central pressure had dropped again, back down to 1001
mb.

Bret continues to move quickly westward, or 270/16 kt, to the south
of an area of high pressure located over the western Atlantic. The
subtropical ridge is expected to continue steering Bret quickly
westward across the eastern and central Caribbean Sea during the
next couple of days. There are no changes to the track model
guidance, or the track forecast reasoning, and the official NHC
forecast is a little faster than the model consensus aids, hedging
toward the GFS and ECMWF solutions.

Bret is approaching an upper-level trough located over the eastern
Caribbean Sea, and the resulting deep-layer shear over the storm is
analyzed to be about 25 kt out of the west-southwest. Even stronger
shear and a dry mid-level environment are expected to cause Bret to
gradually weaken during the next couple of days, with global model
fields showing the system degenerating into a trough over the
central Caribbean Sea some time over the weekend. The NHC forecast
shows dissipation by Sunday, but some model fields suggest it could
happen earlier than that.


KEY MESSAGES:

1. Bret is moving westward over the southeastern Caribbean Sea, but
trailing rainbands with embedded gusty winds continue to affect
portions of the Windward Islands. These conditions should gradually
subside through the day.

2. A Tropical Storm Warning remains in effect for St. Vincent and
the Grenadines, St. Lucia, Martinique, and Dominica.


FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 23/0900Z 13.4N 62.9W 50 KT 60 MPH
12H 23/1800Z 13.6N 65.2W 45 KT 50 MPH
24H 24/0600Z 13.8N 68.6W 40 KT 45 MPH
36H 24/1800Z 13.9N 72.1W 35 KT 40 MPH
48H 25/0600Z 13.9N 75.6W 30 KT 35 MPH
60H 25/1800Z...DISSIPATED

$$
Forecaster Berg

[cycloneye]

Tropical Storm Bret Tropical Cyclone Update
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL032023
500 AM AST Fri Jun 23 2023

The government of Dominica has discontinued the Tropical Storm
Warning for Dominica.

$$
Forecaster Berg

[cycloneye]

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Bret Advisory Number 17
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL032023
1100 AM AST Fri Jun 23 2023

...BRET MOVING WESTWARD OVER THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN SEA...
...RAIN AND GUSTY WINDS LINGER IN PORTIONS OF THE LESSER ANTILLES...


SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...13.3N 64.7W
ABOUT 235 MI...380 KM W OF ST. VINCENT
ABOUT 300 MI...480 KM ENE OF CURACAO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 21 MPH...33 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1002 MB...29.59 INCHES



Tropical Storm Bret Discussion Number 17
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL032023
1100 AM AST Fri Jun 23 2023

Bret is maintaining its intensity for now. Deep convection has
increased over the center during the past few hours and there
remains a larger area of disorganized thunderstorms on the system's
east side. The Air Force Hurricane Hunters have been investigating
the storm this morning and on their last pass they found maximum
flight-level winds of 60 kt and peak SFMR winds around 45 kt. These
data support holding the intensity steady at 50 kt. Bret is pulling
away from the Lesser Antilles, but showers and thunderstorms along
with gusty winds will likely continue across portions of that island
chain for much of the day.

Bret is moving beneath an upper-level trough axis currently, but by
tonight it should be located on the west side of the trough, which
should result in a notable increase in northerly vertical wind shear
and intrusions of dry air. Therefore, steady weakening is expected
and the NHC intensity forecast follows the theme of the model
guidance. Bret will likely open into a trough on Sunday.

The tropical storm continues to move quickly westward at 17 kt on
the south side of a low- to mid-level ridge. This motion should
continue during the next couple of days taking Bret across the
eastern and central Caribbean Sea. The NHC track forecast is a
touch to the south of the previous one, primarily due to the initial
position, and remains on the fast side of the model guidance.


KEY MESSAGES:

1. Bret is moving westward over the southeastern Caribbean Sea, but
trailing rainbands with embedded gusty winds continue to affect
portions of the Windward Islands. These conditions should gradually
subside through the day.


FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 23/1500Z 13.3N 64.7W 50 KT 60 MPH
12H 24/0000Z 13.4N 67.0W 45 KT 50 MPH
24H 24/1200Z 13.5N 70.5W 40 KT 45 MPH
36H 25/0000Z 13.6N 74.0W 35 KT 40 MPH
48H 25/1200Z 13.6N 77.4W 30 KT 35 MPH
60H 26/0000Z...DISSIPATED

$$
Forecaster Cangialosi

[cycloneye]

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Bret Advisory Number 18
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL032023
500 PM AST Fri Jun 23 2023

...BRET LOSING STRENGTH OVER THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN SEA...
...RAIN AND GUSTY WINDS STILL LINGERING IN THE WINDWARD ISLANDS...


SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...13.1N 66.6W
ABOUT 170 MI...275 KM ENE OF CURACAO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 21 MPH...33 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB...29.65 INCHES




Tropical Storm Bret Discussion Number 18
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL032023
500 PM AST Fri Jun 23 2023

The intensity of Bret is decreasing as the system moves across the
eastern Caribbean Sea. The low-level center is now fully exposed
and deep convection is minimal. However, there is a relatively
large area of showers well to the east of the center that is
lingering over portions of the Lesser Antilles. An ASCAT pass from
earlier today showed peak winds between 40-45 kt, and the initial
intensity is lowered to 45 kt for this advisory. This estimate is
also in agreement with a Dvorak classification from TAFB.

Bret is currently experiencing about 20 kt of vertical wind shear,
and since the shear is anticipated to increase, continued weakening
is expected. All of the models show a steady decline in Bret's
strength, and the new forecast is similar to the previous one.
Dissipation is expected to occur on Sunday.

The tropical storm continues to move quickly westward at 17 kt on
the south side of a low- to mid-level ridge. This motion should
continue during the next couple of days taking Bret across the
eastern and central Caribbean Sea just north of the ABC Islands.
The NHC track forecast is again a touch to the south of the previous
one and remains on the fast side of the model guidance.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 23/2100Z 13.1N 66.6W 45 KT 50 MPH
12H 24/0600Z 13.1N 69.1W 40 KT 45 MPH
24H 24/1800Z 13.2N 72.6W 35 KT 40 MPH
36H 25/0600Z 13.2N 76.0W 30 KT 35 MPH
48H 25/1800Z...DISSIPATED

$$
Forecaster Cangialosi

[cycloneye]

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Bret Advisory Number 19
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL032023
1100 PM AST Fri Jun 23 2023

...BRET ABOUT TO PASS NORTH OF ARUBA, BONAIRE, AND CURACAO...
...EXPECTED TO DISSIPATE ON SATURDAY NIGHT...


SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...12.9N 68.1W
ABOUT 75 MI...120 KM NE OF CURACAO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 18 MPH...30 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.

Interests in the ABC Islands should monitor the progress of Bret.



Tropical Storm Bret Discussion Number 19
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL032023
1100 PM AST Fri Jun 23 2023

Bret is currently comprised of an exposed swirl of low- to
mid-level clouds with occasional puffs of convection to the
northeast and east of the center. More widespread cloudiness and
convection associated with the storm are occuring well to the east
of the center over the southeastern Caribbean Sea. This poorly-
organized structure is due to the effects of 25 kt of westerly
vertical wind shear. Just-received reports from an Air Force
Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft show a central pressure near 1005
mb, along with SFMR and flight-level winds supporting an initial
intensity of 45 kt.

Continued moderate to strong shear should cause Bret to weaken, and
the global models forecast the system to degenerate into a trough
or tropical wave between 24-36 h. The intensity forecast follows
this guidance and shows the system dissipating after 24 h.

The initial motion is 270/16 on the south side of a low- to
mid-level ridge, and this general motion should continue until the
system dissipates. The new NHC forecast track is similar to, but a
little south of, the previous track. After dissipation, the
remnants of Bret should move quickly westward and reach Central
America sometime on Monday.


FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 24/0300Z 12.9N 68.1W 45 KT 50 MPH
12H 24/1200Z 13.0N 70.6W 40 KT 45 MPH
24H 25/0000Z 13.2N 74.1W 35 KT 40 MPH
36H 25/1200Z...DISSIPATED

$$
Forecaster Beven

[cycloneye]

[BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Bret Advisory Number 20
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL032023
500 AM AST Sat Jun 24 2023

...BRET WEAKENING AS IT PASSES JUST NORTH OF ARUBA...
...FORECAST TO DEGENERATE INTO A TROUGH OVER THE WEEKEND...


SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...13.1N 69.8W
ABOUT 45 MI...70 KM NNE OF ARUBA
ABOUT 125 MI...200 KM ENE OF NTHRN TIP OF GUAJIRA PNSULA COLOMBIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 18 MPH...30 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES


Tropical Storm Bret Discussion Number 20
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL032023
500 AM AST Sat Jun 24 2023

Bret is passing just to the north of Aruba, while producing a
healthy burst of deep convection that has obscured the center in
infrared satellite imagery. Radar data from Curacao indicates that
the strongest activity is to the north of the ABC Islands, although
a band of showers and thunderstorms is currently moving over Aruba.
Scatterometer data showed peak winds of 35-40 kt to the north of
Bret's center, and along with overnight reconnaissance data, the
storm's intensity is lowered to 40 kt on this advisory.

Over 30 kt of northwesterly shear is affecting Bret, which is
expected to continue through the weekend. Therefore, Bret is still
forecast to degenerate into a trough by 36 hours, although global
model fields suggest this could happen as early as tonight.

Bret continues to move quickly toward the west, or 270/16 kt,
steered by subtropical ridging over the western Atlantic. Bret is
forecast to remain on this general trajectory during the next
several days, with its remnants reaching Central America on Monday.


FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 24/0900Z 13.1N 69.8W 40 KT 45 MPH
12H 24/1800Z 13.2N 72.3W 35 KT 40 MPH
24H 25/0600Z 13.4N 75.5W 30 KT 35 MPH
36H 25/1800Z...DISSIPATED

$$
Forecaster Berg

[cycloneye]

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Bret Advisory Number 21
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL032023
1100 AM EDT Sat Jun 24 2023

...BRET BARELY A TROPICAL CYCLONE...
...AREAS OF RAIN AND GUSTY WINDS AFFECTING PORTIONS OF THE ABC
ISLANDS AND NORTHEASTERN COLOMBIA...


SUMMARY OF 1100 AM EDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...13.1N 71.9W
ABOUT 55 MI...90 KM NNW OF NTHRN TIP OF GUAJIRA PNSULA COLOMBIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 21 MPH...33 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB...29.74 INCHES



Tropical Storm Bret Discussion Number 21
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL032023
1100 AM EDT Sat Jun 24 2023

The Air Force Hurricane Hunters have been investigating Bret again
this morning and found that the circulation is barely closed with
very light winds on the system's south side. However, winds
up to 40 kt are still occurring north of the center and are
strongest in the deep convection just north of the ABC Islands.
Therefore, Bret is being maintained as a 40-kt tropical storm for
now. However, continued northwesterly vertical wind shear of about
30 kt should cause the storm to weaken and the circulation to open
up soon, possibly even later today.

Bret continues to move swiftly to the west at about 18 kt. This
motion should continue until the storm dissipates. The main impact
from the system is expected to be gusty winds and areas of heavy
rain across portions of the ABC Islands and the northeastern
portion of Colombia during the next several hours.


FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 24/1500Z 13.1N 71.9W 40 KT 45 MPH
12H 25/0000Z 13.1N 74.5W 35 KT 40 MPH
24H 25/1200Z...DISSIPATED

$$
Forecaster Cangialosi

[cycloneye]

BULLETIN
Remnants Of Bret Advisory Number 22
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL032023
500 PM EDT Sat Jun 24 2023

...BRET OPENS INTO A TROUGH...
...THIS IS THE LAST NHC ADVISORY...


SUMMARY OF 500 PM EDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...13.1N 73.8W
ABOUT 160 MI...260 KM WNW OF NTHRN TIP OF GUAJIRA PNSULA COLOMBIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 21 MPH...33 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB...29.74 INCHES


Remnants Of Bret Discussion Number 22
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL032023
500 PM EDT Sat Jun 24 2023

Satellite images, surface observations, and ASCAT data from a few
hours ago indicate that Bret no longer has a well-defined low-level
center. The structure of the system more resembles an open wave or
trough with a couple of embedded vorticity maximums. Therefore, the
system does not meet the criteria needed to be considered a tropical
cyclone, and this is last advisory issued by NHC.

The remnants of Bret are still producing 35-kt winds in areas of
showers and thunderstorms just north of the northeastern portion of
Colombia. These winds are expected to decay as the system continues
to move quickly westward.

This is the last advisory on Bret. However, additional and future
information on this system can be found in High Seas Forecasts
issued by the National Weather Service, under AWIPS header
NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and online at
ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php


FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 24/2100Z 13.1N 73.8W 35 KT 40 MPH
12H 25/0600Z...DISSIPATED

$$
Forecaster Cangialosi