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Yellow Evan wrote:Btw 12z GFS and CMC badly underinitialized with this, with the former showing an elongated E-W vorticity and both showing minimal convection. Given the good upper level environment and this, it has a good chance to get much stronger than expected.
NXStumpy_Robothing wrote:Yellow Evan wrote:Btw 12z GFS and CMC badly underinitialized with this, with the former showing an elongated E-W vorticity and both showing minimal convection. Given the good upper level environment and this, it has a good chance to get much stronger than expected.
Only issue is that it's then much more likely this system gets further north and runs into the cold wake of Bonnie and into the sub-26C waters all the more quicker. Shouldn't be an issue short-term but will probably prevent this from making it into the Central Pacific and probably will shorten the window this thing has to intensify.
Would not be surprised if this becomes the strongest system of the season regardless. The full switch to Atlantic-dominance is coming.
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