ATL: Ex INVEST 97L - Discussion

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Message
Author
User avatar
Nancy Smar
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1081
Age: 23
Joined: Wed Aug 16, 2017 10:03 pm

ATL: Ex INVEST 97L - Discussion

#1 Postby Nancy Smar » Mon Aug 08, 2022 7:01 am

AL, 97, 2022080806, , BEST, 0, 110N, 193W, 20, 1009, DB, 34, NEQ, 0, 0, 0, 0, 1012, 180, 80, 0, 0, L, 0, , 0, 0, INVEST, S, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, genesis-num, 014,

https://ftp.nhc.noaa.gov/atcf/btk/?C=M;O=D
4 likes   

jaxfladude
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1246
Joined: Wed Aug 24, 2005 9:36 pm
Location: Jacksonville, Fla

Re: ATL: INVEST 97L - Discussion

#2 Postby jaxfladude » Mon Aug 08, 2022 7:07 am

We have an, in the far eastern Atlantic Basin, Invest, start of real hurricane season, about to get busy time or an one off till next Invest?
Last edited by jaxfladude on Mon Aug 08, 2022 7:07 am, edited 2 times in total.
0 likes   
Stay safe y'all

User avatar
cycloneye
Admin
Admin
Posts: 138889
Age: 67
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

Re: ATL: INVEST 97L - Discussion

#3 Postby cycloneye » Mon Aug 08, 2022 7:53 am

AL, 97, 2022080812, , BEST, 0, 115N, 212W, 25, 1010, DB


Image
0 likes   
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here

tolakram
Admin
Admin
Posts: 19140
Age: 60
Joined: Sun Aug 27, 2006 8:23 pm
Location: Florence, KY (name is Mark)

Re: ATL: INVEST 97L - Discussion

#4 Postby tolakram » Mon Aug 08, 2022 7:56 am

0 likes   
M a r k
- - - - -
Join us in chat: Storm2K Chatroom Invite. Android and IOS apps also available.

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. Posts are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K.org. For official information and forecasts, please refer to NHC and NWS products.

User avatar
kevin
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1766
Age: 25
Joined: Wed Aug 28, 2019 4:35 am

Re: ATL: INVEST 97L - Discussion

#5 Postby kevin » Mon Aug 08, 2022 8:04 am

Latest visual loop:

0 likes   

User avatar
drezee
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 3642
Joined: Mon Jun 09, 2003 12:49 pm
Location: FL

Re: ATL: INVEST 97L - Discussion

#6 Postby drezee » Mon Aug 08, 2022 8:16 am

1 likes   

IsabelaWeather
Tropical Storm
Tropical Storm
Posts: 216
Age: 34
Joined: Tue Jul 07, 2020 7:29 am
Location: Isabela, Puerto Rico

Re: ATL: INVEST 97L - Discussion

#7 Postby IsabelaWeather » Mon Aug 08, 2022 8:30 am




That convection isnt near the CoC though, the CoC has a new area of intense storms rising just to the east as we speak.
0 likes   

User avatar
Weatherboy1
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1167
Age: 48
Joined: Mon Jul 05, 2004 1:50 pm
Location: Jupiter, FL

Re: ATL: INVEST 97L - Discussion

#8 Postby Weatherboy1 » Mon Aug 08, 2022 8:51 am

Soooooo guess I have to start paying attention to the ol’ tropics again huh? Was quite the “vacation” over the last Month! Lol
1 likes   

User avatar
ElectricStorm
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 4498
Age: 23
Joined: Tue Aug 13, 2019 11:23 pm
Location: Skiatook, OK / Norman, OK

Re: ATL: INVEST 97L - Discussion

#9 Postby ElectricStorm » Mon Aug 08, 2022 9:28 am

Yep definitely need to watch this, may not be anything too crazy but we'll see...
0 likes   
I am in no way a professional. Take what I say with a grain of salt as I could be totally wrong. Please refer to the NHC, NWS, or SPC for official information.

Boomer Sooner!

Sciencerocks
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 7281
Age: 38
Joined: Thu Jul 06, 2017 1:51 am

Re: ATL: INVEST 97L - Discussion

#10 Postby Sciencerocks » Mon Aug 08, 2022 10:22 am

Image
1 likes   

User avatar
cycloneye
Admin
Admin
Posts: 138889
Age: 67
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

Re: ATL: INVEST 97L - Discussion

#11 Postby cycloneye » Mon Aug 08, 2022 12:51 pm

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Mon Aug 8 2022

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. Eastern Tropical Atlantic:
A large area of showers and thunderstorms over the far eastern
tropical Atlantic south of the Cabo Verde islands is associated with
a tropical wave. This system has changed little in organization
today, but environmental conditions appear conducive for gradual
development over the next several days while it moves westward to
west-northwestward at 15 to 20 mph across the eastern and central
tropical Atlantic. A tropical depression could form by the middle to
latter portion of this week before environmental conditions become
less favorable by this weekend.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent.

Forecaster Papin
0 likes   
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here

User avatar
cycloneye
Admin
Admin
Posts: 138889
Age: 67
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

Re: ATL: INVEST 97L - Discussion

#12 Postby cycloneye » Mon Aug 08, 2022 1:06 pm

0 likes   
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here

User avatar
captainbarbossa19
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1038
Joined: Wed Aug 21, 2019 11:09 pm
Location: Starkville, MS

Re: ATL: INVEST 97L - Discussion

#13 Postby captainbarbossa19 » Mon Aug 08, 2022 1:17 pm

Looks like a lot of uncertainty with this wave. I stepped away from models for about a day, and I noticed that now models are trending more westward. Initially, they had this really weak and well east of the CONUS. Need to watch this wave closely because it could find more favorable conditions further down the road. I have watched over the years models love to kill waves when they get west enough, but in reality they are much stronger.
3 likes   

User avatar
tropicwatch
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 3205
Age: 60
Joined: Sat Jun 02, 2007 10:01 am
Location: Panama City Florida
Contact:

Re: ATL: INVEST 97L - Discussion

#14 Postby tropicwatch » Mon Aug 08, 2022 1:20 pm

If the surface wind graphic from Zoom Earth is accurate. Looks like there might be a weak surface circulation.
Image
1 likes   
Tropicwatch


Agnes 72', Eloise 75, Elena 85', Kate 85', Charley 86', Florence 88', Beryl 94', Dean 95', Erin 95', Opal 95', Earl 98', Georges 98', Ivan 2004', Arlene 2005', Dennis 2005', Ida 2009' Debby 2012' Irma 2017' Michael 2018'

zzh
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 375
Joined: Fri Aug 27, 2021 2:18 pm

Re: ATL: INVEST 97L - Discussion

#15 Postby zzh » Mon Aug 08, 2022 1:28 pm

:uarrow: Zoom Earth uses GFS wind product.
1 likes   

User avatar
cycloneye
Admin
Admin
Posts: 138889
Age: 67
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

Re: ATL: INVEST 97L - Discussion

#16 Postby cycloneye » Mon Aug 08, 2022 1:47 pm

AL, 97, 2022080818, , BEST, 0, 117N, 227W, 25, 1010, DB
0 likes   
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here

User avatar
tropicwatch
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 3205
Age: 60
Joined: Sat Jun 02, 2007 10:01 am
Location: Panama City Florida
Contact:

Re: ATL: INVEST 97L - Discussion

#17 Postby tropicwatch » Mon Aug 08, 2022 1:50 pm

cycloneye wrote:
AL, 97, 2022080818, , BEST, 0, 117N, 227W, 25, 1010, DB


On the Zoom Earth map the wind circulation is very close to those coordinates.
0 likes   
Tropicwatch


Agnes 72', Eloise 75, Elena 85', Kate 85', Charley 86', Florence 88', Beryl 94', Dean 95', Erin 95', Opal 95', Earl 98', Georges 98', Ivan 2004', Arlene 2005', Dennis 2005', Ida 2009' Debby 2012' Irma 2017' Michael 2018'

User avatar
tropicwatch
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 3205
Age: 60
Joined: Sat Jun 02, 2007 10:01 am
Location: Panama City Florida
Contact:

Re: ATL: INVEST 97L - Discussion

#18 Postby tropicwatch » Mon Aug 08, 2022 2:48 pm

Decent uptick in 925mb vorticity this afternoon.
Image
4 likes   
Tropicwatch


Agnes 72', Eloise 75, Elena 85', Kate 85', Charley 86', Florence 88', Beryl 94', Dean 95', Erin 95', Opal 95', Earl 98', Georges 98', Ivan 2004', Arlene 2005', Dennis 2005', Ida 2009' Debby 2012' Irma 2017' Michael 2018'

St0rmTh0r
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 369
Joined: Tue Jul 14, 2020 8:04 pm

Re: ATL: INVEST 97L - Discussion

#19 Postby St0rmTh0r » Mon Aug 08, 2022 3:38 pm

captainbarbossa19 wrote:Looks like a lot of uncertainty with this wave. I stepped away from models for about a day, and I noticed that now models are trending more westward. Initially, they had this really weak and well east of the CONUS. Need to watch this wave closely because it could find more favorable conditions further down the road. I have watched over the years models love to kill waves when they get west enough, but in reality they are much stronger.

yea happpens every year!
2 likes   

User avatar
tiger_deF
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 436
Age: 22
Joined: Tue Sep 27, 2016 11:47 am

Re: ATL: INVEST 97L - Discussion

#20 Postby tiger_deF » Mon Aug 08, 2022 3:51 pm

tropicwatch wrote:Decent uptick in 925mb vorticity this afternoon.
Image


The column is stacked up through 500mb vorticity as well. Convection is waning for the moment, but as we start to approach DMAX there will likely be a significant burst of convection which could help with lowering pressures. As long as dry air doesn't intrude on the AOI I think we could see TCG in the next day or two
2 likes   


Return to “2022”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 22 guests