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Shear definitely getting to it now.
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aspen wrote:I’m doubtful Bonnie will be able to recover from this EWRC. It is still going on after over 24 hours with no progress being made, and it’s looking more lopsided tonight. Shear will drop, but so will SSTs and RH. Bonnie might be in a damaged state where it ingests dry air and can’t take advantage of the lower shear.
Yellow Evan wrote:Why does the NHC keep failing for this after all these years?
tolakram wrote:Yellow Evan wrote:Why does the NHC keep failing for this after all these years?
That's an interesting comment since last time they were failing (I know you meant falling) by expecting a major that didn't happen. I suggest that there is no actual identifiable pattern, which is why intensity forecasts are so difficult.
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